by sydney-dog » Sun May 20, 2007 9:00 am
these apology threads amuse me
people seem comfortable in making long term assessments based on short term events
yes some teams are flying at the moment, the Cats are one of these teams, credit where credit is due they are playing some Fantastic football.......
But saying that Football is a great teacher, our footy history books will tell us it is dangerous to make too many assessments just yet...
Last year alone, the Cats started the year as the team to watch and fell over by mid season, while mid season the crows were unbeatable and was the shortest odds in history for the flag, but fell over, again Mid Season Freo was not on anyone's radar and came home with a rush, while the Swans went missing early and peaked at the right time to come within a kick of back to back..
Before round one I backed Crows and Geelong for the GF, not with any smarts but chasing good odds, History says top 4 teams should still be competitve and a team from last years bottom 8 will likely make a big charge.
History also shows you need to go pretty deep in to the season before their is enough nformation to make any creditable judgements, especially in a season that has started so tight and unpredictable