by Jimmy_041 » Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:05 am
by bennymacca » Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:24 am
by heater31 » Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:31 am
bennymacca wrote:Yep Tom K definitely a huge tool
by Jimmy_041 » Fri Mar 07, 2014 12:37 pm
by Look Good In Leather » Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:29 pm
by GWW » Mon Mar 10, 2014 1:19 pm
Jimmy_041 wrote:I still reckon Kouta will be in there
The Tony Abbott of SA
They'll have to bring spittoons back to the House
by Gozu » Mon Mar 10, 2014 4:43 pm
by Look Good In Leather » Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:46 pm
by Dogwatcher » Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:14 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:59 am
Dogwatcher wrote:I hope Aldridge doesn't get in. I really don't.
For a bloke who dislikes the system so much, he's amazingly desperate to get in.
In Light I'm getting mixed feedback on this one. Had an informed Lib tell me the sitting member, Piccolo, is safe on polling. However, the local Libs are very buoyant. I've said all along that it will be tight and it's still looking that way.
by Jimmy_041 » Tue Mar 11, 2014 10:29 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 11, 2014 10:55 am
by Ecky » Tue Mar 11, 2014 11:50 am
Look Good In Leather wrote:With a week to go I will have a crack at how I think it may play out
.......
John Olsen, June 2012 wrote:"Reserves teams in the SANFL for the two AFL clubs is not negotiable.
We will not compromise the SANFL competition (with AFL reserves teams)."
by bennymacca » Tue Mar 11, 2014 12:01 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 11, 2014 12:08 pm
bennymacca wrote:are libs really 1.03. wow, i thought it was a bit closer than that. still pretty certainly a lib victory though unfortunately...
by Ecky » Tue Mar 11, 2014 1:00 pm
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:bennymacca wrote:are libs really 1.03. wow, i thought it was a bit closer than that. still pretty certainly a lib victory though unfortunately...
yeah they are now. They spoke about it on 5AA this morning, they shortened in from $1.15 i think.......
John Olsen, June 2012 wrote:"Reserves teams in the SANFL for the two AFL clubs is not negotiable.
We will not compromise the SANFL competition (with AFL reserves teams)."
by OnSong » Tue Mar 11, 2014 1:21 pm
by Jimmy_041 » Tue Mar 11, 2014 2:18 pm
Ecky wrote:Look Good In Leather wrote:With a week to go I will have a crack at how I think it may play out
.......
Nice summaries LGIL
I've been following the markets and polls quite closely this time, and even played around with some modelling of possible scenarios using simulations in R.
I agree that Hartley, Bright and Ashford are gone and Labor can't win any of the Liberal seats back.
The two seats that have had the biggest "plunges" in the Sportsbet markets are Mitchell (Lib in to 1.40 from 2.00) and Mt Gambier (Lib now clear favourite where Pegler was the clear favourite before). This suggests that people in the know (i.e. access to internal polling) have bet on these seats, as there haven't been any polls released that back up such a shift.
So if these to go to Lib, then they only need one more seat from a heap of possibilities to get their majority:
Elder, Newland, Colton, Florey, Light, Mawson, Wright, Giles, Frome, Lee etc. (that's my rough order of the chances they will go)
It would seem impossible for Labor/Ind to hold ALL of these, so the current odds of Liberal 1.03 or whatever it is seem to be about right.
As for the upper house, I'm not even going to try to make a prediction - too many unknowns, particularly regarding how high the Xenophon and D4D primary votes will be. Moving these up and down on the ABC calculator can give a very different set of candidates elected each time.
Health Minister Jack Snelling says there are about 100 Adelaide-based Country Health jobs, but only 75 staff based in regional areas.
He says as city jobs become vacant, replacements will be sought for the country offices.
"It's to create opportunities, economic opportunities in Mount Gambier and Whyalla, but as well as that to make sure that people who are making decisions in Country Health as far as possible are located in the country regions," he said.
by bennymacca » Tue Mar 11, 2014 2:38 pm
Jimmy_041 wrote:police basher in Whyalla.
by shoe boy » Tue Mar 11, 2014 2:40 pm
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