99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

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99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby AFLflyer » Mon May 07, 2012 10:27 am

What do you think?
these are the percentage chances of Sloan, Danger and Tippett staying at AFC beyond 2012, according to rowey.
i guess he knows more than the average supporter.

I know this topic has been up plenty of times before, but signing these three is crucial!!
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Footy Smart » Mon May 07, 2012 1:06 pm

With Tippet, he is our highest paid player. He isnt going to be able to get that much at GC, they are needing to secure there own talent with higher paid contracts as well.

If it comes down to money i believe he will stay, if its the dredded 'go home' factor GC should win out no matter what.

Danger will be a 5 year contact IMO and they think Rory is almost over the line.
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Hefty » Mon May 07, 2012 1:12 pm

Interesting rumour mill going around today regarding a Dangerfield swap for Menzel...
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Gingernuts » Mon May 07, 2012 2:12 pm

Hefty wrote:Interesting rumour mill going around today regarding a Dangerfield swap for Menzel...


It's just a hyperthetical that Neil Balme threw out on Melbourne radio. Wishfull thinking by Geelong IMO, I'm confident he'll will stay.

Dangerfield is being coy because it helps negotiations. I would think there is currently plenty of room to move in the Adelaide salary cap with only Tippett & Scotty Thompson being on big money. They will find him what he needs.

Anyway, when have the media been correct with any of the defections over the last couple of years?? The were too busy manufacturing stories about Tippett leaving for GC to spot the Bock signing. Then last year they were so busy talking up Walker to GWS (because he comes from NSW, Broken Hill is hardly that :roll: ) that they didn't see the Davis signing coming till the day of the press conference!

My rule of thumb is - if the media are talking about it, then they are staying.
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby hawks21 » Mon May 07, 2012 3:14 pm

Hefty wrote:Interesting rumour mill going around today regarding a Dangerfield swap for Menzel...

Plus 3 1st round draft picks please!

Dangerfield will go no where, 99% signed, management just waiting until 2nd half of the year for those extra 2 years and $$$.

On Menzel, i have also heard he is a massive chance to return home but i wouldnt be giving up the world for him (coming back from a knee reco can be tough)
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Browny25 » Mon May 07, 2012 3:16 pm

Give Danger a 5 year contract
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Psyber » Tue May 08, 2012 11:37 am

Of the three I'd be more concerned about making sure of signing Dangerfield and Sloane than Tippett.
I would like us to keep him too but not if it meant losing one of the other two.
I also think Walker is gradually developing into a better bet for FF than Tippett.
EPIGENETICS - Lamarck was right!
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Wynarka » Tue May 08, 2012 2:01 pm

Gingernuts wrote:
Hefty wrote:Interesting rumour mill going around today regarding a Dangerfield swap for Menzel...


It's just a hyperthetical that Neil Balme threw out on Melbourne radio. Wishfull thinking by Geelong IMO, I'm confident he'll will stay.

Dangerfield is being coy because it helps negotiations. I would think there is currently plenty of room to move in the Adelaide salary cap with only Tippett & Scotty Thompson being on big money. They will find him what he needs.

Anyway, when have the media been correct with any of the defections over the last couple of years?? The were too busy manufacturing stories about Tippett leaving for GC to spot the Bock signing. Then last year they were so busy talking up Walker to GWS (because he comes from NSW, Broken Hill is hardly that :roll: ) that they didn't see the Davis signing coming till the day of the press conference!

My rule of thumb is - if the media are talking about it, then they are staying.

So if Danger is staying, who's going by your own logic? McKay?
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby hawks21 » Tue May 08, 2012 3:40 pm

Wynarka wrote:
Gingernuts wrote:
Hefty wrote:Interesting rumour mill going around today regarding a Dangerfield swap for Menzel...


It's just a hyperthetical that Neil Balme threw out on Melbourne radio. Wishfull thinking by Geelong IMO, I'm confident he'll will stay.

Dangerfield is being coy because it helps negotiations. I would think there is currently plenty of room to move in the Adelaide salary cap with only Tippett & Scotty Thompson being on big money. They will find him what he needs.

Anyway, when have the media been correct with any of the defections over the last couple of years?? The were too busy manufacturing stories about Tippett leaving for GC to spot the Bock signing. Then last year they were so busy talking up Walker to GWS (because he comes from NSW, Broken Hill is hardly that :roll: ) that they didn't see the Davis signing coming till the day of the press conference!

My rule of thumb is - if the media are talking about it, then they are staying.

So if Danger is staying, who's going by your own logic? McKay?

Wouldnt be suprised to see Chris Knights return home
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Footy Smart » Tue May 08, 2012 3:50 pm

hawks21 wrote:
Wynarka wrote:
Gingernuts wrote:
Hefty wrote:Interesting rumour mill going around today regarding a Dangerfield swap for Menzel...


It's just a hyperthetical that Neil Balme threw out on Melbourne radio. Wishfull thinking by Geelong IMO, I'm confident he'll will stay.

Dangerfield is being coy because it helps negotiations. I would think there is currently plenty of room to move in the Adelaide salary cap with only Tippett & Scotty Thompson being on big money. They will find him what he needs.

Anyway, when have the media been correct with any of the defections over the last couple of years?? The were too busy manufacturing stories about Tippett leaving for GC to spot the Bock signing. Then last year they were so busy talking up Walker to GWS (because he comes from NSW, Broken Hill is hardly that :roll: ) that they didn't see the Davis signing coming till the day of the press conference!

My rule of thumb is - if the media are talking about it, then they are staying.

So if Danger is staying, who's going by your own logic? McKay?

Wouldnt be suprised to see Chris Knights return home


for free
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby Psyber » Sun Aug 10, 2014 4:44 pm

Psyber wrote:Of the three I'd be more concerned about making sure of signing Dangerfield and Sloane than Tippett.
I would like us to keep him too but not if it meant losing one of the other two.
I also think Walker is gradually developing into a better bet for FF than Tippett.


It's nice to see signs today that I may have been right when I said this in May 2012...
EPIGENETICS - Lamarck was right!
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Re: 99.5%, 98% and 50% chance

Postby stan » Mon Aug 11, 2014 10:24 am

Psyber wrote:
Psyber wrote:Of the three I'd be more concerned about making sure of signing Dangerfield and Sloane than Tippett.
I would like us to keep him too but not if it meant losing one of the other two.
I also think Walker is gradually developing into a better bet for FF than Tippett.


It's nice to see signs today that I may have been right when I said this in May 2012...

Its always interesting having look back at situations like these.
Read my reply. It is directed at you because you have double standards
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