by Ecky » Fri Apr 15, 2011 11:50 am
Interesting results so far, although very hard to read too much into it as this is nowhere near a random sample of members/non-members.
Overall it is very evenly split - 20 Yes and 19 No votes, which is why the other thread has gone 30 pages - there is no obvious winner here and strong arguments can be made on both sides.
With the members vote, there are 11 no voters, and for every 11 no voters there needs to be at least 33 yes voters for the motion to get through, but on this poll there are only 6, making it 27 short, so on this basis it seems the yes team still has a lot of work to do.
As expected, the more footy-minded non-members have more yes than no votes, but still not a 75% majority among them.
On a different note, how do people expect the vote to go? I honestly have no idea, as there would be strong pockets of yes and no support depending on who you talk to and associate with, and it will depend on how much more help the yes campaign gets from the media.
At a guess, my prediction at this stage is 55% yes and 45% no.
There will be a strong no vote from all the old members and us conservative types, but it will depend on how many of the younger, newer, "I'm only here to get p.ssed out the back" type members bother to vote, as they will tend to not care as much about the heritage aspects.
If this vote was held 10 years ago, it would have no hope of getting through, but the SACA member demographics have changed so much in that time with so many new members joining.
John Olsen, June 2012 wrote:"Reserves teams in the SANFL for the two AFL clubs is not negotiable.
We will not compromise the SANFL competition (with AFL reserves teams)."