AFL round 7

[Mr_Willy]

Surely the Blues cover my line.... St Kilda's average score this year is 85 points - and thats over exagerrated by the 143 kicked in a 100 point win against the Kangaroos....

They haven't even cracked 50 in the last two games...

Carlton are averaging over 98 points a game.... Can't see St Kilda kicking enough and keeping Carlton low enough to win by more than 25 points....

[Pottsy]

Anytime you start a thought with "Surely..." you know there's second thoughts...

Just chuck a hundred on the St Kilda line and have a more peaceful watch of the footy!

[Mr_Willy]

Anytime you start a thought with "Surely..." you know there's second thoughts...

Just chuck a hundred on the St Kilda line and have a more peaceful watch of the footy!

I was thinking $250 on the St Kilda line and hoping they win by between 16 and 25 points!!

The more I look at the game though I think Carlton will win....

[Pottsy]

You better do it now, coz you know what'll happen if you don't!

[mighty_tiger_79]

St Kilda v Carlton preview
From: Herald Sun May 10, 2010 11:12AM Increase Text Size Decrease Text Size Print Email Share Add to Digg Add to del.icio.us Add to Facebook Add to Kwoff Add to Myspace Add to Newsvine What are these?

Rotate for St Kilda v Carlton game Source: Herald Sun
ALL the details and analysis for tonight's big game, with state by Champion Data:

ETIHAD STADIUM

TONIGHT 7.20PM





SAINTS' ATTACKING ISSUES

There is no doubt that St Kilda's attack is well down on last year. After Round 6 in 2009 it was averaging 110 points a game and by Round 22 it had fallen to 100 a game. This season the Saints have kicked 85 points a game and if it wasn't for the best accuracy in the competition, it may have been worse. St Kilda has had 124 scoring shots in 2010 - the equal second-fewest in the competition before Round 7 with Adelaide. In the first three weeks of the season St Kilda took 39 marks inside 50. Since then it has grabbed just 16, which includes just seven in the past fortnight. That is seven fewer than the next worst team in that time, Richmond.


Start of sidebar. Skip to end of sidebar.
Related CoverageHall leads dogs to NAB Cup final triumph The Australian, 13 Mar 2010
Hall shines as Dogs win Cup Fox Sports, 13 Mar 2010
St Kilda claw their way to victory Adelaide Now, 19 Feb 2010
Saints hang on to win by a point Adelaide Now, 19 Feb 2010
Turning victory to defeat Adelaide Now, 14 Sep 2009
End of sidebar. Return to start of sidebar.


BUT AT THE OTHER END...

Defensively, the Saints have no peer.

They have conceded 76 fewer points than any other team in the competition. They are the hardest team to get the ball inside 50 against and once inside 50 they are clearly the hardest to goal against. St Kilda has conceded more than 54 points in just two games this season.

St Kilda's defensive game will have to be on tonight against Carlton. For the second year in a row the Blues are the most potent team from a first possession, scoring 26 per cent of the time. Only Geelong scores more regularly.

The concern for the Blues is their inability to defend a turnover. They have been scored against from 26.2 per cent of turnovers - the fourth-highest percentageconceded in the competition. Last week Collingwood outscored the Blues by 63 points from turnovers. The Saints have outscored their opposition by 148 points this season, of which 128 is made up of turnovers. They have created the most turnovers in the competition.





SOURCES ( *ST KILDA *CARLTON)

Stoppage 1st possession

+12 +67

Turnovers +128 -28

Kick-ins +8 +9



INSIDE-50 TARGETS % Team Targets % Team Retain



ST KILDA

Nick Riewoldt 21.7 69.2

Justin Koschitzke 17.0 44.4

Stephen Milne 15.8 70.3



CARLTON

Setanta O'hAilpin 18.4 39.5

Eddie Betts 13.2 45.2

Chris Yarran 8.1 63.2




CHRIS JUDD

In the past three weeks the Carlton skipper ranks third in the competition for disposals (94), third for inside-50s (20), first in contested possessions (49) and first in clearances (22).



SAM GILBERT

Gilbert has won the ball off the opposition more than any other player in the competition this year. He has grabbed 20 marks off the opposition - ranked No.1 - and his counter attacks have created eight goals for the Saints - also ranked No.1 in the AFL

[saintal]

Interestingly St Kilda has won their past 12 against the Blues, but the gap has been closing in recent years.

[RoosterMarty]

Carlton +24.5
$10 @ 1.63

Another close game please.

[Mr_Willy]

Carlton +24.5
$10 @ 1.63

Another close game please.

I bloody well hope so! Surely on St Kilda's form it will be close....

[Mr_Willy]

Carlton have started brilliantly!!

For the record, I have backed my bet in and haven't layed off...

[RoosterMarty]

St Kilda need a 9 goal turnaround or thereabouts to stuff us up...

[Mr_Willy]

You just can't see it happening can you?? C'mon carlton!!

[RoosterMarty]

Still a quarter to play but it was too easy in the end.

[Mr_Willy]

Toot Toot!! Love turning $15 into $450!

[gadj1976]

Bit late but I thought I'd post these, cos I'm still alive in one, won one and lost one

SB 1016 AFL R7 Melb-WBd H2H - Western Bulldogs @$1.20 328348 AFL R7 Wce-Haw Line - Hawthorn +10.5 @$1.90 328510 AFL R7 Coll-NMlb Line - Collingwood -28.5 @$1.90 x $10 = $43.32 D 10.00 43.32

9/05/2010 4:39:48 PM 329083 * AFL:AFL R7 Adel-Rich TriBet Adelaide Over 15.5 Pts $1.45
359058 * AFL:AFL R7 Adel-Rich 1st GS Porplyzia Jason (Adel) $13.00
$5 = $94.25 L

9/05/2010 10:52:25 PM 1004 * AFL:AFL R7 Coll-NMlb H2H Collingwood $1.17
1001 * AFL:AFL R7 Adel-Rich H2H Adelaide $1.17
329283 * AFL:AFL R7 StK-Carl 1stTo25 Carlton $2.30
328758 * AFL:AFL R7 Bris-Frem TriBet Either Team Under 15.5 Pts $3.00
$10 = $94.45

WINNER

[Pottsy]

Very nice Mr Willy. The sort of result I can only dream of this season.

[Dutchy]

good work Willy

[Mr_Willy]

That's a couple of weeks in a row I have got big collects on football multis. Last week I turned $40 into $900....

Think I might give up the JC's and nags and just punt football multis!

Got a bit lucky with the Brisbane/Freo game though...