Extractor wrote:There are some very interesting moves afoot this weekend with the top three spots all looking pretty interesting. The ladder as it stands at the moment:
GV Best finish (roll Nuri, face 45 overs and are 280 odd at stumps + 17.8 points) = 156.07
Ango Best Finish (Grab the outright + 26 points) = 156.66 Points. Ango worst finish (choke with the bat, tanunda bat the day out + 1.6 points) = 132.32 points
Never let it be said that public servants waste time at work
Think your numbers for GV best case are about 2 points too high, if they rolled Nuri and made 280 in second dig that's 5.85 performance points isn't it ( 1.05 + 2.0 + 2.8 ) .... so total points of 154.12 (138.27 after round 13)
I'd imagine Ango will have to do a fair bit to get an outright over the line given Tanunda managed to face nearly 50 overs last week.
Ango probably need to chew up 5 - 10 overs still to pass Tanunda, and chew up 3 overs for a changeover at some stage, so would have to bowl Tanunda out and make the same number of runs in about 62 - 67 overs.
Best bet may be to go hard straight from the start for 15 - 25 and hope that gives them enough to bowl to. If Ango could do it, they probably finish top, if not, money would be on GC.
In reality, with GV more likely to lose than win, their semi opponent rides on the Kapunda/Sandy game, so they could end up playing either GV or Kapunda regardless of whether they win outright or not.... I guess it comes down to trying to get the weather advantage should the GF be abandoned .