SA Footy

Since Pipers couldn't be bothered attaching a poll to his first post in the other thread, I'll start one here

By the way, since this is a primarily a football website, I would expect the vote to be more in favour of "yes" on here than if you asked a random sample of members/non-members. I'm just doing this out of interest.

Always a bit dodgy when the person putting up the poll also puts up reasons why it might not go his way

Interesting results so far, although very hard to read too much into it as this is nowhere near a random sample of members/non-members.

Overall it is very evenly split - 20 Yes and 19 No votes, which is why the other thread has gone 30 pages - there is no obvious winner here and strong arguments can be made on both sides.

With the members vote, there are 11 no voters, and for every 11 no voters there needs to be at least 33 yes voters for the motion to get through, but on this poll there are only 6, making it 27 short, so on this basis it seems the yes team still has a lot of work to do.

As expected, the more footy-minded non-members have more yes than no votes, but still not a 75% majority among them.

On a different note, how do people expect the vote to go? I honestly have no idea, as there would be strong pockets of yes and no support depending on who you talk to and associate with, and it will depend on how much more help the yes campaign gets from the media.
At a guess, my prediction at this stage is 55% yes and 45% no.

There will be a strong no vote from all the old members and us conservative types, but it will depend on how many of the younger, newer, "I'm only here to get p.ssed out the back" type members bother to vote, as they will tend to not care as much about the heritage aspects.
If this vote was held 10 years ago, it would have no hope of getting through, but the SACA member demographics have changed so much in that time with so many new members joining.

I was thinking about it yesterday actually, I reckon it will be very interesting.

I guess the question is - are the vote NO's a just a very passionate vocal minority, or do they have real support?

My gut feeling is that it will definitely be a majority 'YES' vote, around a 60-70%. I'm not sure that the required 75% will be happen though.

Well, McLachlan's latest tactics are interesting - claiming we could lose the Adelaide Oval Test Match if this doesn't go ahead!

http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/sport/ade ... 6039423570

All this does is alienate any member who has half a brain as this clearly won't happen, in a desperate attempt to win over the gullible fools who might believe this!

He never said that if the project didn't go ahead that Adelaide would lose the test.

He merely stated that by developing the Oval it would all but eliminate the risk of losing it and/or give the SACA more bargaining power with the CA.

Losing it is very unlikely, but there is a chance that our spot in the pecking order could drop significantly. I mean the precedent is there isn't it - they didn't think twice about stripping Adelaide of the Australia Day test did they? Something they would never do to Melbourne for the Boxing Day test.

Anyways - I don't know why I keep getting sucked in to commenting on this - it's pretty obvious after 30 pages that the NO and YES voters are set. I reckon for all our 'debating' there would be maybe one or two posters on here who are actually undecided on the matter.

I think it will be about a 50/50 vote, 75% is always unlikely given that some people by their nature vote no for any change, then you have some that because of politics will vote no and that's before you get to people who don't think its what is best for the SACA.