MW wrote:The Bedge wrote:2021
11, 860 deaths from cancer
3, 541 deaths from dementia
3, 074 deaths from heart disease
2, 782 deaths from respiratory disease (pneumonia, influenzea) inc 1,569 Chronic lower respiratory disease (see below)
2, 072 deaths from cerebrovascular disease inc strokes.
1, 569 deaths from chronic lower respiratory disease (bronchitis, emphysema, asthma)
1, 187 deaths from road fatalities in Australia
1, 051 deaths from diabetes
60 deaths from road fatalities in South Australia
Total coronavirus cases in SA since beginning: 857
Total coronavirus deaths in SA since beginning: 4
Then for some fun (thanks google):
Texting while driving kills 6,000 Amercians annually.
Hippos kill 2,900 people annually in Africa
600 people annually die from autoerotic asphyxiation
450 people die each year from falling out of bed.
100 people in Russia are killed from icicles
Vending machines claim 13 people a year falling over.
Evil ants kill 30 people annually.
Dogs slightly more dangerous at 34 victims.
how many cases and deaths if we did nothing?
An interesting debate that no one knows the answer to, not the anti-lockdown types, and neither medical experts.
However, if we wanted to estimate things, it might be reasonable to work on the following:
1,771,000 South Aussies.
Now there were 213 'really close' contacts identified between The Greek and The Winery who spent several hours in poorly ventilated rooms with highly infected individuals at the peak of their infectious period.
Of this 213, 16 caught Covid, or
7.51%.
Now, the delta death rate world wide is
0.2%Of those who die with covid,
2.53% are dying without other comorbidity.
So, if we just let it run wild, it would not be unreasonable to suggest:
1,771,000 south aussies.
133,002 would catch Covid.
266 would die with covid.
6.73 would die from covid alone.
Is 7 people too many?
Are 7 people worth billions of dollars?
We'll never know.
What the above doesn't take into account is the other deaths that will occur as hospitals overflow, etc.