Round 4 discussion

Talk on the national game

Re: Round 4 discussion

Postby gadj1976 » Wed Apr 20, 2016 7:50 pm

Q. wrote:What's the actual probability of a grand final actual going to 'golden point'?

Don't reckon I'll see it in my lifetime.


3 drawn grand finals in history..... chances of that happening, not high. Chance of 5 mins each way still not deciding matters, not high.

My little bloke is 6. He's been alive for 1, I've been alive for 2 but chances are the probability would be squillions to one.
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Re: Round 4 discussion

Postby daysofourlives » Wed Apr 20, 2016 8:22 pm

If you think about it, the prevalence of draws in Grand Finals is alot higher than in the minor rounds.
Three in 62 years or 1 in 21 games, thats a draw every 2 1/2 rounds of the regular season, if we had draws that often it'd be called Soccer
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Re: Round 4 discussion

Postby westozfalcon » Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:29 pm

I actually think it'd be exciting to watch a 50m set-shot shootout from a 45 degree angle. Only goals count. The opposition can have a man on the mark plus players on the goal line and it'd be a best-of-5...obviously continuining until a deadlock is broken. Only one attempt per player.
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Re: Round 4 discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:40 pm

Might as well go the whole hog with it.
Like the penalty shootout idea
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Re: Round 4 discussion

Postby The Bedge » Thu Apr 21, 2016 10:35 am

daysofourlives wrote:If you think about it, the prevalence of draws in Grand Finals is alot higher than in the minor rounds.
Three in 62 years or 1 in 21 games, thats a draw every 2 1/2 rounds of the regular season, if we had draws that often it'd be called Soccer

I'd be interested to compare that stat with individual sides - how often does a team draw? 1 in 21 games?

You cant say "1 in 21 games, that's a draw every 2 1/2 rounds" because you have 9x games being played - not one.

When was the last time Hawthorn drew?
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Re: Round 4 discussion

Postby Q. » Thu Apr 21, 2016 11:07 am

daysofourlives wrote:If you think about it, the prevalence of draws in Grand Finals is alot higher than in the minor rounds.
Three in 62 years or 1 in 21 games, thats a draw every 2 1/2 rounds of the regular season, if we had draws that often it'd be called Soccer


Yes, Grand Finals are played against two very evenly matched teams.

Minor round games are a different story.
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