LATE MAL number 13

[mal]

First LATE MAL since 14/2/2010
This is 13 in a row


SATURDAY 18/9/2010 GDP
R 2-4 GRANDE SORRISO
Ex Vic in the Les Harding yard, with Hollywood in the cart
Now had 3 runs in SA form 421
each run it has inproved upon
If leads will be all but unbeatable
If in the death chair still looks the winner

[Dutchy]

As the great man would say.....





















































ALL ABOARD!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

im still trying to russle up a few cans so i can get a little bit extra on

[jackpot jim]

Grand Sorriso $1.90 in todays paper

Surely it must be a misprint, Mal wouldn't tip anything over $1.30.

[bayman]

for those punting tonight be aware that r7 no 1 (who i think will win) will start on the outside of the track


hey mal why don't you go your tip all up your saints ?

[Mr_Willy]

UuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuBEAUTY!!!!

$1.30!!!!!!!

[Dutchy]

[brod]

What a surprise

Good onya Mal

[jackpot jim]

40% interest tax free with my BEST tote bookie

Cheers Mal, the punters Pal.

[mal]

PING and CACHINGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG
GRANDE SERISSO leads all the way and canters in
13 in a row
$1-30 UNITAB
$1-40 the other TABS

[mighty_tiger_79]

oh MALgain, youve done it again!!!!

[Pottsy]

Any idea what the % profit would be if you'd started with a stake and rolled all of it into all 13 LATE MALs?

[mal]

The 13 LATE MAL winners
From 2009
1-40
1-30
1-60
3-20
1-30
1-20
1-20
1-40
1-20
1-10
1-30
1-30
1-40

Allup $76-27

On a $1-00 win at the above Unitab dividends = $18-90
Total profit for the 13 winners $5-90

However http://www.crowsbet bet best TAB odds for some of the bets
Betfair odds were greater as well
The $18-90 returns are about $22 + betting at the odds Ive seen or gotten
For LM13 I got odds of between $1-44 and $1-60

I would have to sift thru the pre 2009 LATE MALS to get the overall profits
The pre 2008 made a profit, but not sure how much

I am however a fervent critic of people taking short odds when betting
You simply cannot make $$$$ in the long run, and even if you do win the profits are miniMAL
But I am defying my own logic by showing profits for the 5 years the LATE MALs have been tipped

[mal]

for those punting tonight be aware that r7 no 1 (who i think will win) will start on the outside of the track


hey mal why don't you go your tip all up your saints ?

r7-1 wins $2-00 Unitab

Pissssss off Bayman stop tipping black odds winners

[bayman]

for those punting tonight be aware that r7 no 1 (who i think will win) will start on the outside of the track


hey mal why don't you go your tip all up your saints ?

r7-1 wins $2-00 Unitab

Pissssss off Bayman stop tipping black odds winners

yeah i thought on handicaps it was close to a moral however i went to the footy today not intending to have a bet but witnessed the body language of the glenelg players & thought it was a lot better than last week so all my winnings from last night went to curly seal today

[mal]

LATE MALS
Pre 2009
I reckon it was
Up till about early 2008
27 selections
24 winners
But had no profits written down
If I average the odds at $1-30 = about $4-20 profits
That is a shocking return for a great strike rate
Im sure there wuz a few $1-30 + winners , so about $7 profit would be closer per dollar invested


In all its about
40 tips
37 winners

That includes dogs and trots

Overall LATE MAL history would show a profit per dollar bet
$12-90

[Pottsy]

I have to agree with you Mal, low odds = likely loss in the long run.

But geez, that is a fair effort. People might have a crack about "any mug can pick a short odds winner", I wonder how many of them would hit a 37/40 strike rate!

[whufc]

I have to agree with you Mal, low odds = likely loss in the long run.

But geez, that is a fair effort. People might have a crack about "any mug can pick a short odds winner", I wonder how many of them would hit a 37/40 strike rate!

great post and keep up the good work MAL.

like Pottsy im sure all the people who have a crack couldnt hit your strike rate.

i always see these and think '5hit i should wack a grand on it' but then the gut starts to churn and i think knowing my luck this would be one of the three you have missed, so never get on.

[mal]

I strongly stress this about taking long odds on
If youir norMAL bet is $20 per race, then put your $20 on a LATE MAL tip

Too often at $1-30 odds punters put too much on
Some punters who have $20 on $2-50 favs win $30
When they see $1-30 they dont want to win $6, they want to have $100 on to win $30