Dutchy'$ Footy 2010

[mighty_tiger_79]

Port Magpies +18.5
$111 @ $1.90

lets hope the rain continues

[mighty_tiger_79]

great start to the weekend Dutchy

this will be the turning point in the season for your punting

[Dutchy]

Richmond +43.5
$100 @ $2.04

[mighty_tiger_79]

good get with the tigers Dutchy

2/2 so far this weekend

I must say I wasnt convinced about that line

[Dutchy]

Brisbane/Essendon under 196.5
$85 @ $1.88

[Dutchy]

Week 22

SANFL +$99.90
AFL +$178.80
TOTAL +$278.70

Dutchy'$ Footy 2010
NAB Cup +$140.16
SANFL -$678.50
AFL -$2,106.76
TOTAL -$2,645.10

[Dutchy]

Carlton/Freo looks like a high scoring shootout on paper, however I think the 192.5 line on offer is too high, AFL average is 180 for a start so above that. Then consider Freo who are favoured to win have only scored over 100 points twice in their last 10 games (against WCE and Port). A real strength of Freo this year has been their defensive pressure and tackling, with their "rest" policy from last week I expect them to be fresh and this to be a mini final type atmoshpere, with a low scoring physical contest. If I had more confidence Id hit this one a bit harder.

Freo/Carlton Under 192.5
$111 @ $1.90

Futures


Bullies/Glenelg win Flag
$30 @ $44.00

Saints/Glenelg win Flag
$40 @ $20.00

Geelong/Glenelg win Flag
$75 @ $10.00

[Dutchy]

Collingwood are yet to lose a game during the day this year, apart from their games against Melbourne their lowest win during the day was 6 goals, reckon they should do enough to beat the Hawks today. The Bullies just win. Reckon WCE can keep it within 10 goals today, bit a rain might help and the fact the Cats havent rested players this year and might take the foot off late in the game. Also expect Adelaide and Brisbane to keep their games close.


Collingwood/Bullies Win
$125 @ $1.81

Brisbane +39.5 / Adelaide +39.5 / Bullies Win
$100 @ $2.04

WCE +70.5
$83 @ $1.92

[Dutchy]

South Adelaide +22.5
$165 @ $1.90

South play their last game for the year, also Ben Warrens last game who is highly respected at South. South have a great recent record of covering lines at home. They are low on talent but high on effort and today being their last game and at home and against a team that isnt a high scorer, I expect them to cover the 22 points again.

[RoosterMarty]

I also like the South line today, considering West only kicked 3 goals for the game last week I will take the 22! Hopefully Westies tire late on after the shocking conditions last week.

[Dutchy]

Glenelg/Roos +39.5
$115 @ $1.60

Roos Win
$165 @ $1.92

[Dutchy]

Saints Under 72.5 Points
$165 @ $1.88

[Dutchy]

Hawks/Freo Under 186.5
$111 @ $1.90

Bullies +24.5
$165 @ $1.92

Bullies win flag
$75 @ $14.50

[Punk Rooster]

Bullies win flag
$75 @ $14.50

The Bullies won't win the flag, but I can understanding you taking that price

[mighty_tiger_79]

Bullies win flag
$75 @ $14.50

The Bullies won't win the flag, but I can understanding you taking that price

agree PR, the bullies arent upto it

[mighty_tiger_79]

ive gone dogs +40.5 - $1.41 and taken that into geelong $1.10 v freo for a double of $1.55

[Q.]

Dutchy, you reckon Sportsbet have been a bit generous with their Total Points Over/Under line in today's game?

Currently $1.88 for Under 180.5.

On Betfair the Under 181.5 has been backed into $1.69.

[Q.]

Had a crack a fair crack at it. First AFL bet for a couple of months

[Dutchy]

Agree Q the under is the go, not usually high scoring games at ANZ

Norwood Win/Sydney Under 95.5
$100 @ $2.63

[Q.]

I remember why I'd stopped punting now