AFL Grand Final

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AFL Grand Final

Postby Smart Punting » Fri Sep 24, 2010 2:57 pm

We have reached that last Saturday in September once again. This match is set up to be an absolute cracker. For St.Kilda it is unfinished buisness. But they are going to have t get past the best side all year in Collingwood. There are two key factors to this match, preparation and goalkicking. With the Saints making the GF last year they will now have the critical experience about how to handle the weeks build up and emotions throughout the game. The other key is how straight can either team kick, but more so the Magpies The weeks leading up into the finals and the first finals their accuracy was terrible. With the pressure of the ocassion, nerves will get the better of some and with the Magpies still relatively young, it could be them. As we have seen, once it starts it's hard to stop. Although both teams want to bring the sliverware home as much as the other, the Saints will have that extra burning desire after last years heartbreak. Collingwood have lost 17 of their last 20 GF's, St. Kilda have beaten them 4 out of the last 5 times. The other interesting stat is in the last 10 years, the team who wins the GF lost to their opponent in the previous meeting between the two sides, and in Rd 16 it was the Magpies who came out on top. If the Saints do get up, it is someone like Lenny Hayes will lead the troops.

Grand Final tips:
•0.75unit - St.Kilda 1-24 @ $4.35 (S)
•0.25unit - Lenny Hayes Norm Smith Medalist @ $13 (S)
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby mal » Sat Sep 25, 2010 12:55 pm

Going to use this tactic 4 todays game
the market is in rounmd terms at
CO 1-40
SK 2-90

I think the side that gets a break early will win[derrrrr]
Lets say a 3 goal lead to either side early
The market on Betfair might be

CO up by 18 points
CO $1-25
SK $4-20
NO BET WATCH THE GAME

SK up by 18 points
CO $1-70
SK $2-30
BACK SK

And thats when I get on the best defensive unit in the comp at the $2-30

CO invariably thrash teams with early leads
SK invariably defend thier leads and only do enough to win
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby A Mum » Sat Sep 25, 2010 1:44 pm

Just for interest sake I have taken:

Sidebottom to kick the first goal.
Collingwood to win by 33-34 points.
Dale Thomas for Norm Smith.

O:)
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby Brodlach » Sat Sep 25, 2010 2:46 pm

My Norm Smith bets are

Maxwell
Jolly

Fisher
Ball
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby brod » Sun Sep 26, 2010 12:32 am

What a frustrating day..lost everything JUST

St Kilda WIN @ $2.95
St Kilda 1-9 @ $12
Goddard most disposals Group A @ $6.50 (lost by one)
Fisher most disposals Group B @ @$4.50 (lost by one)

What was looking at a great pay day was a big ZERO :(
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby Johno6 » Sun Sep 26, 2010 7:46 am

im not gonna post all my bets coz its after the event etc... But i had a good day yesterday bettin wise. If saints won it wouldv been an awesome day.
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby mal » Sun Sep 26, 2010 10:36 am

Spare a thought for my friend
His bet on the g/f
C0-C0-C0-C0 to lead all the way odds $2-32
He was $396 richer nearly all day , now he is $300 poorer
His response, NO MORE

Spare a thought for the 1-39 punters who all lost



A grand Final to remember
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby Johno6 » Sun Sep 26, 2010 10:54 am

do we get hald divvy for draw or nothin?
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby Dutchy » Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:08 am

Johno6 wrote:do we get hald divvy for draw or nothin?


Half if you bet H2H
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Sun Sep 26, 2010 12:47 pm

there were punters that lost but some did win.

I think saints have more positives and will win next week
Last edited by mighty_tiger_79 on Mon Sep 27, 2010 10:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby CoverKing » Mon Sep 27, 2010 3:44 am

Brodlach wrote:My Norm Smith bets are

Maxwell
Jolly

Fisher
Ball

3 collingwood players and 1 saints you know brodlach? :lol:
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby the big bang » Mon Sep 27, 2010 8:27 am

CoverKing wrote:
Brodlach wrote:My Norm Smith bets are

Maxwell
Jolly

Fisher
Ball

3 collingwood players and 1 saints you know brodlach? :lol:



geez.....i read that the other day and i didn't pick that up!
wuuuzzzzz
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby CoverKing » Mon Sep 27, 2010 1:08 pm

I was very bored last night when I got home from work last night!!

I did read it three times myself :lol:
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Mon Sep 27, 2010 1:08 pm

South Australian Football League 2010
SANFL - Premiership 2010 - Outright Winner Next Sports Event L Safarova v V Azarenka @ (Tennis) M Przysiezny v S Giraldo @ (Tennis) New York Jets At Miami Dolphins - LIVE BETTING @ (LIVE BETTING) K Date Krumm v M Sharapova @ (Tennis) N Petrova v R Vinci @ (Tennis)
Time Left: 147 Hr 32 Min

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3-10-2010 16:40AEDST
Winner
Central District 1.60
Norwood 2.32
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Mon Sep 27, 2010 1:09 pm

SANFL 2010
SANFL Premiership 2010 (Collapse All Markets)

showAllPrices SANFL 2010 Premiership 2010-09-29T14:00:0010:00 AM, Thu 30 Sep 2010

Additional Markets (Collapse All)
SANFL 2010 Premiership Wnr - SANFL Premiership Bet Win Odds

19005 Centrals 1.45
19009 Norwood 2.70
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby Mythical Creature » Mon Sep 27, 2010 2:05 pm

Dutchy wrote:
Johno6 wrote:do we get hald divvy for draw or nothin?


Half if you bet H2H


So if I bet $50 on Saints to win @ $2.65, are you saying that I should get a return of $66.25?
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby mal » Mon Sep 27, 2010 2:36 pm

$66-25 is correct for head to head bets
A LATEMALish profit of $16-25

Premiership bets are carried over to next week without a result
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby cje » Mon Sep 27, 2010 3:56 pm

a few weeks ago i had premiership norm smith double with saints lenny hayes if saints win next week will i get half if lenny doesnt win norm smith next week as he did recieve the medal for game 1?
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby Mr_Willy » Mon Sep 27, 2010 6:56 pm

cje wrote:a few weeks ago i had premiership norm smith double with saints lenny hayes if saints win next week will i get half if lenny doesnt win norm smith next week as he did recieve the medal for game 1?


That's a cracking question! I would suggest perhaps a half dividend unless he gets it again this week?
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Re: AFL Grand Final

Postby CoverKing » Mon Sep 27, 2010 6:59 pm

Mr_Willy wrote:
cje wrote:a few weeks ago i had premiership norm smith double with saints lenny hayes if saints win next week will i get half if lenny doesnt win norm smith next week as he did recieve the medal for game 1?


That's a cracking question! I would suggest perhaps a half dividend unless he gets it again this week?


I reckon they'll pay the full dividend. After all you did get the Norm Smith and Premiership double.

(Part of the risk for the bookies that multiple combos could occur)
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