Jockey Challenge

[dodgingandweaving]

Oaksy knows his way around a spreadsheet....

Need a formula that shows the chances of scoring 3 pts in a race, or something along those lines....

ie:
- 8 runners in a race, Bowman's ride is a 20% chance of scoring 3 pts
- 15 runners in the race, Schofield's ride is a 1% chance of scoring 3 pts

[dodgingandweaving]

Randwick 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 odds/per ride no. Rides no. Rides/ave odds per ride
Adams 9 3.2 8 6.733333333
Angland 81 21 51
Avdulla 8 7.5 51 6.5 18.25
Berry, N 71 18 8 32.33333333
Berry, T 4.6 6.5 31 14.03333333
Bowman 2.9 4.2 12 13 18 6.5 9.433333333
Buckley 7.5 26 21 18.16666667
Brown 6 5.5 3.5 6.5 4.4 5.18
Cassidy 3.6 3.6
Clark 6 10 8
Ganderton 2 3.3 17 7.433333333
Ford 41 4 22.5
Looker 5.5 5.5
Quinn 15 6.5 10.75
O'Hara 8 8
McEvoy 8 4.4 6.2
Moloney, L 12 12
Nestor 17 26 41 28
Parr 5.5 5.5
Rawiller, N 6.5 13 9.75
Schofield 3 4.2 3.6
Shinn 12 2.1 8 7.366666667
Spriggs, B 61 13 13 12 24.75
Wells 5 21 13
8 NN 13, 15 NN 13,14,15,16

[dodgingandweaving]

bit hard to read. Oaksy how do post a spreadsheet?

[Oaksnaf]

Start with the basics.

Record all opening prices
Record all prices for jockeys/AOJ with 1 point
Record all prices for jockeys/AOJ with 2 points.... and so on AFTER Race 1, 2 etc

Record the amount of rides per each jockey before meeting starts.
Record the amount of rides remaining for those on 1 point/2points and so on.

Record the track and the day.

You might find that the more well known jockeys run UNDERS at country meetings.

Record the data first. Then worry about the formula etc.

[Oaksnaf]

bit hard to read. Oaksy how do post a spreadsheet?

Scroll down when replying.... upload attachment.

[dodgingandweaving]

bit hard to read. Oaksy how do post a spreadsheet?

Scroll down when replying.... upload attachment.

Won't let me attach an xl document.
Probably irrelevant at the minute anyway.

need to record date first.

[Oaksnaf]

Need to save it in 2005 mode. xls doesn't work.

[dodgingandweaving]

Alright, cheers mate.

So, basically need to collect some data first then worry about a formula.

Definitely a work in progress, but I think there's a way we can crunch the numbers a bit better with the JC's.

[overloaded]

good luck AG , you wont need it.

when are you going pro dodgy?

[dodgingandweaving]

good luck AG , you wont need it.

when are you going pro dodgy?

Still doing my apprenticeship.

I think I will do another year under GRUB when he begins.

[Johno6]

ok DW.. with ur good form of late im back in the game,
i resisted for a few days but i cant any longer.

today I want to place my hand in yours so you can take me on the jurney wich we know as the "JOCKEY CHALLENGE"
i want to feel the highs with you as well as the lows... (not just all lows)

when i cry i want to cry together... when we celebrate I wanna celebrate together..

haha... in other words im back in action today

[overloaded]

sounds like you want to do something else togehter too johno .......

[dodgingandweaving]

ok DW.. with ur good form of late im back in the game,
i resisted for a few days but i cant any longer.

today I want to place my hand in yours so you can take me on the jurney wich we know as the "JOCKEY CHALLENGE"
i want to feel the highs with you as well as the lows... (not just all lows)

when i cry i want to cry together... when we celebrate I wanna celebrate together..

haha... in other words im back in action today

i'm here for you johno ...

til death do us part...

[Johno6]

sounds like you want to do something else togehter too johno .......

haha!!


well if he finds me a $20 winner today i think i just might...

[Johno6]

ok DW.. with ur good form of late im back in the game,
i resisted for a few days but i cant any longer.

today I want to place my hand in yours so you can take me on the jurney wich we know as the "JOCKEY CHALLENGE"
i want to feel the highs with you as well as the lows... (not just all lows)

when i cry i want to cry together... when we celebrate I wanna celebrate together..

haha... in other words im back in action today

i'm here for you johno ...

til death do us part...

death or bankrupcy....

[dodgingandweaving]

Hall Nicholas 2.25
Nikolic Danny 6.00
Any Other indiv. Jock (Ball) 6.00
Rodd Michael 8.50
Zahra Mark 8.50
Newitt Craig 10.00
Rawiller Brad 11.00
Maskiell Jason 17.00

Hall has been riding in great form lately, and that is why he is so short.
Who can knock him off?

[dodgingandweaving]

I like Maskiell at $17.....
Maybe even better after R1.

[overloaded]

Zahra

[overloaded]

centrebet

Nicholas HALL 2.45
Any Other Individual Jockey 6.00
Danny NIKOLIC 6.00
Michael RODD 7.00
Mark ZAHRA 7.50
Brad RAWILLER 10.00
Craig NEWITT 10.00
Jason MASKIELL 18.00


Glenn LYNCH 4.40
Scott THURLOW 4.60
Any Other Individual Jockey 4.80
Robert THOMPSON 5.00
Matthew BENNETT 7.00
Dale SPRIGGS 10.00
Peter GRAHAM 10.00
Alex STOKES 13.00


L Dillon $2.40
Andrew SPINKS 6.00
Any Other Individual Jockey 6.00
David SIMMONS 6.50
Kelvin WHARTON 8.00
Carly-Mae PYE 9.00
Chris MC IVER 15.00
John STEPHENS 18.00

[Mop Up]

Alright Boys... wheres the V??