by dedja » Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:44 pm
Maybe the science about anthropogenic climate change isn't settled, maybe it is ...
What if the probability that it's real and that a catastrophe is imminent if no effective action is taken soon is say, 60%, or maybe 30%, or even just 5% or 1% ... should we start doing something about it?
Or another way of looking at it.
What if the chance of you being killed crossing the road at anytime is 60% ... would you cross?
If it was 30%, would your answer be the same?
What if it was just 1% ... that is a 1% chance that if you crossed a given road you would be killed? ... would you be game?
Are you familiar with risk management principles?
You know ... likelihood & consequence determines the risk rating.
So if the likelihood of anthropogenic climate change is extremely low, but the consequence is extreme, the risk rating will normally still be high (maybe not extreme).
Is it worth the risk?
You be the judge ...
A little nonsense now and then is relished by the wisest men