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State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 11:10 am
by Johno6
New South Wales 2.25 (+3.5) 1.85 (+1.5) 2.00
Queensland 1.65 (-3.5) 1.95 (-5.5) 2.10
Even though its in Sydney and meant to be a water pool, i really like QLD -3.5
any thoughts from the experts?
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 12:55 pm
by Trader
No expert here by any stretch but I really like QLD to smash em tonight.
NSW has taken in the extra 2nd rowers rather than the front rowers, and I recon they are going to be a big body or two short as a result. In the wet this might be a critical mistake.
Wet doesn't always mean low scoring, sometimes it's a blowout as tackles don't stick and the side that handels the conditions better can open up a big lead.
Qld -12.5 is starting to blow out to decent odds, will be getting on at around the 4.5 mark.
Also, plenty of arb available on this game tonight. There was over 3% bookie arb available last night, and still plenty offering just under the 2% mark.
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 12:57 pm
by Brodlach
Ive taken Qld -6
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 1:13 pm
by Johno6
The over-under is 28 I think.
If I don't take the -3.5 for qld I'd be taking the overs for sure
On paper qld team lOoks so much better
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 1:22 pm
by Ron Burgundy
Ive taken NSW +3.5 into total score under 28.5
So couldnt be any more on the other side of the fence Johno.
I dont have any idea though...using a $10 freebet for the bet.
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 3:42 pm
by Johno6
Odds have changed again.....
New South Wales .....2.15 (+2.5) 1.90 (+0.5) 2.05 Under (30.5) 2.00
Queensland ............1.70 (-2.5) 1.90 (-4.5) 2.05 Over (30.5) 1.80
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 3:42 pm
by Johno6
Ron Burgundy wrote:Ive taken NSW +3.5 into total score under 28.5
So couldnt be any more on the other side of the fence Johno.
I dont have any idea though...using a $10 freebet for the bet.
haha hopefully one of us will be happy later tonight then!!
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Wed Jun 15, 2011 7:51 pm
by RoosterMarty
I've just taken QLD straight out tonight @ 1.74.
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Thu Jun 16, 2011 1:02 am
by Trader
Trader wrote:No expert here by any stretch but I really like QLD to smash em tonight.
NSW has taken in the extra 2nd rowers rather than the front rowers, and I recon they are going to be a big body or two short as a result. In the wet this might be a critical mistake.
Wet doesn't always mean low scoring, sometimes it's a blowout as tackles don't stick and the side that handels the conditions better can open up a big lead.
Qld -12.5 is starting to blow out to decent odds, will be getting on at around the 4.5 mark.
Also, plenty of arb available on this game tonight. There was over 3% bookie arb available last night, and still plenty offering just under the 2% mark.
Like I said, certainly no expert! haha
At least the market moved as expected, all the 4s I laid QLD over I got back at 5+, so that gave me enough of a lead that my bet was just the profit.
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Thu Jun 16, 2011 9:36 am
by Ron Burgundy
Ron Burgundy wrote:Ive taken NSW +3.5 into total score under 28.5
So couldnt be any more on the other side of the fence Johno.
I dont have any idea though...using a $10 freebet for the bet.
And im no expert either, but sometimes we can just get lucky.
Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Posted:
Thu Jun 16, 2011 10:00 am
by Johno6
well done ronny.... nice get.
i ended up going qld -2.5.
gutted