Soooooo, how's this weather?

[mighty_tiger_79]

Another quake in the Mid North region, it hasnt registered on the Gov Earthquake website yet but at a guess i think that one was a bit smaller, maybe high 2's.

Thats 5 in the last two months by my count.

And to think you wanna live in that region....

[Booney]

There is a more than 70 per cent chance of above average rainfall for much of inland Australia this winter, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.

After years of drought rainfall is welcome news, but how much do our farmers actually need?

Andrew Watkins, head of long-range forecasting at the Bureau of Meteorology says we are certainly looking at above average rainfall for much of the country.

But there are exceptions.

The Great Dividing range is acting as a rain shadow, according to Dr Watkins, meaning those east of the divide are likely to miss out on the wetter than average conditions, along with Tasmania and south west Western Australia.

But most of the areas missing out are at least looking at around average rainfall, an improvement on the past few years where the outlook has been for decidedly below average conditions.



"It's great to see some dark green on the maps, particularly in western New South Wales and south-west Queensland, where of course we've had quite extreme drought conditions now for the past two to three years," Dr Watkins said.

The rain is expected to keep daytime temperatures below average for regions lucky enough to get it, but the clouds are expected to act like a lid on a pot to keep overnight temperatures warm, according to Dr Watkins.

There is still less than a 50/50 chance of hitting the criteria for the wet climate drivers, La Nina and a negative Indian Ocean Dipole, this year.

But it doesn't have to hit the criteria to be wet.

The Indian Ocean is warm at the moment, especially near Australia and Indonesia.

"When those warm waters are closer to Australia they tend to supply more moisture, more cloud and then we get those northwest cloud bands," Dr Watkins said.

There have already been a few this year.

Meanwhile, out to the east in the Pacific Ocean there are warm waters around Papua New Guinea and north of the Solomon Islands.

"That tends to increase moisture and the cloud over the Coral Sea. So we might see a bit more moisture coming in from the east as well," Dr Watkins said.

He is further reassured by the international models, which also suggest a wetter than average winter for most of Australia.

[Booney]

Think it's been cold and no rain?

Just 17mm of rain has been recorded in Adelaide at West Terrace, which is about one quarter of the average (66.3mm) for July.

With little more rainfall on the horizon, climatologist Dr Naomi Benger says this month will likely be among the lowest on record.

“Only three other years have recorded less: 1924 (16.2mm); 1884 (13.0mm); and 1899 (10.1mm),” she said.

We might have got some fog, but South Australia is seriously lacking in rain this month. It’s lining up to be one of the driest mid-winters in almost a century.

[Footy Chick]

Think it's been cold and no rain?

Just 17mm of rain has been recorded in Adelaide at West Terrace, which is about one quarter of the average (66.3mm) for July.

With little more rainfall on the horizon, climatologist Dr Naomi Benger says this month will likely be among the lowest on record.

“Only three other years have recorded less: 1924 (16.2mm); 1884 (13.0mm); and 1899 (10.1mm),” she said.

We might have got some fog, but South Australia is seriously lacking in rain this month. It’s lining up to be one of the driest mid-winters in almost a century.

it's because we've started playing footy again and I asked mother nature for no rain on saturdays

[whufc]

Think it's been cold and no rain?

Just 17mm of rain has been recorded in Adelaide at West Terrace, which is about one quarter of the average (66.3mm) for July.

With little more rainfall on the horizon, climatologist Dr Naomi Benger says this month will likely be among the lowest on record.

“Only three other years have recorded less: 1924 (16.2mm); 1884 (13.0mm); and 1899 (10.1mm),” she said.

We might have got some fog, but South Australia is seriously lacking in rain this month. It’s lining up to be one of the driest mid-winters in almost a century.

Yep nervous times up here in the Mid North. They will need it pretty soon or this harvest will be a write off , many wont even bother getting the header out this season.

[Dutchy]

It seems so much colder this winter than last, Im using the electric blanket every night, whereas last year I reckon I used it only a handful of times.

Or I could just be getting old.

[Lightning McQueen]

It seems so much colder this winter than last, Im using the electric blanket every night, whereas last year I reckon I used it only a handful of times.

Or I could just be getting old.

I think it's colder, just not wetter.

I don't usually feel the cold but have this year.

[Dutchy]

So many sunny days Im guessing, which then relates to freezing nights with no cloud cover.

[Lightning McQueen]

So many sunny days Im guessing, which then relates to freezing nights with no cloud cover.

Yeah, I'd take that though.

[Pseudo]

It seems so much colder this winter than last, Im using the electric blanket every night, whereas last year I reckon I used it only a handful of times.

Or I could just be getting old.

I think it's colder, just not wetter.

I don't usually feel the cold but have this year.

You pansies. I still haven't broken out the winter PJs yet.

[Booney]

It seems so much colder this winter than last, Im using the electric blanket every night, whereas last year I reckon I used it only a handful of times.

Or I could just be getting old.

I think it's colder, just not wetter.

I don't usually feel the cold but have this year.

You pansies. I still haven't broken out the winter PJs yet.

What are PJ's?

[Booney]

It seems so much colder this winter than last, Im using the electric blanket every night, whereas last year I reckon I used it only a handful of times.

Or I could just be getting old.

0.5° cooler than average at Noarlunga for June.

0.9° warmer than average at Mt Lofty for June.

Daytime temperatures were generally close to average across Adelaide and the Hills

Night-time temperatures were generally cooler than average across Greater Adelaide

[Booney]

[mighty_tiger_79]

BOM readings at Kent Town are finishing up tomorrow

[heater31]

BOM readings at Kent Town are finishing up tomorrow

4pm Friday I think is the actual last reading

[mighty_tiger_79]

BOM readings at Kent Town are finishing up tomorrow

4pm Friday I think is the actual last reading

Oops I'm a day ahead of myself

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk

[Magellan]

BOM readings at Kent Town are finishing up tomorrow

4pm Friday I think is the actual last reading

Oops I'm a day ahead of myself

Seems like you're a natural forecaster, MT_79. You could get a job at Kent Town if it wasn't about to get the arse.

[Dirty dog]

Driest July on our farm on Yorkes for as long as anyone can remember with 8mm. After the best start ever we are now only 12mm more than last year at this stage of the year and last year was the driest on record. Frosty nights and warm days and no rain only means one thing, sh1t crops. Hopefully some rain mid next week and a change in this weather pattern that we have had for about 6 weeks now.

[DOC]

Driest July on our farm on Yorkes for as long as anyone can remember with 8mm. After the best start ever we are now only 12mm more than last year at this stage of the year and last year was the driest on record. Frosty nights and warm days and no rain only means one thing, sh1t crops. Hopefully some rain mid next week and a change in this weather pattern that we have had for about 6 weeks now.

Best of luck Mate.

[Psyber]

Interesting aside for me.

I always relied on the BOM app for local weather predictions as before I moved from one hills area to another it seemed to match up best to local reality. However, over the last 12 months I've noticed the Accuweather app is proving more accurate for my new location - presumably because I'm now further from the BOM's Mt Lofty set up.