Is it over for Rann?

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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Psyber » Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:40 pm

hondo71 wrote:You think she'd be resorting to lie detector tests if she had something concrete?
Well she probably wouldn't if she was making it all up. ;)
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby mick » Fri Feb 05, 2010 6:32 am

If you can believe the poll in today's "tiser SA's love affair with our own version of Tony Blair is over. One thing is for sure, even if Rann wins he won't be premier next year.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby redandblack » Fri Feb 05, 2010 7:21 am

Approval rating basically unchanged.

ALP lead 52 - 48.

People don't trust him as much as newcomer Redmond.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Wedgie » Fri Feb 05, 2010 7:56 am

redandblack wrote:Approval rating basically unchanged.

ALP lead 52 - 48.

People don't trust him as much as newcomer Redmond.


The last Advertiser poll had Labor up 57-43 in December.

Mind you personally Id take stuff all away from a poll of only 539 voters especially when the only guideline given is that it was taken " statewide".

There's no doubting Labor are dropping back but if it's enough well only know on March 20 as pollscan be very misleading.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby redandblack » Fri Feb 05, 2010 9:24 am

That's spot on.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Bum Crack » Fri Feb 05, 2010 9:28 am

Well I'm hoping he gets the arse. I can't stand the weasel. I despise that arrogant sidekick of his too.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Jimmy_041 » Fri Feb 05, 2010 9:38 am

It will come down to movement in specific seats

Mick Atkinson could be one of the first to go
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Jimmy_041 » Fri Feb 05, 2010 9:41 am

Then again, Mick does know the people in his electorate better than anyone else :lol: :lol:
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby mick » Fri Feb 05, 2010 9:45 am

Polls in the 10 or so seats to change government are the key to the election. http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/isobel-redmonds-team-flies-as-michelle-chantelois-flees/story-fn2sdzpk-1225803999188 There is no doubt there is a feeling of change in the air, whether this translates to a change in government remains to be seen. I personally would love to see my local member Jane Lomax-Smith (the archetypal latte-socialist) get the flick.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Bum Crack » Fri Feb 05, 2010 9:56 am

mick wrote:Polls in the 10 or so seats to change government are the key to the election. http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/isobel-redmonds-team-flies-as-michelle-chantelois-flees/story-fn2sdzpk-1225803999188 There is no doubt there is a feeling of change in the air, whether this translates to a change in government remains to be seen. I personally would love to see my local member Jane Lomax-Smith (the archetypal latte-socialist) get the flick.

She'd have no problem getting work if she did get the arse. David Hayes would pick her up and turn her into a star sprinter.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Hondo » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:04 am

I agree its going to be closer than I thought it was 6 months ago. There is a mood for change. A close election result but a Labor win may well see Rann move on.

This election should have been a walk in the park for them. Redmond has presented herself very well so far and is winning appeal.

The only rider on this is that I feel the Labor party re-election machine hasn't really kicked into gear and a solid election campaign may change things back in their favour. The Libs really don't present a good alternative government yet (maybe in 4 years time) so a lot of the sentiment out there now is anti-Rann rather than pro-Liberal.

That's how I see things anyway.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby interested observer » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:13 am

Bum Crack wrote:
mick wrote:Polls in the 10 or so seats to change government are the key to the election. http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/isobel-redmonds-team-flies-as-michelle-chantelois-flees/story-fn2sdzpk-1225803999188 There is no doubt there is a feeling of change in the air, whether this translates to a change in government remains to be seen. I personally would love to see my local member Jane Lomax-Smith (the archetypal latte-socialist) get the flick.

She'd have no problem getting work if she did get the arse. David Hayes would pick her up and turn her into a star sprinter.



:lol: :lol:
Isn't she a shocker.....
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Bum Crack » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:19 am

interested observer wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:
mick wrote:Polls in the 10 or so seats to change government are the key to the election. http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/isobel-redmonds-team-flies-as-michelle-chantelois-flees/story-fn2sdzpk-1225803999188 There is no doubt there is a feeling of change in the air, whether this translates to a change in government remains to be seen. I personally would love to see my local member Jane Lomax-Smith (the archetypal latte-socialist) get the flick.

She'd have no problem getting work if she did get the arse. David Hayes would pick her up and turn her into a star sprinter.



:lol: :lol:
Isn't she a shocker.....

I'm sure she's related to Gail Jago somehow????
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby mick » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:44 am

Bum Crack wrote:
interested observer wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:
mick wrote:Polls in the 10 or so seats to change government are the key to the election. http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/isobel-redmonds-team-flies-as-michelle-chantelois-flees/story-fn2sdzpk-1225803999188 There is no doubt there is a feeling of change in the air, whether this translates to a change in government remains to be seen. I personally would love to see my local member Jane Lomax-Smith (the archetypal latte-socialist) get the flick.

She'd have no problem getting work if she did get the arse. David Hayes would pick her up and turn her into a star sprinter.



:lol: :lol:
Isn't she a shocker.....

I'm sure she's related to Gail Jago somehow????


Those two are the reason God created alcohol.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby southee » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:45 am

Bum Crack wrote:Well I'm hoping he gets the arse. I can't stand the weasel. I despise that arrogant sidekick of his too.


Yep, me too BC.

I think there is something in the air out there for change. The people of SA are waking up to Rann and co. and the way they operate. I personally dont see a Liberal win, but who knows....politics is a strange game.

If Rann is elected, he wont be in the job for more than 12 months. I think good old Kev Foley will get in (God help us all!!!) :roll: and be the new leader.

Labour have had to many stuff ups coming into the election and the Atkinson debacle has only make it harder for Labour.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Jimmy_041 » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:50 am

Wednesday 20th January 2010

Jimmy_041 wrote:I went to a function last night. Mainly tradeys like electricians, plumbers etc

I didn't say a thing to anyone about politics - just listened to people talking - the winds of change are in the air for this State Government............


redandblack wrote:I think you've convinced me.

The bookies and the polls have no clue.


Maybe you will start to listen to me now.....
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Jimmy_041 » Fri Feb 05, 2010 10:54 am

mick wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:
interested observer wrote:
:lol: :lol:
Isn't she a shocker.....

I'm sure she's related to Gail Gago somehow????


Those two are the reason God created alcohol.


You dont know how close you are to the truth - Google Gago + wine
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby redandblack » Fri Feb 05, 2010 11:15 am

Calm down, Jimmy & Co, it's one opinion poll that shows Rann winning comfortably.

It took me a while to get to your comment, after wading through the usual "latte-socialist' crap and the appearance jokes.
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby Jimmy_041 » Fri Feb 05, 2010 11:17 am

I still feel the winds of change r&b
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Re: Is it over for Rann?

Postby mick » Fri Feb 05, 2010 12:35 pm

Apparently there is a 5% margin for error in an opinion poll of this size meaning the ALPs two party preferred could be as high as 54.6 or as low as 49.4. Probably enough to be re-elected in the lower scenario. Still about 6 weeks to go, if ALP support continues to trend down it will be very interesting on March 20.
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