by Rik E Boy » Fri Jul 12, 2013 1:06 pm
The Run Home Round 14
1. Poon Army 40 (Richo Richo Man, Hawkeye, Underdogs, Cork in the Ocean)
The Poon Army has lost the past two matches and needs to turn around that form fast. With three top eight teams in the run home Poony’s draw isn’t the easiest. The clash against Richo this week will secure a finals spot and they should beat Hawkeye. The last two matches are tougher so a double chance is not a done thing yet for Poon Army.
2. Captain Who 36 (Underdogs, MILLER MOSQUITOES, Richo Richo Man, Darksiders SCE)
The Captain is travelling beautifully at the moment but faces a tricky month of matches before the finals. I can’t see the Captain winning all of them but I reckon he can win three and retain the double chance. Darksiders and Underdogs look the toughest tests but the Captain will start favourite in all four.
3. Texas Danger SSC 36 (Cork in the Ocean, The Ginger Ninjas, Longwood Lions, Buddyroughhawks)
The Texan is looking good and is a chance for the minor premiership. Corkys and Buddyrough look the toughest matches remaining and they have a gift against Ginger even though the Ninjas have beaten Hondo before. I reckon they win the lot and go top.
4. Buddyroughhawks 36 (Darksiders SCE, REBCats, Squeakeroos DTC, Texas Danger SSC)
Buddy plays mid table opposition before finishing against a non-contender and then finally against the Texans. I reckon they can win at least one more maybe two. The matches against Darksiders and REBCats are very important and represent an opportunity for Buddy to end their respective seasons.
5. Underdogs 32 (Captain Who, Richo Richo Man, Poon Army, MILLER MOSQUITOES)
The Underdogs have done well in recent weeks but face a reasonably tough run home. They have the Captain first up as the toughest match and win there could make Gibbo a top four side this year. If they can’t win this week the last two weeks will be crucial as they’ll be under the gun from teams below.
6. Cork in the Ocean 32 (Texas Danger SSC, Q Before You, Hawkeye, Poon Army)
Corky has the toughest run of all the contenders with four top eight teams to finish the year. Corky is good enough to win all four but could only end up with one so their finals future has not yet been determined. They’ll go in underdogs for the next two games and if they drop them it will be all to play for against Hawkeye in Round 16.
7. Q Before You 32 (Hawkeye, Cork in the Ocean, The Ginger Ninjas, Longwood Lions)
Q has mastered his team beautifully and I reckon he’ll win all four of these matches and go into the top four. If Q finishes fourth that could make second spot on the ladder the best position to make an assault on the premiership. But Q is looking good and could finish as high as third.
8. Hawkeye 32 (Q Before You, Poon Army, Cork in the Ocean, The Ginger Ninjas)
2013 has followed a very similar pattern to 2012 for Woggy. Last year he couldn’t find a win to scrape into the eight and he could well do the same again. Hawkeye’s percentage is not great so they might need to get to 44 to sneak into the finals. That means they have to beat Poon and Corky to get there. Not going to happen.
9. Darksiders SCE 28 (Buddyroughhawks, Dutchys Dodos, Spuds, Captain Who)
Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water the Darksiders are back. If the Darkside can beat Buddy this week then they’ll be finals bound as Dutchys and Spuds won’t match them. I reckon the Captain can do the business in the last week of the finals so if Darksiders lose this week then they’ll miss out.
10. MILLER MOSQUITOES 28 (Spuds, Captain Who, Richo Richo Man, Underdogs)
The MOSQUITOES have resurrected their season in recent weeks and will last at least one week longer as they’ll take out the Spuds. The last three matches represent a bigger test and they’ll need to win at least two of them. Captain Who could bring the curtain down next week.
11. Richo Richo Man 24 (Poon Army, Underdogs, MILLER MOSQUITOES, chardy socialists)
Richo Richo have to beat three teams above them to make the finals and hope other results go their way. If they are still in the hunt they can snaffle a spot in the last round as they play last placed chardies, the only contender to do so. Even though Poony top the ladder I rate the Underdogs and MILLERs games the greater challenge. CoverKing will be a deserving finalist if he can get there.
12. REBCats 24 (Longwood Lions, Buddyroughhawks, Dutchys Dodos, Spuds)
The REBCats have not beaten any top sides this year despite getting pretty close and will need to turn that form around in the next two weeks to have any chance of making the finals. The match against Longwood Lions is a virtual elimination final and thank god for Watson is all I can say on that score. The REBCats should win their last two so it’s all to play for over the next fortnight for the REBCats. I’ll probably drop one of them and finish ninth ACK.
13. Longwood Lions 24 (REBCats, Squeakeroos DTC, Texas Danger SSC, Q Before You)
The Lions have a lot of trades but not enough wins. They have premiership winning experience and even though REBCats and Squeaky represent winnable games, it is hard to see the Lions upsetting the Texans and Q Man. Even if the Lions win the next two, it’s no finals for them.
14. Spuds 20 (MILLER MOSQUITOES, chardy socialists, Richo Richo Man, REBCats)
The Spuds are mathematically still in the hunt which means of course that they are gone. Spuds haven’t been scoring all that well lately which suggests matty has given up the ghost. Still, if he gets back into the swing of things he could turn it all around. The toughest match is against MILLER MOSQUITOES and a return to last year’s form could see them end with 36 points. Even then they still need results go their way. MILLERS to end their year this week.
REB Predicts
1. Texas Danger SSC 52
2. Captain Who 48
3. Q Before You 48
4. Underdogs 44
5. Poon Army 44
6. Buddyroughhawks 44
7. Darksiders SCE 44
8. Cork in the Ocean 40
regards,
REB