Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

[LPH]

Chautauqua draws 1
Buff draws 2 and leads

Winx from 3
Hartnell from 7

With Chautauqua's racing pattern, that is not a great barrier for it - big risk backing it IMHO, won't get my money.
Like Buffering setting the pace

Who leads the Cox Plate?
Interesting scenarios all round - will need some thought!
At this stage, I'm tipping Moriera will hold Winx out going to the post the 1st time & Hartnell may well have to come over & lead from Gate 7.
Don't think they'll want to lead on the filly, as that would be against what she did last start in Sydney, over 2000m.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Buffering $3 place
Will lead and dictate the pace on the rails on the right circuit.
Can see the Buff being in the finish

[Spargo]

Buffering $3 place
Will lead and dictate the pace on the rails on the right circuit.
Can see the Buff being in the finish

I'm all over him.

[LPH]

With the predicted rain to fall, that brings Buffering into the race - should get the good run from the gate.
Not sure he'll get it all his own way in front, too. I think Holler & Rebel Dane might make him work early - if he's to be in the finish, then Browne will need to 'gather him in' for 200 - 300m mid-race, & not sure that's too likely. Agree he's worth a PLACE ticket at the Price & he can win if its a Soft 7 or worse.

I like Fell Swoop at the Odds - $18 Powered with Sportsbet.
I can see him getting a nice run off the speed, one out behind Holler & Rebel Dane, he's got the finish to be right in this & he might have enough 'start' on Chautauqua to hang on & win. As I said, Chautauqua is not suited by his drawn gate - he's going to need luck to get a run through or he's going to have to come 'the long way home' by circling the field - I'm happy to risk him at the short quote.

I think the 3 yr old Colt Capitalist can win the race & he'll get a great run from his barrier - can see him sitting 1 by 1 the journey. I think he'll look the winner at some stage down the straight.

Backing Fell Swoop 2 x 5 units & Capitalist the win for 5 Units.
Having Exacta: 8, 11 / 2 for 3 Units

Trifecta: 8, 11 / 1, 2, 3, 8, 11 / Field (35%) = $25.20
Pick 4: 8, 11 / 1, 2, 3, 8, 11 / Field / Field (4%) = $24.05

[Booney]

Geelong Cup today - #7 Lucques

[mighty_tiger_79]

Tabcorp and Tatts have merged together.

[Brodlach]

Geelong Cup today - #7 Lucques

Terrible field for such an important race

[JK]

Geelong Cup today - #7 Lucques

Thats been the tip among a few people. Ordinary field, I'll go for #9 Oceanographer but wont be betting on the race.

[Booney]

Geelong Cup today - #7 Lucques

Terrible field for such an important race

Agreed.

[LPH]

Yeah, tough race to predict too.
I've backed the 7 - form lines are good, but staying small
Also like the Waller runner Kinema

[mighty_tiger_79]

All I Survey
Geelong cup $21

Will get the trip.
Will handle the firm track.
Will settle back and storm home.

[Booney]

5,2,9,4

5 QEWY 4.20 1.50
2 GREY LION 2.10
9 OCEANOGRAPHER 1.50

[mighty_tiger_79]

Winner did a good job of setting a good tempo and LAW

Every horse had its chance in the race.

[Spargo]

All I Survey
Geelong cup $21

Will get the trip.
Will handle the firm track.
Will settle back and storm home.

Looked a big chance on the turn.

[mighty_tiger_79]

All I Survey
Geelong cup $21

Will get the trip.
Will handle the firm track.
Will settle back and storm home.

Looked a big chance on the turn.

Settled a little closer than I thought and did get on the edge of my seat at the half mile

Sent from my XT1562 using Tapatalk

[LPH]

Watched the race Live - one thing that struck me:
McEvoy clearly loves riding for the 'old' Boss - he's riding very well this Spring, the best he's ridden IMHO, since he 1st returned home from the UK.
Was a great 'front running' ride - rated the horse to perfection because when his mount was challenged, it found the effort to hang on & win.
Also, the 3rd horse finished very well - me thinks Godolphin will have a BIG say in the outcome of this year's Melbourne Cup, don't you think?

[helicopterking]

Watched the race Live - one thing that struck me:
McEvoy clearly loves riding for the 'old' Boss - he's riding very well this Spring, the best he's ridden IMHO, since he 1st returned home from the UK.
Was a great 'front running' ride - rated the horse to perfection because when his mount was challenged, it found the effort to hang on & win.
Also, the 3rd horse finished very well - me thinks Godolphin will have a BIG say in the outcome of this year's Melbourne Cup, don't you think?

I think the 3rd horse is a legitimate chance if it's in the cup. Flemington will suit it much better.

[mighty_tiger_79]

I think only the winner is worth following and even then I am not sure I could back it 2nd up over 2 miles

[Jimmy_041]

With the predicted rain to fall, that brings Buffering into the race - should get the good run from the gate.
Not sure he'll get it all his own way in front, too. I think Holler & Rebel Dane might make him work early - if he's to be in the finish, then Browne will need to 'gather him in' for 200 - 300m mid-race, & not sure that's too likely. Agree he's worth a PLACE ticket at the Price & he can win if its a Soft 7 or worse.

I like Fell Swoop at the Odds - $18 Powered with Sportsbet.
I can see him getting a nice run off the speed, one out behind Holler & Rebel Dane, he's got the finish to be right in this & he might have enough 'start' on Chautauqua to hang on & win. As I said, Chautauqua is not suited by his drawn gate - he's going to need luck to get a run through or he's going to have to come 'the long way home' by circling the field - I'm happy to risk him at the short quote.

I think the 3 yr old Colt Capitalist can win the race & he'll get a great run from his barrier - can see him sitting 1 by 1 the journey. I think he'll look the winner at some stage down the straight.

Backing Fell Swoop 2 x 5 units & Capitalist the win for 5 Units.
Having Exacta: 8, 11 / 2 for 3 Units

Trifecta: 8, 11 / 1, 2, 3, 8, 11 / Field (35%) = $25.20
Pick 4: 8, 11 / 1, 2, 3, 8, 11 / Field / Field (4%) = $24.05

Cheers for that mate
I grabbed Buffering at 3.20 for a place. I'm not too proud to take a place at those odds

[gadj1976]

Geelong Cup today - #7 Lucques

Terrible field for such an important race

Its only important if there is a good field. Its certainly dropped away these past couple.