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AFL 2012

PostPosted: Fri Mar 16, 2012 2:28 pm
by goraw
adelaide(playing gold coast away) are $1.27 on sportsbet . personally i think they are great odds. the line @ $1.92 is -22.5 . surely adelaide can can win by 4 goals? not sure which way im gunna go yet but the adelaide line bet seems like easy $$ atm.

i also like carlton(playing richmond) at $1.34. the line is 20.5 . might take the line on both at this stage.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Fri Mar 16, 2012 2:31 pm
by Johno6
whats the line for swans v gws? 1000?

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Fri Mar 16, 2012 2:34 pm
by goraw
85.5. u can get $1.05 for sydney to be first to 35 points :)

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 7:26 pm
by the big bang
goraw wrote:85.5. u can get $1.05 for sydney to be first to 35 points :)



been backed from around 99.5ish

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 7:50 pm
by goraw
the big bang wrote:
goraw wrote:85.5. u can get $1.05 for sydney to be first to 35 points :)



been backed from around 99.5ish


into -83 now. i honestly think not a bad bet +83.5 for gws atm.all the hype around their first game might hold them to a 10 goal loss perhaps.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:26 pm
by goraw
i think rory sloane will get a full year for the crows and at $15 for the bnf , i think is good odds. gunna chuck $10 on him.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:45 pm
by Johno6
Swans will win by 15+ goals
Pretty sure giants are missing 5 or so of their "better" players

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:13 pm
by carey
Odds i found good for round1 are Richmond @ $3.50 V Carlton and even Port @ $3.75 V Saints.

Guessing they dont rate Pre-season form

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:46 pm
by goraw
richmond and carlton have played eachother in round 1 for a few years now? think i heard that somewhere? if so whats the history?

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 7:47 am
by Johno6
i dont reckons tigers have come close in recent history?

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 8:44 am
by mighty_tiger_79
i remember carlton being around $1.80 and winning by 13 goals

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 9:47 am
by goraw
so my bets this week are $40 ,the crows line bet -23.5 @$1.92,$76 return, and melbourne into carlton @ $2.02 for $10, return of $20.

also put $10 @ 15/1 on rory sloane for adelaides BNF.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 10:42 am
by Squids
Carlton have beat Richmond the last 7 times they met with an average winning margin of 10 goals.

Carlton have stunk it up during the preseason and Richmond are apparently flying.

KB has said Richmond will smash Carlton and Richmond will start favourites.

Imagine your whole season could be set up if Carlton keep drifting.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 10:56 am
by goraw
carlton:$1.40 richmond:$3.00, the line is 18.5. ill update this thursday night. but no way will richmond be favs to win.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 11:00 am
by OnSong
Agree, I think Carlton have too much quality for Richmond.

Gibbs, Murphy, Judd, Scotland, Simpson through the midfield look too good IMO

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 12:24 pm
by Squids
Richmond are terrible apart from 3 players.


Carlton will smash the line

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 3:30 pm
by CoverKing
lost by 14 points last year in round 1.

we are better prepared than them. their defence is in tatters, judd is under done. kreuzer is the one that will win it for carlton if anyone.

i really think we can beat carlton in round 1. first time I've been confident saying that

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 5:02 pm
by Hefty
goraw wrote:so my bets this week are $40 ,the crows line bet -23.5 @$1.92,$76 return, and melbourne into carlton @ $2.02 for $10, return of $20.

also put $10 @ 15/1 on rory sloane for adelaides BNF.


Just to explain "line" betting to me......if the crows win by 22 points the above bet loses??

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 5:35 pm
by fathersonsfl
Hefty wrote:
goraw wrote:so my bets this week are $40 ,the crows line bet -23.5 @$1.92,$76 return, and melbourne into carlton @ $2.02 for $10, return of $20.

also put $10 @ 15/1 on rory sloane for adelaides BNF.


Just to explain "line" betting to me......if the crows win by 22 points the above bet loses??


Correct. The Crows would need to win by 24 points or more for that bet to win.

Re: AFL 2012

PostPosted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 8:17 pm
by Hefty
fathersonsfl wrote:
Hefty wrote:
goraw wrote:so my bets this week are $40 ,the crows line bet -23.5 @$1.92,$76 return, and melbourne into carlton @ $2.02 for $10, return of $20.

also put $10 @ 15/1 on rory sloane for adelaides BNF.


Just to explain "line" betting to me......if the crows win by 22 points the above bet loses??


Correct. The Crows would need to win by 24 points or more for that bet to win.


Cheers for clarifying.....might have a crack at the line now in Crows game.