AFL/SANFL RD 21 DISCUSSION

[Dutchy]

St Kilda into $1.91 with http://www.sportsbet.com.au after opening up @ $2.25.

I had 1 unit @ $2.25 (44%)
I can now get WCE $1.91 (53%) to guarantee a profit.

Question- do I guarantee a profit, or ride the overs?

I have decided that unless the Weagles blow out, I'll ride the overs- if it was a very large bet, I would lock in the guaranteed profit.

might be worth tracking the market right up to the bounce as when the team sheets come out 20 min before the game and Judd and Cousins are out then Saints might come in further and into favouritsm

[Punk Rooster]

MALODDS only to be used as a guide an for discussion purposes
SK $1-90
WC $1-90

MAL is clearly a GENIUS!

[Dutchy]

Saints Medium Win bet - WCE wont play Judd and with Kerr out and Cousins possibly hitting the wall I like th Saints here, they have much more to play for than WCE. Kosi is back and plays well fresh, Saints actually statistically have the 3rd best defence and midfield in the comp and have only lost 2 of their last 9 games to Sydney and Collingwood, both games they could have won....no losses in their last 6 games at the DOOM either, at to that they have beatn WCE already this season

Carlton TD DOOM Bet at +28.5- shouldnt be a blow out cause of the DOOM factor for the Roos, could be very competitive this one

Freo large -31.5 line bet- Melbourne must be getting the shudders when they head to the airport this season, their 5 interestate trips this year have yeilded 49, 44, 48, 77 & 89 point losses, Freo easy, this line is too small

Sydney/Collingwood will be looking a low scoring game bet option - Hopefully put Collingwood season on a knife edge!

Crows/Lions will be looking a low scoring game bet option - Just in a cracker, going along to this game and really looking forward to it

Geelong Large Line bet - easy

Hawks/Bullies NO BET - should win, will be sick of the site of the video this week, no confidence though

Essendon/Tigers NO BET - this could be game of the round and a real tight tussle

[mal]

MALODDS only to be used as a guide an for discussion purposes
SK $1-90
WC $1-90

MAL is clearly a GENIUS!

I agree with GENUIS
But I didnt know about the WC injuries

[mighty_tiger_79]

the POWER will be winning on sunday

if they dont beat Geelong on sunday then there is something wrong

[mighty_tiger_79]

i think ill be going

POwer to win
Carlton line - bandwagon of dutchys system
freo line
Glenelg win

take them individually and take a multi of some description

[Punk Rooster]

I have backed-

PAM's 2 units @ $2.30
WWT/PAM's 1 unit @ $2.67
PAM/WWT/CD 1 unit @ $4.32
St Kilda 1 unit @ $2.30
BL 1 unit @ $2.95
Stk/BL 1 unit @ $6.64
ST K/BL/Ri 1 unit @ $17.92

7.59 units profit for this week

[mal]

$1-62 CD ca chinggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg !

[G]

mighty-tiger 79, what do you possibly base your theory on that somethings wrong if Port dont beat Geelong.
1. Geelong are clearly a more talented side than Port.
2. Geelong are playing on their own dunghill.
3. Port are over rated and are not a serious flag threat.

[bayman]

mighty-tiger 79, what do you possibly base your theory on that somethings wrong if Port dont beat Geelong.
1. Geelong are clearly a more talented side than Port.
2. Geelong are playing on their own dunghill.
3. Port are over rated and are not a serious flag threat.

because he barracks for geelong i cant see port getting close but 3 assistant sanfl coaches told me during the week that they thought port would win & was a good bet but i cant see it

[Dutchy]

Honestly how can anyone think Port will win? looking a tthe stats they have no chance

good weekend Punk

so far Ive lost my small bets but won my big bets, so ahead, shows how important money management is in punting

[jackpot jim]

Power 1st to 25 pts @ $3.35 against Geelong are amazing odds.
Just put a Grand on them and will put more on later if i have a good week on the punt.
Geelong are $1.28.

Thought it would be more like $1.55 - $2.50.

Power now into $2.55 and Geelong out to $1.45 which is more like i thought they should've been at the start of the week.
My thought that the $3.35 was VALUE has now been vindicated but doesn't meen that i will win the bet but i'm Happy in my mind that i got the Best odds that i considered value.
As a matter of interest, Melbourne started around the $4.00 mark yesterday against Fremantle and were first to 25 points despite ending up getting thumped.
Also Bulldogs first to 25 against Hawthorn, so the Roughies are on a Roll.

[Dutchy]

good luck JJ

Geelong line now in 23.5, have taken a bit of that

[jackpot jim]

13 pts each. CMon Power!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Wedgie]

6 pts to go JJ, good luck!

[jackpot jim]

Power 19 - 13. C,Mon Just 1 more Goal.

[Wedgie]

Motlop lining up JJ!!

[Wedgie]

You've done it, well done!

[jackpot jim]

Just Got to LOVE Those VALUE Bets

[Dutchy]

well done JJ, luck on your side today....the withdrawls to geelong, wasnt a free kick, wasnt a 50m penalty and then the 50m was about 60m!!!!