by gadj1976 » Fri Apr 22, 2016 7:16 pm
My write up for the family tips
This weeks games are anyones. I can pick 8 different winners, the only 'sure' thing seems to be Freo! Even Collingwood and Essendon has tightened up. Who would've thought that at the start of the year? Let's go through them in more detail.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide, Friday night at the G.
What a ripper this should be. Hawthorn were lucky to sneak past the Saints thanks to slipping a schmifty into the g-banger of the umpires. Think I mentioned that last week too. Hmm. Someone has a vested interest in a fourpeat. Adelaide have started well but they don't play many games at the G, nor do they play many on a Friday night. I think I'm leaning toward the Hawks in a real close one but team selection could be vital. As I write this, Sauce Jacobs and Milera have pulled up sore and will be in some doubt. The Hawks seem to have skipped injuries and tribunal this week so they may only strengthen their list.
Sydney vs West Coast, Saturday at the SCG.
This should be another cracker. West Coast from memory don't play well on the crowded SCG and I know well that Sydney do. West Coast wouldn't have been bruised last week after playing Richmond, the Swans on the other hand would be sore after running into the Adelaide Oval turf chasing Tex's men. Hard one to pick this one..... but I think Sydney again in a close one just because of home ground advantage.
Gold Coast vs North Melbourne, Saturday at Metricon
North are top for the first time after 4 rounds since I was in my 20's! Gold Coast lost their full back and against Waite and Petrie, that could prove costly. North have a pretty ordinary record against the Suns, having lost their last three outings against them, even losing in Melbourne in 2014 by nearly 10 goals. North are playing pretty convincingly this year though and Gold Coast, despite being 3-1 haven't beaten anyone this side of the black stump. Their wins are against Essendon, Freo and Carlton (currently 16th, 17th and 18th on the ladder). Their loss against Brisbane (14th) confirms that they might only be a good-ordinary side. North for me.
Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane, Saturday at Etihad
5th game in a row at Etihad for the new favourite tenants as they take on Brisbane who notched their first win. Obviously in doubt for this clash is Stef Martin who was put into the middle of this week by Stephen May on Saturday. Thankfully Martin is ok but if he doesn't come up it makes the Lions task all that more difficult. The doubt will still be over Boyd and Easton Wood both recovering from short term injuries. Bullies half back line has been decimated with Murphy and Johannisen going down in the past two weeks, the latter going for up to 4 months with a hamstring tendon strain. If this was in Brisbane, I'd tip the Lions but I can't see them running the Bulldogs off their feet despite them being unimpressive against the Blues last week.
Port vs Geelong, Saturday at Adelaide Oval
Wow. Do Port need a win or what? They were heartless, spineless, thoughtless and careless in their 86 point thumping at the hands of the Giants. Were the Giants that good or were Port that bad? Port were THAT bad. Didn't run, didn't chase and when they did gave away stupid free kicks. Punched blokes in the guts for no reason (because they're tough down the Port way!) and managed to get away with it. Dixon needs a run in the magoos but there is no one in form to replace him. Boak and Gray are only just holding the team together. The Cats on the other hand are doing enough. Their record here is 1-1 (At Adelaide Oval) having beaten Port last year by 23 points. Port look weaker than that and the Cats look stronger. Port will bounce back but how far? Cats for mine in a close one.
St Kilda vs GWS, Sunday at Etihad
Two weeks ago after the Bulldogs smashed the Saints, you could pencil this in as a big win for GWS. GWS beating the Cats that same weekend. Then last week they smash Port! But the Saints also went well against the reigning premiers so this promises to be a very tight contest. The difference for me is in attack. Cameron will be back for the Giants which bolsters them and the Saints deficiency looks to me to be defence. Giants, just away from home.
Fremantle vs Carlton, Sunday at Domain
If you thought at the start of the season, Rd 5 would dish up this tasty little morsel of 17th vs 18th, then you'd be CRAZY. Well, you'd get one from two. Carlton are playing well despite not getting anywhere near a win in the past three games. Likewise Freo although they almost snatched it from North last week despite falling away quickly in the last. They should notch up their first win pretty comfortably against an ever depleted Blues.
Melbourne vs Richmond, Sunday at the G
Tell me again, Essendon beat Melbourne.............how? Melbourne were sensational against Collingwood yesterday. They looked like an organised football side. Collingwood didn't. Collingwood are a very overrated side having been talked up in the media all off season about their squad. I had them in the bottom 6-8 and I think I might be slightly wrong. They have the capability of stinking it up and making bottom 4. Richmond, the less said the better. They have list cloggers galore on their list and seem to reward 'break out years' with extended long term contracts where every other club seems to do the 'wait and see' approach to contract negotiation. Seriously, Hardwick has been kissed on the wick. Melbourne, if they bring that game again will win this easily and questions must be asked of Richmond, their coaching, trading and recruiting.
Finally, the blockbuster... Collingwood vs Essendon, Monday at the G.
Will anyone turn up? Yeh they will but only because of tradition. After the pre match tributes, the last post and a stirring minutes' silence, most will head over to the titty bar on Punt Rd and enjoy getting blotto. Who cares who wins this? Some spud will pick up an ANZAC day medal which will make it mean even less over the journey. Can I tip a draw?
Best of luck everyone, should be really hard round to tip