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2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Thu Apr 28, 2011 7:58 pm
by dragonsphere
Im real keen on Pendelbury..
Currently paying 10s, Should I get on now or wait????
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Fri Apr 29, 2011 3:05 am
by JK
Now .. If he blows out in value then it will likely be due to injury, in which case he likely doesnt win anyway.
Even if he goes quiet for a bit, I'd be surprised if he drifts too far (disclaimer: Im far from a Brownlow expert).
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Fri Apr 29, 2011 12:22 pm
by White Line Fever
I'd be looking at Jobe Watson with Embley & Boyd as smokies if you're after some good early value.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Fri Apr 29, 2011 12:28 pm
by piccachu
think the 2 big fellers in Sandi & Cox are worth a dabble at pretty long odds, you hear it every year but i think collingwood will have far to many vote getters with Swan, Pendles, thomas all in good nick
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Fri Apr 29, 2011 3:06 pm
by brent-
I am a pretty big follower of the Brownlow and had some pretty good success in the past two years.
I have Pendlebury on 7, and placed within the top 3 at the moment. 2 clear BOGs and a 1 vote game.
Reckon 10's is value.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Fri Apr 29, 2011 4:59 pm
by Bum Crack
what is Cox paying? He is on fire so far this year.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Fri Apr 29, 2011 5:25 pm
by OnSong
Bum Crack wrote:what is Cox paying? He is on fire so far this year.
Yep, was thinking the same as you Cracker. We should smash that!
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 12:57 am
by Mop Up
Judd 3 votes tonight
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 9:40 am
by G
Cox is a traditional POOR vote getter including years where he has been an All Australian.
-Without checking, I dont think he's ever reached double figures.
2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 11:15 am
by White Line Fever
brent- wrote:I am a pretty big follower of the Brownlow and had some pretty good success in the past two years.
I have Pendlebury on 7, and placed within the top 3 at the moment. 2 clear BOGs and a 1 vote game.
Reckon 10's is value.
Brent do you keep a rough tally during year?
Do you study each game?
I started to then gave up.
Last year a had a multi with 11 players and missed with one and would've cleaned up so I'm very keen to make amends this year
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 12:51 pm
by Brodlach
White Line Fever wrote:brent- wrote:I am a pretty big follower of the Brownlow and had some pretty good success in the past two years.
I have Pendlebury on 7, and placed within the top 3 at the moment. 2 clear BOGs and a 1 vote game.
Reckon 10's is value.
Brent do you keep a rough tally during year?
Do you study each game?
I started to then gave up.
Last year a had a multi with 11 players and missed with one and would've cleaned up so I'm very keen to make amends this year
Judging on Brents collects the past 2 years (which have been sensational) I would listen to every word he says
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:11 pm
by JK
Brodlach wrote:White Line Fever wrote:brent- wrote:I am a pretty big follower of the Brownlow and had some pretty good success in the past two years.
I have Pendlebury on 7, and placed within the top 3 at the moment. 2 clear BOGs and a 1 vote game.
Reckon 10's is value.
Brent do you keep a rough tally during year?
Do you study each game?
I started to then gave up.
Last year a had a multi with 11 players and missed with one and would've cleaned up so I'm very keen to make amends this year
Judging on Brents collects the past 2 years (which have been sensational) I would listen to every word he says
x2
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:15 pm
by G
Just a small tip White Line Fever, rather than go for a miracle 11 leg multi perhaps cut them down to around half that

Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:38 pm
by Brodlach
G wrote:Just a small tip White Line Fever, rather than go for a miracle 11 leg multi perhaps cut them down to around half that

G you need to ask Brent about his big multis then

Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sun May 01, 2011 1:29 am
by G
I cant be stuffed checking but Im pretty sure Brent didnt have any 10 or 11 way multi's but had a fair few 6 or so leg multi's using what he considered his bankers and then had some savers to cover his arse.
He is obviously switched on and impressively posted his bets pre-count

Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Sun May 01, 2011 10:25 am
by CK
G wrote:Cox is a traditional POOR vote getter including years where he has been an All Australian.
-Without checking, I dont think he's ever reached double figures.
Pretty close, G - has only hit double figures once in his career (2006 - 12), but otherwise, yes, a surprisingly poor votegetter. Was at $41 before this round.
Chris Judd, who I tipped quite early on last year to the derision of a couple of posters, would have to be on at least 8 votes by now.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Mon May 02, 2011 12:01 pm
by Pag
Judd being a proven vote-getter, and with Carlton going well so far, would put him right in the mix at the moment.
Ditto Jobe Watson.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Mon May 02, 2011 12:24 pm
by Brodlach
[-"]
brent- wrote:Here are my Brownlow multies for this coming Monday. I generally put a fair amount of effort doing a count/combining many sources to come up with some numbers..
Most of them are bets to win their respective team unless otherwise mentioned. Managed to win low 5 figures last year and hoping go well again this year. Outlay was just over $500.
$150 Freebet Judd TOP5 = 262.50 Profit
Thompson Brown Sylvia Boak Boyd Harvey = 3368 /2 (Sylvia tie)
Thompson Brown Watson Sylvia Harvey Boak Riewoldt Goodes Boyd = 35823 / 4 (Syliva and Davey tie and Riewoldt and Delideo tie)
Thompson Brown Watson Sylvia Harvey Boak Riewoldt Hayes Boyd = 59128 / 4 (Syliva and Davey tie and Riewoldt and Delideo tie)
Brents multis have 9-10 legs...he won over $25,000 last year.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Mon May 16, 2011 10:58 am
by dodgingandweaving
Thoughts on J. Bartel?
Knows how to win a Brownlow.
Re: 2011 Brownlow

Posted:
Mon May 16, 2011 11:31 am
by OnSong
My current counter has Jobe Watson leading over Brent Maloney with Judd, Selwood and Marc Murphy all close behind.