SA Footy

Noticed some predictions on the round 18 thread so thought it a good idea to start its own up.

After round 23 I have the ladder as:

Sydney 72
Hawthorn 68*
Fremantle 68*
Port 60•
North 60•
Geelong 60•
Essendon 52^
Collingwood 52^

* Hawthorn currently 6% ahead of Freo.
• Port currently 20% ahead of North & Geelong (who both have similar %)
^ Essendon currently 3% ahead of Collingwood.
These will obviously change over the next 6 weeks.

As I have it, first week of finals might look like this,
Fri Night - North v Collingwood MCG
Sat - Sydney V Port SCG
Sat Night - Hawthorn v Fremantle MCG
Sun - Geelong v Essendon MCG

Not sure of any agreements as to where finals must be played so happy to stand corrected.

just clicked on the winners, so percentage could change a lot depending on results, but this is what i have.

the big game to decide it seems to be crows vs collingwood (i have assumed crows lose to north melb but beat collingwood and the rest of the teams)

having north beat geelong is quite optimistic there too spargo

bennymacca wrote:having north beat geelong is quite optimistic there too spargo

I dont think so. North have shown countless times that against the best they can bring their best, and also Geelong have shown this season that they are vulnerable and not the side they used to be.

Trying to predict the coming weeks is impossible,

So many games that are 50/50 and I'll be having a dabble at a draw here and there. ( No drawn games this season to date, 2004 was the last "drawless" season and only had 8 games per round Vs the 9 now )

Collingwood v Adelaide
Collingwood v Port
Gold Coast v Port
North v Geelong
North v Adelaide
Sydney v Hawthorn
Hawthorn v Geelong
Geelong v Fremantle
Fremantle v Hawthorn
Richmond v Essendon
Gold Coast v Essendon
Essendon v Carlton

Cracking month of footy ahead!!!

My Ladder predictor:
72 - Syd
68 - Hawks
68 - Geelong
64 - Freo
56 - North Melb
56 - Ess
52 - Port
52 - Collingwood
----------------------------
48 - Adelaide
48 - Gold Coast

That's having Port win one more game v Carlton in Rd 22 at home
Crows losing to Collingwood and North Melb, but winning the rest
Collingwood play both SA sides in VIC followed by WCE in Perth then Brisbane and GWS in consectutive weeks.
Suns miss out after losing last two against Ess and West Coast.

bennymacca wrote:just clicked on the winners, so percentage could change a lot depending on results, but this is what i have.

the big game to decide it seems to be crows vs collingwood (i have assumed crows lose to north melb but beat collingwood and the rest of the teams)

Screen Shot 2014-07-23 at 9.21.48 am.png

Showdown Elimination Final. That would surely cause a few heart attacks.

Picking all home teams to win for the remainder of the season:
64 - Hawks
64 - Syd
60 - Freo
60 - Geel
56 - Port
56 - North
52 - Collingwood
48 - Ess
------------------------
48 - Gold Coast
44 - Adelaide

Picking all the higher placed sides on the ladder:
76 - Syd
68 - Hawks
68 - Geel
60 - Port
60 - Freo
56 - North
56 - Ess
52 - Collingwood
------------------------------
52 - Gold Coast
48 - Adelaide

Phantom Gossiper wrote:Picking all the higher placed sides on the ladder:
76 - Syd
68 - Hawks
68 - Geel
60 - Port
60 - Freo
56 - North
56 - Ess
52 - Collingwood
------------------------------
52 - Gold Coast
48 - Adelaide

Considering Geelong are currently second (and the 3rd side plays the top side this week) and Geelong don't play the top side how do they drop down a spot?

Because they won't be 2nd at the conclusion of this round.

Baron Greenback wrote:Because they won't be 2nd at the conclusion of this round.

yes they will

Wedgie wrote:Considering Geelong are currently second (and the 3rd side plays the top side this week) and Geelong don't play the top side how do they drop down a spot?

I had Hawthorn to beat Geelong in Rd 22. Also their percentage isnt as strong, and in actual fact if Freo can win against either Hawthorn or Geelong, then the Cats could well finish 4th.

Phantom Gossiper wrote:

Wedgie wrote:Considering Geelong are currently second (and the 3rd side plays the top side this week) and Geelong don't play the top side how do they drop down a spot?

I had Hawthorn to beat Geelong in Rd 22. Also their percentage isnt as strong, and in actual fact if Freo can win against either Hawthorn or Geelong, then the Cats could well finish 4th.

if we lose another game in the minor round, it will be against North. should win every other game.

Phantom Gossiper wrote:

Wedgie wrote:Considering Geelong are currently second (and the 3rd side plays the top side this week) and Geelong don't play the top side how do they drop down a spot?

I had Hawthorn to beat Geelong in Rd 22. Also their percentage isnt as strong, and in actual fact if Freo can win against either Hawthorn or Geelong, then the Cats could well finish 4th.

I wasn't questioning your choices, I was questioning your ladder where you had all the higher teams winning.
I was just saying mathematically its impossible for Geelong to drop from 2nd if the higher placed team wins every game seeing as they don't play the no 1 team so for that ladder they should be on 100% wins.

Bum Crack wrote:

Baron Greenback wrote:Because they won't be 2nd at the conclusion of this round.

yes they will

Or not

Revisited the ladder predictor

Ive got
72-Syd
72-Hawks
68-Geel
60-Freo
56-Port
56-NM
52-Ess
48-Adelaide

48-Coll
44-West Coast

But Adelaide will prob lose to StK in the last minor round match to miss finals!

I came up with (current %ages in use):

Got Adelaide losing to Richmond and NM? Very real possibility.

Ron Burgundy wrote:Got Adelaide losing to Richmond and NM? Very real possibility.

Probably go W/L in those matches like they have for the majority of the season.

regards,

REB