REB's Rubbish Round 10

[Rik E Boy]

Starting to pick a few more now but still kicking myself for not getting on the Hawks at Tassie, a mistake I won't be repeating any time again this season. Teams that are are donut and plenty can't seem to get over the line as Richmond and Melbourne found out last week and both appeal this week too just quietly. Up to 45 for the year now but still seeking consistency, unfortunately this is probably not the round where tipsters are going to finish with six plus.

Fremantle have a good record against Collingwood at the MCG and with inclement (not the Collingwood defender who won't be playing in this match) weather conditions suiting players such as Bell, Haselby, Josh Carr and Troy Cook they could spring a surprise on a Collingwood unit who might suffer a bit of a let down after a rare win at the Gabba. I have a sneaking suspicion that Chris Tarrant is about to put on a clinic on Prestigiacomo - a Pie fan's nightmare! I can also see Sandilands having a good game in the ruck and key position players Pavlich and McPharlin having the better of their Pie opponents en route to an upset 11 point victory at the G.

Melbourne will open their account against an Adelaide unit that is vulnerable in the rucking division and is embarking on their second consecutive road trip. Melbourne won't win this game because they 'are due', they will win it because White and Johnson can control the centre square and give the Melbourne runners first use of the ball, thus giving Russell Robertson and David Neitz plenty of scoring opportunities with Aaron Davey there to shark the packs. The positives for Adelaide include the return of Mark Rucciuto and McLeod and Edwards will bounce back from a rare quiet one last week. Melbourne to ditch the donut and defeat the road weary Crows by 25 points.

West Coast will bring an abrupt end to the Kangroos winning streak of six, currently the longest in the league so far this season (equaling West Coasts early season salvo). Daniel Chick comes back into the Eagles side to add some grunt while Ashley Hansen is to miss with a finger injury (some unkind souls may suggest that this further adds to the Eagles grunt for this match). West Coast do look down on strength but only the Bulldogs have recorded a victory at Putriaco amongst Victorian clubs since 2002 and the Roos look to be falling over the line at present..something they won't do in WA. West Coast by 20 points.

Brisbane can get their season back on track by defeating the luckless Tigers at the Telstra Dome on Saturday night. Coach Matthews has rung the changes with Brennan and Hooper returning to the side and no doubt the riot act was read in no uncertain terms after an ordinary effort against Collingwood last week. Richmond are tempting here but I'm sticking with my 'don't back the Tigers' policy, they are a bit like the Australian Cricket team of the 1980's at the moment, can get into a winning position but lack that killer instinct. I don't see any large bodies to stop Jonno Brown who must be due a bag at the Dome. Brisbane by 17 points.

Sydney have had some trouble with Essendon in recent seasons but at the SCG they appear the more appealing prospect from a tipping point of view. Bringing in Laycock, Welsh and Bolton in for this match has a 'rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic' feel about it in a match where the Swans have brought back Kennelly and Davis. Once the Swans start winning games they get into a real groove and Essendon haven't been anything close to consistent this season. Sydney by 32 points.

Port have had the wood over the Hawks in recent years and have done so quite easily but it won't be as easy this time round for Choco's boys. Many signs point to a Hawk victory here but writing off the Power at home is just not wise. Port will be stung by its last two efforts and I can see them hitting back hard here. Hawthorn aren't as strong in the ruck as Sydney and Geelong and here is an opportunity for Port to get their running game rolling again. In this match Port will roll up their sleeves and ground out a victory against an opponent that might be on good terms with themselves and be slightly off the boil. Port by 9 points in a real slog.

Western Bulldogs will be the latest side to be pushed but not beaten by the Carlton Blues who simply don't have the midfield rotation depth of its rivals, a factor which could even cause another wooden implment to be delivered to Craptus Oval by the end of the year. Like McLeod and Edwards, Scott West rarely plays two bad ones in a row and he'll get over 30 possessions for all of you dream team fans. The return of Griffen, McMahon and Minson will provide the advantage over a gallant Carlton. Western Bulldogs by 29 points.

Geelong should continue on its winning way against St Kilda at Telstra Dome on Sunday afternoon. This one won't be a flogging, St Kilda have too many good players for that and this game might have been saved from a flooding point of view by the inclusion of six players for St Kilda, mostly in defence with Gram, Hudgton, Thompson and the Clarkes all named. Hopefully, this will lead to an agressive approach from St Kilda but if even half of these guys are underdone then Geelong will get away from them in the end. Geelong also have named a few coming back in Harley and Chapman and have included Hawkins to play under the roof. Geelong by 18 points with St Kilda running out of legs towards the end.

Some real tough ones in there. Kudos to whoever bags eight for this round! I reckon a 2 is posisble! There also seems to be more than a few injured blokes running around at the moment and their ability to run out four quarters is a key factor in selecting winners for the round.

regards,

REB

[Dutchy]

Im on 45 also REB, still slighyly ahead of the average and still in touch witht he leaders of my tipping comps...interesting round as is the SANFL...will do my research tomorrow and report my thougths

[Thiele]

Thiele's Round 10 tips

Collingwood
Adelaide (Danger Game for crows)
West Coast
Sydney (should be a good game vs Essendon Swans to hang on)
Richmond (to break there duck against the lions)
Power (Danger game for Port)
Western Bulldogs
Geelong (to continue on there wining way)

[Rik E Boy]

So in other words, REB's rubbish = Dutchy's dogshit?

regards,

REB

[Dutchy]

LOL....did you see the Roos/Melb game last week?...Melbourne were poop for 3 quarters and we wernt much better, think the crows will be too good...

[Rik E Boy]

Didn't get the coverage up here Dutch. I know Melbourne weren't good for three quarters but they might have walked off thinking 'hang on, why didn't we do that four quarters'. I reckon a switch was flicked and players are continuing to return to the side. If the game was at Girlee Stadium there would be no doubt but Melbourne are nearly at full strength and as such are better than Richmond and Carlton who Adelaide only just defeated. I reckon the back to back road trip will prove decisive, especially if the Demons can build on that last quarter from last week.

It's the Port v Hawthorn game I'm more worried about and the bloody Tigers too.

regards,

REB

[Hondo]

I've got 48 in the AFL Tipping comp after a couple of lucky weeks, this week:

Collingwood
Adelaide (danger game)
West Coast
Richmond
Sydney
Hawthorn (hardest game for me to pick ... might change yet)
Bulldogs
Geelong

The Melb v Kangaroos game was pretty poor IMO, neither side looked that great on the day. The Carlton-Crows game was much better standard. If that's as good as the Dees can do then we should be too good but they have to win sooner or later and it's 2 weeks on the road ...

Tough round for tipsters

[Dutchy]

who you tipping at great beer stadium tomorrow night REB?

[Dutchy]

Richmond, Crows and Collingwood are mine different to REB's...we wont get the same this week

[Hondo]

REB you are still on the Brisbane train? I think you've picked them the last 3 weeks and they have let you down. I'm off the B-train since they looked ordinary against the Crows.

When you analyse their results their only wins have been:

v Hawthorn at home
v St Kilda at home
v Carlton away
v Freo at home

with losses to Kangaroos, Crows, Sydney, Essendon & Collingwood (3 of those at home)

Only notable win (based on premiership table) was Hawks round 1 when Hawks out-of-sorts

[RoosterMarty]

Crows should win, Roo will stand tall.

I have tipped Richmond to win their first game, a few weeks back I tipped Brissy to get over the Crows but the Adelaide lads stood tall and won in fine fashion and ever since the Lions have struggled. It's in Melbourne so I think the Tigers will get their first 4 points of the season.

[Rik E Boy]

REB you are still on the Brisbane train? I think you've picked them the last 3 weeks and they have let you down. I'm off the B-train since they looked ordinary against the Crows.

When you analyse their results their only wins have been:

v Hawthorn at home
v St Kilda at home
v Carlton away
v Freo at home

with losses to Kangaroos, Crows, Sydney, Essendon & Collingwood (3 of those at home)

Only notable win (based on premiership table) was Hawks round 1 when Hawks out-of-sorts

If they were playing anyone else hondo......

regards,

REB

[Brad]

I tipped the Dockers last night and how they didn't win I will never know, there is just something missing with that club.

[Booney]

REB's round 10---- 0/1

[Dutchy]

Im ahead!!!...can I hold on?

[Hondo]

I tipped the Dockers last night and how they didn't win I will never know, there is just something missing with that club.

Um ... Collingwood are currently 2nd and Freo are 11th

.. Home game for Collingwood, Freo travelling from Perth

[sydney-dog]

Fremantle , was my selection from last night, Freo wasted chances, they are too undisciplined and too slow in the midfield

Adelaide, Danger game as Demons are close to full strength, noted Reb's comments that Adelaide is vulnerable in the rucking division, I am not sure, Melbourne go in to the game with only one Ruckman, while Hudson and Griffen are proving to be an effective ruck team. I sometimes wonder, is this continuous point starting to develop in to a bit of a Myth. Let's look at Freo, their 7 foot Giant leads the comp in hitouts but Freo % from take-aways from stoppages is about 38%, one of the lowest in the comp

Back on the Game, Roo back in will have the players attitudes right, Proplyzia, Radar and Stiffy will be better from last weeks hit out, while back to back trips to Melbourne wont be an issue or excuse for a below par performance. Most importantly, for some reason the Melbourne players in Nietz, Green, Bruce and Robertson vary rarely seem to bring their A Grade Game against Adelaide - Adelaide 27pts

West Coast, I expect the first half to be tough and tight with the eagles drawing away after half time, this game will be a great learning opportunity for the Kanga's young players. West Coast 23 pts

Brisbane, with no confidence, Brisbane have been very ordinary in the past month, while even though the tigers are without a win, they have been building over the past 3 weeks and will have a real crack at this game - Brisbane 19 pts

Sydney, the Bombers have not played too many games in recent years at the SCG, their forwards will find it hard to find space, while Sydney are starting to lift their work rate - Sydney 30 pts

Hawks, at the moment are up and running, while the Power have lost the desire for a contest, the Hawks will play a style of footy that will be confronting and in Port's face, I am not convinced this will suit Port. - Hawks 11 pts

Western Bulldogs , but with no confidence, one alarming stat is the bulldogs have only won 14 out of 36 qtr's this season, their Bulldog's strength is their runners but their structure lacks strength in the Key Positions. If Lance, Fav and Waite all play forward, this may stretch the bullies defence, but I sense the Bulldogs midfield through West and co will win plenty of ball and create enough opportunities to win the game - Bullies 25 pts

Geelong, is in super form at the moment and look great across every line, while the Saints are struggling with key injuries. History suggests that this game should be a ripper as their always seems to be plenty of niggle between the clubs, but the Cats have too many players flying at the moment and will be too much for the Saints at this point of time - Cats 36 pts

[Rik E Boy]

Im ahead!!!...can I hold on?

All square once again Dutch. You're relying on Richmond.

regards,

REB

[Dutchy]

oh dear....the Rnd 10 lead comes down to Brisbane/richmond

[Dutchy]

just when we thought we would be split....there s draw!!!!