2011 Brownlow

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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby OnSong » Tue Aug 02, 2011 9:29 pm

I tried a bit of research into the relationship Champion Data rankings have on the Brownlow.
What I found was: three of the last four years, the Brownlow winner had an SC average of at least 110. Cooney still was averaging over 100, but it's safe to call his victory an outlier.
I can't find SC rankings for 2006 and 2005 but I would imagine Goodes and Cousins would have been top three at least.
Rarely in the past six years, has the Brownlow Winner came out of the top 5 ranked Supercoach players according to Champion Data.

2010
Winner: Chris Judd - Ranked 4th (118 ave). Goddard, Ablett, Swan, Montagna were top 5.

2009
Winner: Gary Ablett Jr - Ranked 1st (140 ave). Hayes, Montagna, Swan, Goddard were top 5.

2008
Winner: Adam Cooney - Ranked 23rd (106 ave). Ablett, Hodge, Bartel, Harvey, Cox were top 5.

2007
Winner: James Bartel - Ranked 1st (125 ave). Kerr, Ablett, Bowden, Dal Santo were top 5.

2006: Goodes, ave 120.

2005: Cousins, ave 124.

Current averages:

Pendlebury: 130
Cox: 129
Dal Santo 123
Gary Ablett: 123
Swan: 120
Murphy: 119
Judd: 116
Priddis:115
Golstein: 114
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby JK » Wed Aug 03, 2011 8:16 am

I reckon clearances is the big stat .. Combine a cleaance machine with someone quick or who executes well and there's the winner I reckon
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Johno6 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 8:43 am

So....Judd then? :lol:
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby JK » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:57 am

Johno6 wrote:So....Judd then? :lol:


Pretty much :D
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby OnSong » Wed Aug 03, 2011 10:27 am

Think Judd is inflating Pendlebury's price.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Squids » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:06 pm

If you are keen on Pendlebury, cover yourself with him to lead Collingwoods votes, currently at $1.77, Swan is about $2.20 (Swan hasn't done a thing this year). I think Judd is safe baring suspension / injury.

Other bets I like

Black to win Brisbane votes at $1.77 - Redden is second, has had a good year but I am not sure he will get the notice of the umpires. Black is a proven vote getter in the past.

Scott Thompson to win crows votes at $1.42, its short but it's a lock.

Goodes to win Swans votes at $1.85, Jude Bolton has been better in the games I have seen but isn't a vote getter and Goodes is probably to best vote getter in the game, who else gets 14 possesions and gets 3 votes..

Lets all pray the TAB let us multi these this year.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby OnSong » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:08 pm

Squids wrote:If you are keen on Pendlebury, cover yourself with him to lead Collingwoods votes, currently at $1.77, Swan is about $2.20 (Swan hasn't done a thing this year). I think Judd is safe baring suspension / injury.

Other bets I like

Black to win Brisbane votes at $1.77 - Redden is second, has had a good year but I am not sure he will get the notice of the umpires. Black is a proven vote getter in the past.

Scott Thompson to win crows votes at $1.42, its short but it's a lock.

Goodes to win Swans votes at $1.85, Jude Bolton has been better in the games I have seen but isn't a vote getter and Goodes is probably to best vote getter in the game, who else gets 14 possesions and gets 3 votes..

Lets all pray the TAB let us multi these this year.

Didn't last year. Bet they won't this year as well. I had my single biggest bet on the Brownlow last year with $500 on Leigh Montagna to poll more than Michael Barlow @ $1.80. Free money.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Mop Up » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:14 pm

Where you finding these prices OnSong? TAB?

Daisy Thomas must be a chance for most votes from Collingwood... or does the club votes not include suspended players either??
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby OnSong » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:20 pm

Mop Up wrote:Where you finding these prices OnSong? TAB?

Daisy Thomas must be a chance for most votes from Collingwood... or does the club votes not include suspended players either??

Squids is quoting the prices for this year, my quote was from last year. Not sure where he's digging them up from, wouldn't mind a look myself.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Squids » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:36 pm

OnSong wrote:
Mop Up wrote:Where you finding these prices OnSong? TAB?

Daisy Thomas must be a chance for most votes from Collingwood... or does the club votes not include suspended players either??

Squids is quoting the prices for this year, my quote was from last year. Not sure where he's digging them up from, wouldn't mind a look myself.


Centrebet

Yeah I heard the TAB used to get smashed on Brownlow multis thats why the stopped them. I remember making a fair but using Mitch Clark as top ruckman minus Cox, was an anchor for most of my multis and it was like $4.

Thomas is $12 for most Pies votes.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Brodlach » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:46 pm

Here is the full list.

Brent to thread :lol:

Fremantle Most Votes - Most Brownlow Votes - Fremantle
PAVLICH, M (FRE) 1.67
FYFE, N (FRE) 2.20
MUNDY, D (FRE) 21.00
SANDILANDS, A (FRE) 26.00
BROUGHTON, G (FRE) 34.00
BRADLEY, K (FRE) 41.00
LOWER, N (FRE) 41.00

St Kilda Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
St Kilda Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - St Kilda
DAL SANTO, N (STK) 1.60
GODDARD, B (STK) 3.75
MONTAGNA, L (STK) 7.00
FISHER, S (STK) 12.00
RIEWOLDT, N (STK) 13.00
MILNE, S (STK) 81.00
JONES, C (STK) 126.00

Carlton Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Carlton Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes -Carlton
JUDD, C (CAR) 1.38
MURPHY, M (CAR) 3.00
GIBBS, B (CAR) 11.00
SCOTLAND, H (CAR) 41.00
SIMPSON, K (CAR) 126.00
YARRAN, C (CAR) 126.00

Geelong Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Geelong Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Team
SELWOOD, J (GEE) 1.50
BARTEL, J (GEE) 5.00
JOHNSON, S (GEE) 5.50
KELLY, J (GEE) 13.00
TAYLOR, H (GEE) 21.00
PODSIADLY, J (GEE) 34.00
CHAPMAN, P (GEE) 51.00
ENRIGHT, C (GEE) 51.00

Gold Coast Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Gold Coast Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Gold Coast
ABLETT, G (GC) 1.01
RISCHITELLI, M (GC) 12.00
BRENNAN, J (GC) 13.00
DIXON, C (GC) 81.00
SMITH, Z (GC) 81.00
SWALLOW, D (GC) 101.00

Melbourne Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Melbourne Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Melbourne
MOLONEY, B (MELB) 1.22
MCKENZIE, J (MELB) 8.00
JAMAR, M (MELB) 11.00
JURRAH, L (MELB) 11.00
SYLVIA, C (MELB) 26.00
GREEN, B (MELB) 34.00
PETTERD, R (MELB) 41.00

Essendon Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Essendon Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Essendon
WATSON, J (ESS) 1.16
STANTON, B (ESS) 8.00
HOCKING, H (ESS) 11.00
CRAMERI, S (ESS) 21.00
FLETCHER, D (ESS) 26.00
ZAHARAKIS, D (ESS) 34.00
MONFRIES, A (ESS) 41.00

Sydney Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Sydney Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Team
GOODES, A (SYD) 1.85
BOLTON, J (SYD) 3.10
O'KEEFE, R (SYD) 5.00
KENNEDY, J (SYD) 17.00
REID, S (SYD) 26.00
MCVEIGH, J (SYD) 34.00

Collingwood Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Collingwood Most Votes 2011 - |Most Brownlow Votes - Collingwood
PENDLEBURY, S (COLL) 1.77
SWAN, D (COLL) 2.25
CLOKE, T (COLL) 11.00
THOMAS, D (COLL) 12.00
DAVIS, L (COLL) 81.00
BALL, L (COLL) 126.00
SIDEBOTTOM, S (COLL) 126.00

Port Adelaide Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Port Adelaide Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Port Adelaide
BOAK, T (PTA) 2.00
THOMAS, M (PTA) 6.00
BROGAN, D (PTA) 8.00
CORNES, K (PTA) 8.00
HARTLETT, H (PTA) 8.00
CHAPLIN, T (PTA) 11.00
GRAY, R (PTA) 12.00

Adelaide Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Adelaide Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Adelaide
THOMPSON, S (ADEL) 1.42
DANGERFIELD, P (ADEL) 5.00
TIPPETT, K (ADEL) 11.00
VAN BERLO, N (ADEL) 14.00
KNIGHTS, C (ADE) 17.00
WALKER, T (ADEL) 21.00
JOHNCOCK, G (ADE) 26.00

Brisbane Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Brisbane Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Brisbane
BLACK, S (BRIS) 1.77
REDDEN, J (BRIS) 6.00
ROCKLIFF, T (BRIS) 6.50
ADCOCK, J (BRIS) 9.00
RICH, D (BRIS) 9.00
BROWN, J (BRIS) 12.00
HANLEY, P (BRIS) 51.00

Hawthorn Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Hawthorn Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Hawthorn
MITCHELL, S (HAW) 1.33
FRANKLIN, L (HAW) 4.20
SEWELL, B (HAW) 10.00
HODGE, L (HAW) 11.00
LEWIS, J (HAW) 41.00
BURGOYNE, S (HAW) 126.00
SUCKLING, M (HAW) 151.00

North Melbourne Most Votes
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
North Melbourne Most Votes - Most Brownlow Votes - North Melbourne
SWALLOW, A (NM) 1.63
WELLS, D (NM) 3.60
PETRIE, D (NM) 7.50
GOLDSTEIN, T (NM) 12.00
ZIEBELL, J (NM) 16.00
HARVEY, B (NM) 26.00
RAWLINGS, B (NM) 126.00

Richmond Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Richmond Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - Richmond
COTCHIN, T (RICH) 2.25
DELEDIO, B (RICH) 3.50
MARTIN, D (RICH) 4.00
FOLEY, N (RICH) 10.00
RIEWOLDT, J (RICH) 11.00
NAHAS, R (RICH) 34.00
RANCE, A (RICH) 34.00
HOULI, B (RICH) 67.00

West Coast Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
West Coast Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes - West Coast
COX, D (WCE) 2.20
PRIDDIS, M (WCE) 2.40
EMBLEY, A (WCE) 11.00
KENNEDY, J (WCE) 12.00
SHUEY, L (WCE) 13.00
KERR, D (WCE) 15.00

Western Bulldogs Most Votes 2011
Start:
Closing:
Market is open.
Pay on the player polling the most votes in the AFL Brownlow Medal from this club.Players ineligible from winning the medal, can still be deemed highest vote getter for their club. Dead Heat Rule applies. All in. Quote Others on Request.SINGLES ONLY
Western Bulldogs Most Votes 2011 - Most Brownlow Votes -Western Bulldogs
BOYD, M (WBD) 1.25
GRIFFEN, R (WBD) 4.60
GIANSIRACUSA, D (WBD) 17.00
WARD, C (WBD) 17.00
CROSS, D (WBD) 34.00
COONEY, A (WBD) 41.00
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Big Al » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:57 pm

What do people think about cox at $2.20 looks reasonable using the supercoach points system, has he missed any games?
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Bum Crack » Wed Aug 03, 2011 12:58 pm

Daniel Wells pretty good value I would have thought.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby OnSong » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:02 pm

Bum Crack wrote:Daniel Wells pretty good value I would have thought.

Yep, Swallow a bit too short there. Would be more 50/50 between them two in my mind.
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Brodlach » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:04 pm

How about ROK at Sydney $5?

I agree about Cox BA
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Brodlach » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:07 pm

Any value? Collingwood looks good at $6

2011 Team of Brownlow Winner - Winning TeamOdds updated at 06:50:10 19:30 Mon 26 Sep 2011
Sportsbet No. Selection Price Amount Total
5337 CARLTON 2.00 $
5338 COLLINGWOOD 6.00 $
5349 WEST COAST 7.00 $
5347 ST KILDA 10.00 $
5351 GOLD COAST 11.00 $
5350 WESTERN BULLDOGS 11.00 $
5336 BRISBANE 26.00 $
5343 NORTH MELBOURNE 26.00 $
5346 RICHMOND 34.00 $
5348 SYDNEY 34.00 $
5339 ESSENDON 41.00 $
5340 FREMANTLE 41.00 $
5342 HAWTHORN 51.00 $
5341 GEELONG 81.00 $
5335 ADELAIDE 101.00 $
5344 MELBOURNE 201.00 $
5345 PORT ADELAIDE 201.00 $
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Johno6 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:11 pm

I agree on Cox at $2.20.
gotta love the $2.20 on offer for cox....... :lol:
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Brodlach » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:15 pm

Johno6 wrote:I agree on Cox at $2.20.
gotta love the $2.20 on offer for cox....... :lol:



Only if your that way inclinded ;)




Not that there is anything wrong with that :lol:
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Johno6 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:16 pm

I'm not that way inclined.... but i still love big cox!
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Re: 2011 Brownlow

Postby Mop Up » Wed Aug 03, 2011 1:52 pm

Without doing any research yet, ones that look like could be value

Thomas $12
Fyfe @2.20
Cox $2.20
Wells $3.60
Griffin $4.60
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