This week's Sportsbeat article is a bit different. It looks at a potential problem looming for SANFL player resources in the next two years. It is not available directly online, but with the permission of the mods, I'm happy to reprint it here for discussion.
THE 2011 CHALLENGE FOR SANFL
The SANFL has been slowly rebuilding the strength of the competition, both on and off-field, since 1991. The introduction of the Adelaide Football Club, followed by the entry of the Port Adelaide Football Club in 1997, slowly eroded at attendances, membership numbers but more critically, the standard of the competition on-field. Losing so many players from the league to the AFL system undoubtedly hurt the on-field standard, which caused the flow-on effect to the numbers of fans attending and financially supporting their clubs.
In 2011, the AFL has committed to a team from the Gold Coast entering the league. Each AFL club will potentially lose one uncontracted player to the new franchise. The initial list will comprise 48 players;
- Twelve 17 year olds (born between January 1 and April 30, 1992 – selected in 2009 draft)
- Up to 16 uncontracted players from AFL clubs
- Selections one through to five of the 2009 Rookie Draft
- The first pick of each round of the 2010 draft, plus picks two, three, five, seven, nine, eleven, thirteen and fifteen
In addition, they will have the right to sign up to five Queensland players for the 2010 – 2012 drafts, as well as three Northern Territory players prior to the 2010 AFL Draft.
Some of these will not directly affect the SANFL at this point, particularly the last list. Many of these, however, should be sending a chill through the blood of many SANFL clubs already. Starting this year, a number of players could be immediately lost to the Gold Coast (GC17) in the 17 year old draft. On that, players are not immediately bound to leave their home state – they can remain in their home state if they wish, while still being tied to GC17. Logically, however, many will choose to leave so they can start to build their ties, both emotional and football, with their new club and state. Add to this, the initial selections in the 2009 Rookie Draft, and it could be possible, in a worst case scenario, South Australia could lose up to ten players immediately at the end of 2009 (which assumes that no other AFL club takes any other players)
Even while tied to their AFL clubs, the loss of two uncontracted players – one per SA club – will also take more talent from SA. This does not even begin to look at the 2010 scenario, when a number of players currently entering the Under 18 system, would be looked at very carefully by GC17. Not forgetting also – this will be in addition to the standard draft selections for the existing 16 AFL clubs. Past history suggests that SA could lose over ten players in the 2010 draft to those 16 clubs. In the above, worst case scenario, South Australia could lose over ten players to the other 16 clubs, and over ten to GC17 – taking over twenty highly talented youngsters straight out of the SANFL by the end of 2010.
Is this starting to concern SANFL fans? Like the old ad says – but wait, there’s more. The AFL appears hell bent on ensuring that a franchise from Western Sydney is the next cab off the rank in 2012. It is nearly impossible to think that this club will get any worse recruiting concessions than Gold Coast. Let’s say, for argument state, that the concessions are identical. If the new club is to commence in 2012, then it’s safe to say the draft concessions, selections etc will commence in 2010. Potentially, for argument sake, let’s say that five less players are taken from SA by West Sydney. This still results in over fifteen players leaving SA to go interstate.
By the end of 2011, over forty players could have now departed South Australia, to play with either GC17, WS18 or any of the other 16 clubs. While many of these will be younger players, it is highly possible that players who are currently 18 or 19 years old will be among those leaving – players currently playing senior or Reserves football, or in the Under 18 competition. Nearly two full teams of players, gone to SANFL.
The potential massive loss of these players should be starting to ring massive alarm bells to the SANFL right now. The contingency plans need to start being placed for this within months. This situation is not pie-in-the-sky – it is a reality. This could potentially be another major on-field crisis facing the SANFL, not dissimilar to the entries of Adelaide and Port. How the clubs respond to this is of paramount importance to the on-field health of the competition for the next five years. It is time NOW to prepare the response – or start watching the hard work of rebuilding slowly go down the drain.