I'm with GWS by 4 goals and Melbourne by less than 10 points.
Carlton beat Melb a few weeks ago and will be without Brayshaw and Van Rooyen and Gawn has a broken toe. We're without Harry (which isn't that big an issue) and Martin (which is), noting that last time we played Melbourne, we didn't have Harry anyway.
Into our side from that game are; McGovern, Cerra, Walsh. Outs are; Fisher, Martin, Dow. So, we're stronger, and they are arguably weaker but I do think we played our 'final' last week and Melbourne have been there done that.