by mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Apr 16, 2014 10:54 am
Angle park
Race 5
3 – wingard looks the winner, has the pace to lead these and has a very good overall record. I anticipate this will be $1.50
8 – Dakota la flash – appears the main danger as it has early pace to tackle the lead, but im not sure it will cross the 3. its form isn’t in the strong races as the 3, but it is the clear second pick in this race and should be running 2nd.
6 – bonoona boy – this is the clear 3rd pick, has been racing in harder races and been ultra competitive. Today however its drawn awkwardly, is not a fast beginner and will be trying to run on into a place. This can not win
1 – long gully mags – has had 3 starts for 2 wins out this box, albeit in weaker grade. It will begin fairly, should settle down 3rd/4th early and just do enough to be running 3/4th. Another runner who cant win, but could be under $10.
Race 6
1 – rebel kist – will begin fairly, but is drawn ideally here where it has won and run 29-68. only needs a clear run to be winning this. $1.40
2 – long gully mark – I would be putting this into the exotics, it has a reasonable win sr, but it will be outclassed by the red.
4 – Dakota ruby – will be in the market – cant win
5 – bon choix – another who cant win, but this will be running on and is a must for the exotics, should be juicy odds
8 – winbrook – the main danger on paper to the red. The risk with this runner is it is slowish out, but it does run on strongly. I fear the red will be able to rail through early and that the 8 will get too far back to be a real danger. Looks a clear 2nd pick though.
Race 7
1 – regal looper – this will be fav, and rightly so on its form. However, it isn’t always the cleanest beginner and really doesn’t want to get too far back and caught in traffic.
If this was to land in the first 2/3 at the post the first time, then it is a $1.10.
3 – rajas ogre – this was a $1.20 beaten fav last week after being slow out and hitting the rail. Id be putting this in the exotics for 3rd/4th.
4 – mombasa boy – this is the early leader and the main danger to the red. The red can run quicker time, but ill be happy to have a win bet on this runner If better than $3.30.
5 – golden kist – be careful – it’s a roughy, but it’s a run with dog, and can sneak into the FF
6 – long gully hills – another roughy who will be running on into FFs
7 – lannister – another roughy, another who has been caught FTP
8 – little Dakota – begins fairly and can run on, just the box makes it awkward for it to be a winning hope
RACE 8
1 – maccas spirit – drawn to be in the placings. No winning hope though
2 – Dakota premier – will be short, is capable of leading this field and if it does it just WINS
3 – BETTER CALL SAUL – appears the main danger to the 2. could be interesting early between the two favourites.
5 – rajas onyx – racing in solid form, will be right in this race, should get a clear run with ordinary beginners either side
6 – emerley senorita – will be in the market, but is a leader only type, cant win, will struggle to place
8 – Nevada smith – has won from box 8 in 30-00. will get a nice clear run from out wide and must be included as a main chance
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!