Red Rocket wrote:roodog wrote:Red Rocket wrote:With the top 2 home and hosed id expect to see a few "surprising" results over the remainder of the season.
Centrals especially are enjoying the leg up they are receiving and would want to ensure they have a bag full of points against next year. Think by my maths the Tigers need to drop 1 more game to avoid losing points, not sure about Barossa
Let's put a scenario.
Gawler Central purposely drop a game to keep their points balance for 2014 in check. Gawler South wins to be two points behind Central on the ladder. Suddenly Central has an upset loss, while South wins to draw level on the table or even go ahead, bearing in mind that South are very close on percentage. Central maybe ends up third on the ladder and lose the double chance in the finals.
They'd do all this just to maintain their points balance?? I think not.
All clubs' imports drop a point for each season they play. Not sure how many Central players are carrying points - I think it's four - so the club will regain that many points next season. The Tigers would have to win EVERY game from here on in anyway to lose their points cap. If they lose one (Tanunda or Willaston?) they finish on 13 wins. With two wins in 2012 it makes a total of 15 wins which - averaged over the two seasons - makes a figure of 7.5. Decimals are rounded down, so the figure will be seven, meaning they'll STILL have 12 points allocated in 2014.
Not saying they will do it in next couple of games, but if they still havnt dropped another one and are safe in the top 2, id bet they drop one near the end. They finish with Angaston and Freeling so id pencil one of those in as a "surprise" loss.
If they dont drop another game they will get cut back to 9 points next year
Interesting but I'd imagine they have to 'rest' a fair few blokes to get rolled by either of those two.
