The South Australian Political Landscape

[dedja]

Just received an unsolicited spam SMS cautioning me about voting One Nation.

One Nation has its foibles - and they are legion - but at least they don't fill my SMS inbox with their political spam.

The message has been forwarded to ACMA. Aren't there rules about political advertising this late in the piece?

Might as well use your dick instead of a key to unlock your front door, same result.

[Jimmy_041]

Just received an unsolicited spam SMS cautioning me about voting One Nation.

One Nation has its foibles - and they are legion - but at least they don't fill my SMS inbox with their political spam.

The message has been forwarded to ACMA. Aren't there rules about political advertising this late in the piece?

Me too

I wrote back Pi$$ off

[am Bays]

Just received an unsolicited spam SMS cautioning me about voting One Nation.

One Nation has its foibles - and they are legion - but at least they don't fill my SMS inbox with their political spam.

The message has been forwarded to ACMA. Aren't there rules about political advertising this late in the piece?

Might as well use your dick instead of a key to unlock your front door, same result.

No chance with the facile inducing effect of Pauline...

[Jim05]

Just voted. 3 of the pencils broken and the other had just enough lead to scrawl a couple of dick pics.
On the way I had to run the gauntlet of the party spruikers with the how to vote cards. Most were pretty good when I relied No but the Labor one harassed me all the way to the front door and wouldn’t take no for an answer even after telling her I wasn’t from her electorate. She was a sitting MP

[wenchbarwer]

Just voted. 3 of the pencils broken and the other had just enough lead to scrawl a couple of dick pics.
On the way I had to run the gauntlet of the party spruikers with the how to vote cards. Most were pretty good when I relied No but the Labor one harassed me all the way to the front door and wouldn’t take no for an answer even after telling her I wasn’t from her electorate. She was a sitting MP

I voted last night after work, full host of card pushers swarmed on me.

Gave them a "nope" and kept walking, they were all pretty respectful.

[am Bays]

ALP 37
Ind 6
Liberals 3
One Nation 1

The problem tomorrow is going to be the number of 3-4 way contests where the issue is not going to be who wins but who actually gets to the final two and therefore how preferences are distributed.
There is every likelihood that you could end up with four candidates in some country seats all sitting in the 20-25% 1st preference range and therefore who gets knocked off* and their preferences are distributed could see some interesting results.

But yeah Booney's call wont surprise me but I'm somehow hoping the Libs can avoid a total disaster as we can get some semblances of a viable opposition as good democracy relies on a strong opposition to hold governments to account.

[Jim05]

ALP 37
Ind 6
Liberals 3
One Nation 1

Which seat are ON winning?
I just don’t see them getting a seat

[RB]

I think if all of the polls we have seen in the last week are broadly accurate - with ON getting a bit above 20% and the Liberals a bit below, then ON have to be a chance at winning a seat in the lower house.

The problem is that in most rural or exurban seats where the ON vote is likely to be strong, you've either got an incumbent independent, or at least a high profile independent who possibly did OK last time. The same is mostly true for the Liberals. It's just hard to find a seat where either start favourite.

Looking across the regional seats, arguably the only straight fight between ON and the Liberals (i.e. where I'm sure one of the two will win) is Chaffey (Riverland). I tend to take polls seriously rather than literally, but assuming again that they're in the ballpark, ON would just about be favourites in that seat.

Hammond would seem an obvious ON pick-up opportunity but again local independents may win a lot of votes that would otherwise have gone to ON.

Flinders perhaps? Mackillop (surely McBride won't be re-elected but he may draw a big chunk of the vote)? Mount Gambier at a stretch?

Narungga would otherwise fit the bill for ON but I don't know that Ellis is likely to be defeated. Giles and Stuart are safe enough for Labor and Geoff Brock I think. Finniss I reckon the independent Nicholson starts favourite.

Ngadjuri could be an interesting 3-cornered contest between Labor, ON and the Liberals. Labor probably start favourite on the polling numbers.

Schubert (Hurn's seat) should be safe enough for her I think.

I agree that there could be some interesting primary vote results that mean it won't be immediately clear which two candidates will finish in the final two.

[Jim05]

ON’s Aoi Baxter has an arrest warrant in the UK for a not appearing in court on a charge of sexually touching a woman without consent

[dedja]

ON’s Aoi Baxter has an arrest warrant in the UK for a not appearing in court on a charge of sexually touching a woman without consent

ON candidate vetting is world class as usual.

[Pseudo]

Just received an unsolicited spam SMS cautioning me about voting One Nation.

One Nation has its foibles - and they are legion - but at least they don't fill my SMS inbox with their political spam.

The message has been forwarded to ACMA. Aren't there rules about political advertising this late in the piece?

... and just now, got one with a video attachment (I didn't watch), touting all of Labor's failures.

FFS.