Jockey Challenge

[overloaded]

odds on look on. what a joke it is these odds on favs. Thommo is just about HOME

[Mr_Willy]

odds on look on. what a joke it is these odds on favs. Thommo is just about HOME

Wash your mouth out OL..... Don't mention that word this early please...

[Oaksnaf]

Randwick
B Shinn @ $5.50

------

D Ganderton AFTER Race 2

[Oaksnaf]

Here are the simple stats for Randwick

Code: Select all

Race   Field Size   Number   Odds   Jockey   Rides   Ave Field   Ave PP Odds
1   5   1   2.8   J Parr   1   5   2.8
1   5   4   6   N Rawiller   3   9   5.5
1   5   2   6.5   B Shinn   5   9.8   8.5
1   5   3   3.2   C Brown   4   9.25   10.2
1   5   6   9   K McEvoy   4   9.5   15
2   11   1   3.5   K Nestor   2   10.5   5
2   11   4   5   N Rawiller   3   9   5.5
2   11   2   2.8   B Looker   3   10.66   6.9
2   11   6   15   B Shinn   5   9.8   8.5
2   11   3   6.5   T Berry   4   10.5   9.15
2   11   5   11   C Brown   4   9.25   10.2
2   11   10   31   T Lovelock   3   10.6   13
2   11   8   17   T Clark   3   10.3   14
2   11   7   26   K McEvoy   4   9.5   15
2   11   11   21   J Adams   4   11   17
2   11   12   51   J Whipp   4   10   22.7
3   10   9   6   J Innes   1   10   6
3   10   1   3.5   D Ganderton   4   10.25   6.75
3   10   3   8   B Shinn   5   9.8   8.5
3   10   2   4.6   B Avdulla   3   9.66   10.2
3   10   7   13   C Brown   4   9.25   10.2
3   10   11   26   J Cassidy   5   10.4   14.8
3   10   10   13   G Schofield   3   11   15.5
3   10   5   17   G Buckly   3   10.33   16.33
3   10   6   9   K Ohara   3   10   17
3   10   13   31   J Whipp   4   10   22.7
4   11   2   5.5   N Rawiller   3   9   5.5
4   11   8   11   B Looker   3   10.66   6.9
4   11   6   3.8   B Shinn   5   9.8   8.5
4   11   3   13   C Brown   4   9.25   10.2
4   11   4   11   T Clark   3   10.3   14
4   11   15   21   J Cassidy   5   10.4   14.8
4   11   13   26   G Schofield   3   11   15.5
4   11   12   21   J Adams   4   11   17
4   11   5   21   K Ohara   3   10   17
4   11   1   26   J Ford   1   11   26
4   11   16   31   K McEwen   1   11   31
5   10   7   6   K Nestor   2   10.5   5
5   10   9   15   D Ganderton   4   10.25   6.75
5   10   3   7   B Looker   3   10.66   6.9
5   10   2   4   T Berry   4   10.5   9.15
5   10   1   5   B Avdulla   3   9.66   10.2
5   10   4   11   C Obrian   1   10   11
5   10   5   13   J Cassidy   5   10.4   14.8
5   10   10   17   K McEvoy   4   9.5   15
5   10   8   13   J Adams   4   11   17
5   10   6   5   J Whipp   4   10   22.7
6   9   6   5   D Ganderton   4   10.25   6.75
6   9   5   5   T Berry   4   10.5   9.15
6   9   9   21   B Avdulla   3   9.66   10.2
6   9   1   4.2   T Lovelock   3   10.6   13
6   9   7   15   T Clark   3   10.3   14
6   9   4   8.5   J Cassidy   5   10.4   14.8
6   9   3   6   G Buckly   3   10.33   16.33
6   9   10   21   K Ohara   3   10   17
6   9   2   3.8   J Whipp   4   10   22.7
7   12   3   3.5   D Ganderton   4   10.25   6.75
7   12   5   9   B Shinn   5   9.8   8.5
7   12   10   21   T Berry   4   10.5   9.15
7   12   2   4.6   T Lovelock   3   10.6   13
7   12   7   13   P Wells   1   12   13
7   12   9   5.5   J Cassidy   5   10.4   14.8
7   12   11   8   K McEvoy   4   9.5   15
7   12   8   8   G Schofield   3   11   15.5
7   12   12   26   G Buckly   3   10.33   16.33
7   12   1   13   J Adams   4   11   17
7   12   4   17   N Berry   1   12   17
7   12   6   21   R Quinn   1   12   21


[dodgingandweaving]

Who are the big AOJ chances in Ipswich Dodgy?

I am thinking Reith, Spinks and Taylor perhaps.... be interested in Dodgy's thoughts....

REITH!!

[dodgingandweaving]

Quirindi
$100 Thompson $17
$100 Spriggs $14

Bendigo
$25 Pumpa $51
$40 Flaherty $31

Keen keen keen on AOJ at Ipswich - $8

$200 AOJ Ipswich $8.00

I'm pretty keen on Ganderton here - not convinced he will drift after the first few races so I've taken the $7, but will go again if he inflates in price.

+ $100 Ganderton $7

[dodgingandweaving]

Hey Oaksy do you put all of that info into a spreadsheet manually? one by one?

[Mr_Willy]

Thompson could've done with some points there.... Spriggs and Paget go 1 point ahead...

[Oaksnaf]

Surely Ganderton can ONLY drift after the first 2 races with 0 points.....

I doubt he would firm. Hence why I will wait.




The simple spreadsheet is only 10 minutes worth of work. Just manually put it in. Then the averages work themselves out.

[dodgingandweaving]

AOJ Ipswich smashed into $6.50
Pumpa into $10.00
Thompson crunched in
Spriggs crunched in

lets hope the day finishes as well as it has started....

[dodgingandweaving]

Ryan Greg 1.90
Paget Matthew 4.60
Thompson Robert 6.00
Spriggs Dale 7.50
Threadwell Alison 12.50
Any Other Indiv. Jock (Quir) 34.00
Lynch Glenn 51.00
Thurlow Scott 101.00

[dodgingandweaving]

Cassidy could get to ridiculous odds after R2 too at Randwick.

[Oaksnaf]

Looking at the pre-post market. Cassidy will need a minor miracle to win todays Jockey Challenge. Has 5 rides, the equal most. But they are all on outsiders bar 1.

I suspect you will need around 6 points to win today at Randwick and can't see Cassidy winning a single race today. So will be interesting to see what happens.

[WestIndiesWonder24]

Ive Gone

$30 on brown and Rawiller
$40 AOJ QLD
$40 on Thompson and Paget @ $6
$100 on Arnold

[dodgingandweaving]

Brown Corey 3.40
Any Other indiv. Jock (Rand) 4.50
Cassidy Jim 6.50
Shinn Blake 7.00
Berry Tommy 7.00
Ganderton Daniel 8.00
Rawiller Nash 16.00
McEvoy Kerrin 21.00

Might wait til after R2, not much change in for the Goose.

[Oaksnaf]

Randwick
AFTER RACE 1

B Shinn @ $11

[Mop Up]

Seems weird reaction to bring Brown into favouritism... Was always going to win the first....
Or is it more that Rawiller and Shinn didnt score

[Oaksnaf]

Seems weird reaction to bring Brown into favouritism... Was always going to win the first....
Or is it more that Rawiller and Shinn didnt score

Shinn was on a complete outsider, so you would have to predict it being a 0 point-score. But there was always the possibility. But for Shinn to drift to $11 is HUGE OVERS to me.

Brown has 3 rides left, and they are all outsiders.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Seems weird reaction to bring Brown into favouritism... Was always going to win the first....
Or is it more that Rawiller and Shinn didnt score

Shinn was on a complete outsider, so you would have to predict it being a 0 point-score. But there was always the possibility. But for Shinn to drift to $11 is HUGE OVERS to me.

Brown has 3 rides left, and they are all outsiders.

Oaksy are you gonna jump on Shinn

[Oaksnaf]

Already have @ $11.

Had a small interest bet after Race 1 @ $5.50 just incase there was to be a point scored on the outsider. But finished 4th/5