Can Nigel Smart win Norwood?

[WRxb0y]

will south win the flag this year !!
of course that clown Smart will not win.

[portentous]

He won't if my fellow ALP members have anything to do with it-and they will....

[mick]

He won't if my fellow ALP members have anything to do with it-and they will....

Don't the ALP like South? Does that Shameless populist we have as a premier know?

[spiderk]

For what its worth...and it may be a very bold prediction - but there are some signs that Family First could also take a Lower House seat on preferences. Should Tom Playford (who stood as an independent in 2002 and polled approx. 18% of the vote, winning some booths) finish a close 3rd on preferences in Kavel, with Mark Goldsworthy taking less than a 50% primary vote, he would be a real chance of gaining this one on preferences. May be a slim chance, but the polling indicates the big upset could be in this seat.

[portentous]

The worst possible result at the state election will be if Family First get the balance of power in the Upper House. Bunch of happy clappers that know nothing about the real world.

[Wedgie]

The worst possible result at the state election will be if Family First get the balance of power in the Upper House. Bunch of happy clappers that know nothing about the real world.

Wrong, the worst thing would be if that pokie baron loving clown Nick Xenophon gets another gig.

[noone]

I think kavel will be an interesting result. I think the fact that he is not getting preferences from the greens and democrats (i think he did last time running as a indie)

I think he will get close, but I rekon there would be a significant % of people who might of voted for him as an indie, but wont now that he is under the FF banner.


FF will have the balance of power in the upper house. This is because after the election labor will have 9 MLC's, meaning they would need and extra 3 votes to pass legislation (22seat upperhouse). the likely result of the upper house will be 5lab 4lib 1FF, and the last place will go to either the greens or democrats (nick x wont get in). Therefore there will be 1 Democrat and 1 green or two democrats on the cross benches, so to pass legislation labor will need those two and one FF MLC (or a liberal MLC).

Although there is a chance that if the liberal vote is low enough it will be 5lab 3lib 1FF 1dem 1green 1nickx/alp6th. if something like that happens FF likely wont have the balance of power.