US

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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:19 am

B 1.75
T 2.00
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Re: US

Postby Bum Crack » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:22 am

They just interviewed this bloke on the Leon Byner show and he reckons Trump will win. The bloke I work with is having a coronary lol. He has been so confident Trump will get destroyed and now he's starting to panic big time.
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Re: US

Postby RB » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:27 am

Jim05 wrote:
RB wrote:
Trader wrote:
RB wrote:[quote="Trader"][quote="Booney"][quote="Trader"]What site is everyone using to follow the coverage.
Seems they call each state at different times.


Facebook. Only reliable source.


Hehe.

ABC Australia has Biden out to a lead in Florida, 43% counted, Biden up 51.7-47.6, this could be over by lunchtime.
Florida looking very good for Trump ATM, with a poorer than expected showing for Biden in Miami (so far).


Trump needs everything to look good early as they count the on the day votes first. The mail in votes will come later and will shift things back to Biden.[/quote]Biden underperforming Clinton in crucial areas in Florida, and the Panhandle is still voting - those votes will go to Trump.[/quote]Yes, to put things in perspective


Clinton won Miami by 29% Biden leads by 9%

Trump wins Florida thanks to Cubans :)[/quote]The one silver lining for Biden is that, while Trump is looking very good in Florida, this seems to be mainly due to Cuban Americans voting even more solidly red than expected.

The Cuban vote isn't really a factor beyond Florida.
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:30 am

B 1.80
T 1.91
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Re: US

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:32 am

Is @Dutchy making a book on this?

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Re: US

Postby Jim05 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:38 am

Biden cleaned up in a heap of the smaller NE states as expected
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Re: US

Postby MW » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:38 am

It's over. Trump has it.
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:53 am

B 1.80
T 1.91
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If you want to go far, go together.
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:03 pm

Booney wrote:B 1.80
T 1.91


B 1.75
T 2.00
If you want to go quickly, go alone.

If you want to go far, go together.
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:03 pm

Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:B 1.80
T 1.91


B 1.75
T 2.00


B 1.62
T 2.20
If you want to go quickly, go alone.

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Re: US

Postby Trader » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:04 pm

Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:B 1.80
T 1.91


B 1.75
T 2.00


Pennsylvania swinging the market back to Biden.
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:04 pm

Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:B 1.80
T 1.91


B 1.75
T 2.00


B 1.62
T 2.20


Biden 1.45
Trump 2.20
If you want to go quickly, go alone.

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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:05 pm

Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:B 1.80
T 1.91


B 1.75
T 2.00


B 1.62
T 2.20


Biden 1.45
Trump 2.20


B 1.45
T 2.37
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If you want to go far, go together.
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:08 pm

1.45
2.50
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Re: US

Postby RB » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:11 pm

Trader wrote:
Booney wrote:
Booney wrote:B 1.80
T 1.91


B 1.75
T 2.00


Pennsylvania swinging the market back to Biden.
If it comes down to Pennsylvania - which it probably will - we probably won't know for days.

The way the odds change cracks me up though. You can bet that 99% of punters have no idea.
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Re: US

Postby MW » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:11 pm

what's the basis of the odds swing?
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Re: US

Postby Booney » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:17 pm

MW wrote:what's the basis of the odds swing?


Market framers would be getting fed information on critical seats, they'd be taking swings into account as well as the money coming for each elect.
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Re: US

Postby MW » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:20 pm

Booney wrote:
MW wrote:what's the basis of the odds swing?


Market framers would be getting fed information on critical seats, they'd be taking swings into account as well as the money coming for each elect.


good signs then
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Re: US

Postby Jim05 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:21 pm

Ohio and NC both look like falling to Biden, Trump would need a miracle from here
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Re: US

Postby Jim05 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:27 pm

The ABC has it 203-103 Biden’s way currently. If they are even close to that then Biden should win comfortably. Will be interesting to see if Trump can overturn the lead some of these states have
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