by Rik E Boy » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:11 pm
Hogg Premier League Preview Round 15
The final round in Hogg Premier is a bit of an anticlimax as far as finals qualifications go because the only team that has a chance outside of the eight, Poon Army plays the runaway leader Darksiders SCE in the final round.
The only thing that needs to be settled are the final placings within the eight. Of great interest to teams currently outside the top four is the matchup between Hondominators YSCC and Mr Football and the recent totally crud form of what is left of the REBCats who are long shots to retain their traditional Grand Final place this season. Squeakeroos DTC and Dusty Tunnels are the two sides that are poised to sneak into the top four in the last week and provide some real competition for the incumbent top four sides although fourth spot could prove to be a poisoned chalice.
Darksiders SCE vs. Poon Army
The Darksiders haven’t put a foot wrong nearly all year long and they racked up over 2700 last week in yet another stunning scoring performance. The Darksiders SCE are red hot and look a pretty good thing to go on to be the first ever two time Hogg Premier winner after they won the 2009 title. Darksiders SCE are also the number one ranked side in the Hogg rankings as well so even though Hogg Premier as a league has been surpassed by rivals, no rivals have gained ground on the Darksiders. Poon will miss the finals again here as Darksiders SCE will record yet another victory.
Hondominators YSCC vs. Mr Football
This is the match of the round with both coaches having so much to play for. Mr Football appeared to have the edge with Hondo losing defender Chris Newman but now that Ablett has withdrawn that takes this edge away. Another mid-defender factor is that while Hondo loses Boyd to the bye, Pup loses Bob Murphy from his backline. Hondo can cover the loss of Boyd in midfield as long as Hodge plays and he looks stronger in the forward line and in the Ruck. Despite the loss of Newman and the unavailability of Boyd, I predict a Hondominators YSCC victory.
REBCats v Far Q
After some really panicky trading this season, the REBCats are not a contender this season and the wheels have well and truly fallen off for my mob. Ablett’s late withdrawal with a heartstring this week is the icing on a the shitburger that has been my season. Unfortunately for the REBCats, we play against a resurgent Q Man who has rediscovered some top form at the right end of the season. Even though I’m scoring respectable points, It won’t be enough and Far Q will get the four points here.
Dusty Tunnels v Woody's Dropkicks
CoverKing’s Dusty Tunnels are poised on the cusp of the top four but have to overcome the not insurmountable obstacle that is Woody's Dropkicks before he can claim his place in the safety of the double chance zone. This looks like a very evenly matched game with both sides losing Ablett but Dusty having to cover the loss of Boyd. The tunnels have gambled on the Jamar/Maloney combination paying off when Melbourne gets the easy last three games but if they don’t get the double chance then they can’t bank on Beamer’s bonanza during the last three weeks. CoverKing will have to decide on whether or not to keep Boyd’s donut or trade up to match the Dropkicks in midfield. If he goes in with his current Mids I reckon he gets done with Woody's Dropkicks about even in defence and up forward but with a superior Ruck set up. I reckon CoverKing makes the trade and makes a big for the double chance. And I reckon Dusty Tunnels gets the win.
Squeakeroos DTC vs. Hawkeye
The Squeakeroos DTC have been in awesome scoring form lately and the drop off of my side has opened the door to a top four spot that looked unlikely a few weeks ago. Squeaky has a good finals record as he won the 2009 Division I premiership over Darcy DTF who went on to win Premier League last year. If he gets into the top four I reckon he’s the best bet to make the Grand Final against Darksiders SCE so more than a few coaches should be hoping he misses the double chance. Hawkeye’s season has finished with a whimper and while he’ll be back in Hogg Premier next season it’s all over for him this year. Squeakeroos DTC to win this one quite comfortably.
The Ginger Ninjas vs. Blue_Guns
Gingernuts is rolling nicely now against some of the lesser sides and he’s done enough this season to get back into Hogg Premier finals territory. The Ginger Ninjas shouldn’t have too much trouble accounting for the Blue_Guns if last week’s 2500 is any guide. The Blue_Guns have more to play for than they perhaps realise as FOOTYLEDGENS is poised to overtake them which would force the Guns to play against dunKsKrew rather than Boxhead United in their upcoming relegation final. Somehow I don’t think Blue_Guns are aware of this and for this reason I reckon The Ginger Ninjas will win this one as they have more to play for, at least on the surface of things.
chardy socialists vs. dunKsKrew
While they have missed this season after a brave effort, the chardy socialists should account for dunKsKrew in this dead rubber. While the Krew are not without a chance like all bottom four sides this match is only a prelude to a bigger match next week as they attempt to fight it out for Premier League survival. While the chardy socialists know all about relegation finals they don’t have to worry about that this year and they should go out a winner while dunKsKrew have to wait and see who they will be playing in their relegation final match in a fortnight.
FOOTYLEDGENS vs Boxhead United
If the Cub can play his cards right he can set up an relegation final rematch against this year’s wooden spooner with a win this week. Cub’s strategy has been to avoid relegation rather than win matches towards the end of the year but in this match the aims are one and the same. Boxhead United hasn’t been scoring well all year and while Cubby has had a poor year he should be able to get over the line here. FOOTYLEDGENS will win this game and take on the same opponent next week in a fight to stay up in Hogg Premier League.
REB’s Final 8
1. Darksiders SCE (52)
2. Hondominators YSCC (40)
3. Dusty Tunnels (40)
4. Squeakeroos DTC (40)
5. Mr Football (36)
6. Far Q (36)
7. The Ginger Ninjas (36)
8. REBCats (36)
Regards,
OUCH!