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Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 12:21 pm
by Ron Burgundy
At an early look I like the Bullies v NM Over 196.5 @ 1.91

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 12:44 pm
by valleys07
Sorry Dude wrote:I am liking St Kilda H2H and Essendon at the line so far.
Will wait until teams are released to pull the trigger though.


Not sure about the Saints SD- pretty easy to defend melbourne with no recognised forward.

The saints will have a tough time combating Patton and Cameron, and I also rate GWS' midfield group as superior to Melbourne's.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 12:56 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
im not sure about the sainters, yeah they beat the Dees, but the Dees poor kicking for goal could've changed the result

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 1:28 pm
by bennymacca
GWS are also going to take the game on too, ball should be coming in much quicker.

guessing GWS is the favourite in that game? what is the line for them? (cant check, im at work)

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 2:40 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
The betting was gws $1.85 v $1.95 from memory

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 9:24 pm
by Dutchy
Interesting looking at last year, the 4 teams that played the first week of Round 1 Adelaide, Essendon, Freo & WCE all won in Round 2 after having a weeks break, except for WCE who had the Hawks. Looking back the year before the Swans won in R1 and won again in R2 after a weeks break.

That would indicate Freo, Port, Gold Coast & GWS might go OK this weekend, will be interesting to see the results.

EDIT - GC & Freo are playing each other!

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Wed Mar 26, 2014 9:35 pm
by bennymacca
crows/geelong played thursday too, so they had a fair break. reckon the sunday teams, if they are playing against a team from week 1, will definitely have an effect.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 8:17 am
by Sorry Dude
valleys07 wrote:
Sorry Dude wrote:I am liking St Kilda H2H and Essendon at the line so far.
Will wait until teams are released to pull the trigger though.


Not sure about the Saints SD- pretty easy to defend melbourne with no recognised forward.

The saints will have a tough time combating Patton and Cameron, and I also rate GWS' midfield group as superior to Melbourne's.


Hayes and Montagna back in to the midfield will sure it up there. Along with this, the saints won't want to lose to GWS for points like the did in their practice match.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 3:18 pm
by valleys07
Sorry Dude wrote:
valleys07 wrote:
Sorry Dude wrote:I am liking St Kilda H2H and Essendon at the line so far.
Will wait until teams are released to pull the trigger though.


Not sure about the Saints SD- pretty easy to defend melbourne with no recognised forward.

The saints will have a tough time combating Patton and Cameron, and I also rate GWS' midfield group as superior to Melbourne's.


Hayes and Montagna back in to the midfield will sure it up there. Along with this, the saints won't want to lose to GWS for points like the did in their practice match.


Jones to Ward, Greene to Montagna. Hayes h2h with Treloar, and Coniglio, Scully & Whitfield up against Armitage, Dunstan & Saunders. Not forgetting Mumford will monster Hickey for experience & First use.

I think the mids battle is pretty evenly contested, but GWS will win if they can find a way to restrict Riewoldt without Davis, their forwards are far more potent than that of the saints if Roo is well held.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 3:44 pm
by bennymacca
great point about davis, he is the perfect defender to handle riewoldt, and they might struggle to do that without him.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 3:51 pm
by Sorry Dude
valleys07 wrote:
Sorry Dude wrote:
valleys07 wrote:
Sorry Dude wrote:I am liking St Kilda H2H and Essendon at the line so far.
Will wait until teams are released to pull the trigger though.


Not sure about the Saints SD- pretty easy to defend melbourne with no recognised forward.

The saints will have a tough time combating Patton and Cameron, and I also rate GWS' midfield group as superior to Melbourne's.


Hayes and Montagna back in to the midfield will sure it up there. Along with this, the saints won't want to lose to GWS for points like the did in their practice match.


Jones to Ward, Greene to Montagna. Hayes h2h with Treloar, and Coniglio, Scully & Whitfield up against Armitage, Dunstan & Saunders. Not forgetting Mumford will monster Hickey for experience & First use.

I think the mids battle is pretty evenly contested, but GWS will win if they can find a way to restrict Riewoldt without Davis, their forwards are far more potent than that of the saints if Roo is well held.


Yes, looking at it that way does make sense, but I don't think Jones will "tag" this week after what he was able to produce last week. You add to that GWS have only won twice outside of Sydney and they don't have a back to go with Roo. I think I will go with my Saints H2H still.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 3:57 pm
by valleys07
A little multi for the weekend:

0.5 stakes

Richmond +24.5 handicap / Hawthorn 1-39 / GWS win / Fremantle 1-39 / Sydney win @ 16.28.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 3:58 pm
by valleys07
Fair call SD- well one of us will come up correct :lol:

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 4:00 pm
by Sorry Dude
valleys07 wrote:Fair call SD- well one of us will come up correct :lol:

HAHA, I was just thinking I'll bitch and moan when it doesn't get up :oops:
There's a lot or iffy bets this week. What do you think of Sunday's game - Dogs v Roos?

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 4:01 pm
by Sorry Dude
Kruezer and Watson to be late withdrawals for tonight.
Will be on the Tigers for sure now.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 4:01 pm
by bennymacca
Roos surely can't play that bad again. Should beat the dogs easily imo. Reckon they will bring in currie or daw to really stretch the dogs for height

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 4:04 pm
by valleys07
Sorry Dude wrote:
valleys07 wrote:Fair call SD- well one of us will come up correct :lol:

HAHA, I was just thinking I'll bitch and moan when it doesn't get up :oops:
There's a lot or iffy bets this week. What do you think of Sunday's game - Dogs v Roos?


:lol:

Personally, Dogs v Roos is a definite no bet game. I think the Roos will win but am not willing to touch it- Dogs line could be the go if you wanted a bet (i say that with complete uncertainty though! :lol: )..

Jackson MacRae most disposals will be a market I might have a small dabble at. With Griffen back in the side, I reckon he and Liberatore will fight it out.

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 5:16 pm
by Dutchy
Sportingbet Special - Richmond/Hawks Win
1 Unit @ $4.00


Last 13 games between these teams have gone over 180.

Richmond/Carlton Over 180.5
1 Unit @ $1.90

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 6:28 pm
by Sorry Dude
Dutchy wrote:Sportingbet Special - Richmond/Hawks Win
1 Unit @ $4.00


Last 13 games between these teams have gone over 180.

Richmond/Carlton Over 180.5
1 Unit @ $1.90


Not worried about the weather Dutchy?

Re: AFL 2014

PostPosted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 6:48 pm
by Dutchy
Radar looks pretty clear and a few of their previous clashes have been played in rain and still went over