by Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 8:57 pm
Here is mine.
WARRAGUL R12
6 DUKE OF BURNLEY $3.4
7 QUILLAN BALE $6.3
5 ZIPPING BENNY $7.0
1 REAP THE REWARDS $8.7
3 SUPERIOR PRIMO $9.6
8 TOBY TIME $11.9
10 BREAK THE PLATE $14.7
4 PAT MALONE $34.1
Comments on runners.
#1 - In a purple patch of form. Drawn well to get clear run as can ping, but will struggle to run time against these.
#10 - Out of luck and not beginning as well as previously, and will struggle to run these down.
#3 hit/miss runner, can muster up a treat mid race, but will need plenty of luck this time rails draw does help outside 1,10.
#4 slow and stays slow.
#5 begins well but wants to go wide early, shows great muster mid race and can run time here.
#6 can explode out of the boxes but goes wide hard and then wants to cut down on the bend and get the rails. Has pace.
#7 Pinger who wants the rails, needs to be untouched, cannot win when not on the lure, but has great mid race pace, will peak distance.
#8 Dream run LS with plenty of luck, hard to see crossing against these runners here, will struggle to get clear run.
Key to the race is box rise with 6 holding the 7 out, if 7 gets across then so can 8. And it changes the race. #6 will be very strong cutting across and shows strength. #5 will enjoy the space at box rise with 3,4 slow and 6 wanting wide. Gets dream cover. #7 is talented. #1 is in purple patch and will want to be on the lure, not sure if can stay there. #3 if pings gets best chance with good slot on rails behind 1.
WAGERING:
WIN #6 @ $6.50
WIN #5 @ $17
EXACTA COMBOS
6 7
6 5
7 6
5 6
6 1
6 3
1 6
6 8
3 6
6 10
8 6
7 5
Since TOP RATING is value - I will bet Trifecta combo as follows:
6 7 5
6 5 7
6 7 1
6 1 7
6 7 3
6 5 1
6 1 5
6 3 7
6 5 3
6 3 5
6 7 8
6 8 7
6 5 8
6 1 3
6 3 1
6 7 10
6 8 5
6 5 10
6 10 7
6 1 8
6 8 1
6 10 5
6 3 8
6 8 3
6 1 10
6 10 1
6 3 10
6 10 3
6 8 10
6 10 8
And all of that could be for nothing. Which is sometimes normal. haha.
Happy Punting.