by Rik E Boy » Thu Aug 22, 2013 10:23 pm
Hogg Premier Prelim Final Previews
1st Preliminary Final 1 - Captain Who? vs. 6 - Buddyroughhawks
The reigning Hogg champion is two matches away from a historic back to back premiership at this level but faces the not inconsiderable challenge that is represented by the looming Buddyroughhawks. For the Captain it must be asked - does the man have trades? McEvoy in the ruck with Jacobs as back up is a huge question mark for a side of his calibre. If Groover is in a trade rich environment it must be very tempting to trade in Nicholls and upgrade McEvoy who looks cooked. With Clisby and Heppell down back Captain Who won't be alone with woes in that part of the ground but even without trades there are no donuts even though Blayne Wilson won't be causing wycbloods to lose any sleep. Midfield all good but as I've said on this site several times tonight there is a big red light flashing over Cotchin. 2-5 for the Tigers against GWS = a late out (I'm hoping it's Martin). Like many, Groover has Tom Mitchell as cover in this area. Up front the Captain is solid but he won't be hoping for a late out for Martin.
His opponent buddy is down two in defence as well with Hartlett rubbed out and Clisby still serving his suspension. Discipline bloods! The buddy's midfield looks even better than Captain Who so nice work there against one of the most accomplished coaches in the Hogg. With no Cotchin to worry about this is a real potential area of advantage. The Cox/Roughead combination eclipses Groovers set up...he HAS to trade to win this I feel. Up forward small forwards Rioli and Harvey will be giving Groover plenty of headaches.
Groover hasn't put a foot wrong for nearly two years now but I reckon his premiership defence might end this weekend. I reckon an upset is on the cards here. My tip - Buddyroughhawks.
2nd Preliminary Final 2 - Q Before You vs. 5 - Underdogs
Experienced Hogg coach Underdogs has the biggest match of her career against a battle hardened Q Before You combination in what looms as another excellent Preliminary Final. The Underdogs have been scoring strongly at the right time of the year this time around after petering out a bit towards the end last year. Q Before You would have been a raging favourite for the this clash but he's had some REB-like luck with his backline during the week off. Hartlett - tick, Heppell - tick, Shaw, Gibbs, Hanley, tick tick tick. All this ticking could be a timebomb that could blow apart the Q Man. The Q Man has an excellent midfield and the best possible ruck combination of Minson and Goldstein pretty hard to top that. Up forward six guns await with Buddy and Dusty the potential weak links but you'd expect to get more than the 126 they got between them last week. If Q Man goes down here with his beautifully prepared side, it will be the backline time bomb that gets him.
The Underdogs have a history of doing well in the finals but this is the first time they have come this far at this level. Gibbo has Hartlett as well but dodged the Heppell bullet. Clisby is still rubbed out but that won't cost the sharksta many points. It's Cox v Minson in the rucks as the Dogs selected a Dog instead of hopping on the Roo. Up forward a potential wildcard could be Nick Reiwoldt. Not many teams have the Alpaca in their side and a big result for Nick this week could stun the Q Man. I expect that both teams have trades left, certainly plural in Q Man's case. I reckon Q Man will make the moves needed to avoid the time bomb and qualify for this second successive grand final in Hogg Premier League. My tip - Q Before You.
regards,
REB