SA Footy

Starting a new thread to keep track of my MMA bets.

UFC 130 (on today)

1 Unit x Jorge Santiago H2H @ 2.18

The underdog against Brian Stann. Stann's punches pack the power, but his last win was against the one dimensional Chris Leben. Santiago will be unpredictable and has a formidable submission game. Stay out of the pocket and he wins the fight.

1 Unit x Quinton Jackson by KO @ 2.88

Nuff said. The bloke packs a mean punch and will look for kill. The only undoing will be if Hamill is good enough to keep taking him to the mat ala Rahsad Evans.

1 Unit x Fight to go the distance (Mir vs Nelson) @ $2.50

On face value, it looks like these two will want to end the fight early with a big hook, but given they are both great wrestlers, I'm banking on the fight ending up on the ground more often than not. Nelson and Mir have iron chins, going to take a big hit to floor one of them too.

Quichey wrote:
1 Unit x Jorge Santiago H2H @ 2.18 LOSS

1 Unit x Quinton Jackson by KO @ 2.88 LOSS

1 Unit x Fight to go the distance (Mir vs Nelson) @ $2.50 WIN

Balance: -0.5 Units

Jackson let rip and threatened to finish the fight early with a barrage of hits, but Hamill hung on. Santiago played into Stann's game, which was frustrating.

just finished watching 130, the Mir/Nelson bet was a good one, even those knees didnt seem to have any affect

are you serious?

Dutchy wrote:just finished watching 130, the Mir/Nelson bet was a good one, even those knees didnt seem to have any affect

If Dos Santos couldn't knock him down, Mir was never going to.

Been doing a bit of study for this Sunday's card, hopefully do a little better this time around.

1 Unit x Shane Carwin H2H @ $2.30

Good odds for a fighter who is 12-1 in the octagon. Dos Santos is a technically gifted boxer, but hasn't met the power that Carwin possesses. Carwin has toned up and I expect his cardio to be vastly improved. Needs to land his heavy jab early.


1 Unit x Jon Olav Einemo H2H @ $2.55

Is long odds because he hasn't fought for a while. Needs to take the game to the ground and Herman will be ripe for a takedown. If you're looking for a bit more value Einemo via submission @ $5.00 has merit.


I expect Munoz ($1.80) to defeat Maia ($2.00), but I wouldn't be surprised to see Maia win via submission ($4.00) as he is a BJJ specialist. It's his best chance for a win so the $4 represents a bit of value.

Quichey wrote:1 Unit x Shane Carwin H2H @ $2.30 LOSS

1 Unit x Jon Olav Einemo H2H @ $2.55 LOSS

Einemo had all but finished Herman until he lunged into a desperate knee and got knocked the **** out. Herman a lucky winner. Great fight to watch though.

Carwin never got close. Yeah, good odds for a fighter with the best one-punch knockout power in the sport, but Dos Santos stayed out the pocket and brutally picked him off with lightning quick jabs. If I can get even odds or better for Dos Santos when he takes on Velasquez in the title bout I'll take it. Dos Santos is the real deal.

Yeah that Herman fight was one of the best Ive seen for quite a while

UFC 132

0.5 Units x Chris Leben by KO @ $6.00

Leben lands a heavy fist and Silva's chin ain't what it once was. Leben only needs to rock his jaw once and the fight is over. The worry is that Silva has a substantial reach advantage, so Leben needs to get close to have a chance.

1.5 Units x Fight Won't Go The Distance (Silva v Leben) @ $1.67

Two bangers who fight to finish. Both have stated they would like to win the Fight of the Night bonus, so I'd be very surprised to see this go all three rounds.

Quichey wrote:UFC 132

0.5 Units x Chris Leben by KO @ $6.00 WIN

Leben lands a heavy fist and Silva's chin ain't what it once was. Leben only needs to rock his jaw once and the fight is over. The worry is that Silva has a substantial reach advantage, so Leben needs to get close to have a chance.

1.5 Units x Fight Won't Go The Distance (Silva v Leben) @ $1.67 WIN

Two bangers who fight to finish. Both have stated they would like to win the Fight of the Night bonus, so I'd be very surprised to see this go all three rounds.

Leben by KO, 27 seconds into the first round.

Balance: +1.0 Units

nice Q, did you see the fights? Sounds like it was a pretty good card

Dutchy wrote:nice Q, did you see the fights? Sounds like it was a pretty good card

Watched all of the main card, very entertaining. Three of the fights finished in Round 1, although I was hoping Silva vs Leben would go for more than half a minute!

Downloaded it and its now on the ipad for my trip interstate tomorrow

Dutchy wrote:Downloaded it and its now on the ipad for my trip interstate tomorrow

Sorry for the spoilers

Quichey wrote:

Dutchy wrote:Downloaded it and its now on the ipad for my trip interstate tomorrow

Sorry for the spoilers

Nah I know the results so no probs there.

Cain Velasquez v Junior dos Santos

1 Unit x Junior dos Santos H2H @ $2.26

ive done the same Q

I think a greyhound race would've lasted longer. Nice get fuys

Didn't expect it to be so easy for JDS.

Quichey wrote:1 Unit x Junior dos Santos H2H @ $2.26 WIN

Balance: +2.26 Units

Vitor Belfort v Anthony Johnson

1 Unit x Vitor Belfort H2H @ $1.77