Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

[stampy]

a little ew on akavoroun for a laugh in the last

[Corona Man]

hartnell


wow

Super run.....Jameka was something beaten tho. Hartnell was exceptional.

[Corona Man]

Long shot I know.... but where better to post. Looking to score a couple of tickets to the Murray Bridge Cup next week.....Anyone?

[mighty_tiger_79]

Gawler transferred to Sunday

Caulfield stakes only 3 acceptors for the group 1
Winx
Black heart Bart
He or she

[Booney]

hartnell


wow

Started to load up on Hartnell for the Melbourne Cup the moment it won. Was at $14, is now $5.

[mighty_tiger_79]

I think Hartnell should go to the Cox Plate

Sent from my XT1562 using Tapatalk

[LPH]

^^^ Heard he is going to Cox Plate, then if all well, on to Melbourne Cup.
Godolphin are desperate to win the Cup - they've been close but no winner yet, he could be their best chance.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Hartnell won't win the Cup, will win Cox Plate

[mighty_tiger_79]

Winx $2 at Ladbrokes for $20 return profit $20
BHB around $4.60 use ubet money back 2-3 upto $50.

Winx wins +$20 with the money back on BHB
BHB wins profit is around the $160mark

He or she wins and you are wipes out for $20 on winx

[LPH]

08/ 10/ 2016

Well & truly into the Spring Carnival now – the next 4 weeks is THE best time of the Racing Year. Looking forward to being @ Caulfield next weekend (lots of Form to do next Friday, beginning on the Plane – so not sure when I’ll get to upload my Preview, but it will be up some time).
Before then though, Guineas Day in Melbourne & Spring Champion @ Randwick.
No good last week, despite the Flight Stakes result – hoping for a change in fortune this week…

Caulfield Race 8 – Caulfield Guineas

As you know, I’ve been talking up Impending for a few weeks now. Godolphin are very ‘bullish’ about this Colt, but I can’t back him at the Price he is. If he were $6 & say $2.20 the Place – then I would back him, but $4.40 & $1.80 is too short for me, so I’m looking elsewhere.
I can entertain a PLACE ticket on Seaburge – Hayes Camp is going well & no doubt this race has been targeted. I can see him following Impending into the race around the turn & perhaps he can finish down the middle of the straight to get up.

Kaching might also be a value runner. I heard Ciaron Maher talking a couple of weeks ago, suggesting he’s the best ‘Sprinter’ in the stable – Form is good, if he can get a cozy run in the back ½ of the field & might finish off late. The horse I want to back though is the Waterhouse runner Evacuation. I would love $3 the Place if I can get it – I’ve taken the Enhanced Odds on Ladbrokes the Win.

Box Trifecta: 1, 2, 4, 7, 10, 12

Caulfield Race 7 – 1000 Guineas

I think the Filly’s race is wide open, personally. Anything can win this race IMHO. I know Foxplay is the ‘spruke’ but I’m prepared to back against her.
The same old discussion arises between the quality of the Sydney Fillies v Melbourne Fillies.
Traditionally, in recent times at least, Sydney has been better. Unsurprisingly, the 2 x Favourites are Sydney horses - as such, I’ve taken a small PLACE Bet on the other Sydney Filly, Cummings’ Smart Amelia - $18 the Place is way over the Odds IMHO.

I’ve also backed the Kiwi Filly La Luna Rosa. Ollie in the seat, great barrier, maps well (can see her 1 out, 3 back), had the run at Caulfield & the $17 Odds Boost is acceptable for a Gamble Win Bet – taking her 1 x 4 Units. If you can crack the Trifecta in this race, it may well pay handsomely!

Box Trifecta: 1, 4, 6, 8, 12, 13

Caulfield Race 6 – Caulfield Stakes

Small field sucks! That said, I took MT’s advice – backed BHB on Ubet to beat Winx.
Money back if the Mare blows them away.

Caulfield Race 9 – Toorak Handicap

What a difficult race! So many chances & variables to consider – at least that means so value Price wise!
Miss Rose De Lago loves this track & her distance record isn’t bad either.
She ran well behind the very good Mare Don’t Tell Mama last start at the Valley. I think she’s way over the Odds at $20 – Backing her 1 x 4 Units.

What you reckon JK – Awesome Rock more of a Flemington horse? I think so, personally, but must admit the $14 is very tempting!
Is Counterattack better suited on a track with the ‘cut’ out of it? Perhaps?
Backed Bon Aurum last start here & he’s still at the E/way Quote of $6, as is the Japanese horse – wouldn’t surprise to see either of them win. The other Weir runner Royal Rapture has form through Tally, which ran well in the Turnbull of Saturday. Great race! Happy to go with the 8 win & place.

Box Trifecta: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 8

Randwick Race 7 – Spring Champion Stakes

I did call Yankee Rose getting beat last week – just backed the wrong one the win! But the Exacta paid well ☺
She’s untried at the Mile & a ¼ - the short quote again suggests to stay away from her in this race. Is she set for this race?
I would’ve thought the Coolmore on Derby Day in Melbourne is her goal at this point, or perhaps if she runs well in this race, the McKinnon Stakes with 48.5 kgs on the last day of the Carnival might be an option? I’m prepared to risk her again & look elsewhere.

Waller, O’Shea & Hawkes all have 2 x runners – reckon they hold the key to the race.
The rank outsider leads, I think. 4 & 7 push forward & I can see Avdulla pushing Honeywine up along the fence to sit 3 back the inside. I’m hoping for a genuine tempo in the race because I want to back the other Godolphin runner Retaliation. He wasn’t beaten too far in The Gloaming last start & the ‘winkers’ might just keep him focussed on the job, all the way around. Happy to back him at the ‘Blue Button’ on Sportsbet, again, 1 x 4 Units.

So that's this week, Lads.
The racing is hotting up - must admit I am concerned about Set Square now, after the Turnbull run. Hartnell goes to Cox Plate, so fav for CCup will be Jameka (& why not?). Did you notice no whip pulled in Turnbull? Looking forward to next week in Melbourne
Enjoy Guineas Day

[Booney]

Adelaide tomorrow, Race 7, top weight Silvera. $3.60 fixed at the moment.

[JK]

Geez top race that Toorak. Not sure about Awesome Rock LPH, but Caulfield being so markedly different to Flemington often affects the outcome of a race .. Will be interesting to watch the early races to see how the leaders and snoopers alike fare. Once I've had a look I'll Chuck some names out of anything stands out

[Brodlach]

Bon Aurum up 4kg on last run against a lot of these horses, have backed it last two starts but waivering tomorrow

[LPH]

Yeah, that weight rise is why I shied away from him, but can't fault his form.

[OnSong]

Any love for Sebring Dream? Big odds. I'll have an EW nibble at it over the extra 200m, liked it with La Luna Rossa in the prelude a few weeks ago.

[helicopterking]

Any love for Sebring Dream? Big odds. I'll have an EW nibble at it over the extra 200m, liked it with La Luna Rossa in the prelude a few weeks ago.

I mentioned this horse at the start of its campaign. First up run was great, 2nd up didn't seem to have the turn of foot the others did over the 1400m, but kept going to the line really well. Extra 200m will suit.
I'm on EW also,

[daysofourlives]

Any love for Sebring Dream? Big odds. I'll have an EW nibble at it over the extra 200m, liked it with La Luna Rossa in the prelude a few weeks ago.

Ive been on Peeking duck the whole campaign, not getting off now at 151

[mighty_tiger_79]

Tomorrow

Caulfield
5-4
7 -1,3,8
Randwwick
2-2
7-6
8-7,8
Morphettville
5-7
Doomben
3-1
6-11
9-14

[LPH]

I see you like Retaliation too MT

[mighty_tiger_79]

I see you like Retaliation too MT

Just mucking around with an old system and making some adjustments to it.
No real study involved