by Rik E Boy » Thu Jul 03, 2014 11:28 pm
Round 14 Previews
Round 14 Fixtures winners in bold
cyrilandayleshow vs. Squeakeroos DTC
Spuds vs. Cork in the Ocean
REBCats vs. Poon Army
Captain Who? vs. Underdogs
Richo Richo Man vs. Longwood Lions
Q Before You vs. Hondo SCC
The Ginger Ninjas vs. MILLER MOSQUITOES
Buddy Franklin vs. Darksiders SCE
Hawkeye vs. Has Been
The Run Home
1. Buddy Franklin 44 (Darksiders, Hawkeye, Ninjas, Richo)
Buddy is a fair chance to win all of these matches although this week’s clash against the Darksiders is a tough one. Win that and Buddy will claim the Minor Premiership. Double chance all but secured
2. Cork in the Ocean 40 (Spuds, Squeakeroos, Underdogs, Hondo)
Corky has three current top eight sides in the last four weeks so top spot looks out. Faces a possible dress rehearsal for the Qualifying Final against Hondo.
3. Hondo SCC 40 (Q, Captain, Spuds, Corky)
I reckon Hondo wins all of these and gets second spot and match up with Corky in the Qualifying Final.
4. Has Been 36 (Hawkeye, The Ginger Ninjas, Richo, REBCats)
Has Been has played all of the top sides and should account for the Cats in the last round to finish on 13 wins. Might even sneak into second or third. Double chance.
5. Darksiders SCE 32 (Buddy, Q, Captain, Spuds)
The Darksiders face four pretty tough matches in the last four weeks. I’m tipping that Darksiders losing run will continue for a couple of more weeks before they right the ship in time to make the eight. Their early season form should see them finish around 6th and play the REBCats first week in the finals.
6. REBCats 30 (Poon, Lions, MOSQUITOES, Beeners)
The inconsistent REBCats won’t win all three of Poon, Lions and MOSQUITOES but can win two and cling to a top eight spot and a knockout final.
7. Q Before You 28 (Hondo, Darksiders, Hawkeye, Ninjas)
I don’t reckon Q will beat Hondo and the Darksiders game is a toss of the coin but they should win at least two matches but. I think three is the more likely call. Q has a superior percentage to Darksiders already so if they catch him on wins they get to play eighth who I reckon will be Underdogs.
8. Spuds 28 (Corky, Underdogs, Hondo, Darksiders)
The Spuds have a shocking finish to the season and I reckon it is possible that they could lose the lot. Best chances for Spud are Underdogs and if that is the weakest link then you probably haven’t done enough against the lesser sides to make the eight. Nah, can’t have the Spuds I reckon.
9. Richo Richo Man 28 (Lions, MOSQUITOES, Beeners, Buddy)
I reckon Richo is just about done. If they can’t beat the Longwood Lions this week then it’s season over for Richo as his last two teams are against the ‘expansion’ franchises who have both had dominant seasons this year.
10. Underdogs 26 (Captain, Spuds, Corky, Squeakeroos)
I’m backing the Underdogs to steal eighth spot over the Captain in a real tight squeeze. For me the Captain has to win this week to be any chance and I reckon he might just get up. But after that the Captain has Hondo and Darksiders so they could both go 2-2 over the last month. If that happens, Gibbo plays finals.
11. Captain Who? 24 (Underdogs, Hondo, Darksiders, Hawkeye)
I’m thinking that the Captain’s brave run will finish just short and he’ll end up in Tiger territory, i.e. Ninth. For the Captain to make the eight he has to definitely beat Underdogs and find a way to triumph over Hondo or the Darksiders. Tough gig.
12. Squeakeroos DTC 20 (Cyril, Corky, Poon, Underdogs)
Like the Spuds, I reckon Squeaky is done. He might prove me wrong and salute against cyrilanddayleshow and or Poon but I’m not liking them against Cork In the Ocean or Underdogs.
13. Cyrilanddayleshow 18 (Squeakeroos, Poon, Lions, MOSQUITOES)
I can see quite a few teams going 2-2 in the next month and Cyril is one of them. Unlike some teams though, that won’t be enough for bloods to make the eight but relegation should be avoided.
14. Poon Army 16 (REBCats, Cyril, Squeakeroos, Lions)
Poon Army is performing better in recent weeks and I think they can win three of these matches but which three is the question. They have a good record against REBCats and have a very similar scoring rate so that one is fifty fifty. The last match against the Lions looks to be the deal breaker. Hammo needs to win all four and rely on other results to make it so they are an unlikely finalist at this stage.
15. MILLER MOSQUITOES 16 (Ninjas, Richo, REBCats, Cyril)
MILLERS have had their worst ever Hogg Premier season and needs to defeat The Ginger Ninjas or face relegation. The loser of that game is in real trouble although MILLERS other matches look a little easier so they might escape even if they do lose.
16. Hawkeye 16 (Beeners, Buddy, Q, Captain)
Hawkeye’s Premier League career is all but over when you look at this set of fixtures. I can’t see Woggy winning any of these games so he looks headed for Division I.
17. The Ginger Ninjas 14 (MOSQUITOES, Beeners, Richo, Q)
You couldn’t back the Ninjas against Has Been or Q Before You so they must win this week and maybe against Richo as well to avoid relegation. I reckon they’ll be relegated along with Hawkeye.
18. Longwood Lions 12 (Richo, REBCats, Cyril, Poon)
The Lions have a side good enough to avoid the drop but are only mathematical chances of making the finals due to the Spuds tough run. Like Poon, I can see them winning three matches but they could also lose three as well. If the good Lions turn up in the next month they’ll be in Premier League again next season.
REB Sez
1. Buddy Franklin 60
2. Hondo SCC 52
3. Cork in the Ocean 52
4. Has Been 52
5. Q Before You 40
6. Darksiders SCE 40
7. REBCats 38
8. Underdogs 34
Two massive games this week. MILLERS MOSQUITOES vs. Ginger Ninjas could decide which one survives the drop because I reckon the Lions can escape the cage. In a crucial finals defining match up, Captain Who must defeat Underdogs or the last three weeks could become academic.
regards,
REB