AFL Round 8

[Mr_Willy]

Thought seeing as no one had started this thread I would get it going.

ESSENDON are my value this week.... after St Kilda's performance last week, and with the very short week this week I think Essendon will be all over them and I reckon I might go to PYOL with Centrebet and secure some line odds... maybe -10 or thereabouts

[jackpot jim]

Agree with ya Willy.
St. Kilda are GONE GONE GONE !!!!!!!!!
Will be lucky to make the 8.

[Mr_Willy]

Agree with ya Willy.
St. Kilda are GONE GONE GONE !!!!!!!!!
Will be lucky to make the 8.

I agree.... they are really struggling!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

sportsbet

Fremantle v Collingwood Subiaco - 14-5-2010 20:40AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
Fremantle 2.00 - 2.00 (-2.5) 2.60 7.00
Collingwood 1.82 - 2.00 (-4.5) 2.40 6.50
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Quarter Time Leader | Total Points - Odd/Even | Tri Bet | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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Western Bulldogs v Sydney Manuka Oval - 15-5-2010 14:10AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
Western Bulldogs 1.71 1.92 (-7.5) 2.00 (-10.5) 2.40 4.75
Sydney 2.15 1.92 (+7.5) 2.00 (+4.5) 2.80 8.00
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Tri Bet | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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Melbourne v West Coast MCG - 15-5-2010 14:10AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
Melbourne 1.37 1.92 (-19.5) 2.00 (-22.5) 2.20 3.10
West Coast 3.13 1.92 (+19.5) 2.00 (+16.5) 3.70 15.00
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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Brisbane v Geelong Gabba - 15-5-2010 19:10AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
Brisbane 3.45 1.92 (+20.5) 2.00 (+17.5) 3.70 16.00
Geelong 1.31 1.92 (-20.5) 2.00 (-23.5) 2.20 3.10
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Tri Bet | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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North Melbourne v Adelaide Etihad Stadium - 15-5-2010 19:10AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
North Melbourne 1.60 1.92 (-10.5) 2.00 (-13.5) 2.32 4.10
Adelaide 2.35 1.92 (+10.5) 2.00 (+7.5) 3.00 10.00
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Tri Bet | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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Richmond v Hawthorn MCG - 16-5-2010 13:10AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
Richmond 5.00 1.92 (+30.5) 2.00 (+27.5) 5.25 26.00
Hawthorn 1.17 1.92 (-30.5) 2.00 (-33.5) 2.25 2.25
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Tri Bet | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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Port Adelaide v Carlton AAMI Stadium - 16-5-2010 15:10AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
Port Adelaide 1.82 1.92 (-3.5) 2.00 (-6.5) 2.50 6.00
Carlton 2.00 1.92 (+3.5) 2.00 2.60 6.50
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Tri Bet | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

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St Kilda v Essendon Etihad Stadium - 16-5-2010 16:40AEST
Head To Head Line Line (Ev) 1-39 40+
St Kilda 1.40 1.92 (-17.5) 2.00 (-20.5) 2.25 3.15
Essendon 3.00 1.92 (+17.5) 2.00 (+14.5) 3.60 14.00
Draw 67.00

Other Bet Types: 1st Team To 25 Points | Total Points - Odd/Even | Winning Margin | Winning Margin Spread | Plus 24.5 | Plus 39.5 | Quarter By Quarter | Half Time-Full Time Double | Half Time Margin | 1st Scoring Play | 1st Scoring Play - 2nd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - 3rd Quarter | 1st Scoring Play - Last Quarter | 1st Team to Score | 1st Team To Score - 2nd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - 3rd Quarter | 1st Team To Score - Last Quarter | Highest Scoring Quarter | Super Margin | Exact Winning Margin

[mighty_tiger_79]

centrebet

1. FREMANTLE 1.96 -3.0 : 2.09 +1.5 : 1.91
2. COLLINGWOOD 1.85 -6.0 : 2.09 -1.5 : 1.91

WESTERN BULLDOGS vs SYDNEY
Start:
Venue: Manuka Oval, Canberra, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. WESTERN BULLDOGS 1.68 -12.0 : 2.10 -7.5 : 1.91
2. SYDNEY 2.20 +3.0 : 2.10 +7.5 : 1.91

MELBOURNE vs WEST COAST
Start:
Venue: MCG, Melbourne, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. MELBOURNE 1.36 -23.5 : 2.09 -19.5 : 1.91
2. WEST COAST 3.17 +15.5 : 2.09 +19.5 : 1.91

BRISBANE vs GEELONG
Start:
Venue: Gabba, Brisbane, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. BRISBANE 3.29 +15.5 : 2.09 +19.5 : 1.91
2. GEELONG 1.34 -23.5 : 2.09 -19.5 : 1.91

NORTH MELBOURNE vs ADELAIDE
Start:
Venue: Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. NORTH MELBOURNE 1.59 -15.0 : 2.10 -10.5 : 1.91
2. ADELAIDE 2.37 +6.0 : 2.10 +10.5 : 1.91

RICHMOND vs HAWTHORN
Start:
Venue: MCG, Melbourne, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. RICHMOND 5.10 +26.5 : 2.10 +30.5 : 1.91
2. HAWTHORN 1.17 -34.5 : 2.10 -30.5 : 1.91

PORT ADELAIDE vs CARLTON
Start:
Venue: AAMI Stadium, Adelaide, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. PORT ADELAIDE 1.83 -6.0 : 2.09 -1.5 : 1.91
2. CARLTON 1.98 -3.0 : 2.09 +1.5 : 1.91

ST KILDA vs ESSENDON
Start:
Venue: Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, AUS
Closing:
Market is open.
Win : Pay on final result, extra time included if required. If no extra time played and match is a draw, dead heat rule applies.
Line : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
Points : Pay on final result, extra time included if required.
1. ST KILDA 1.40 -22.0 : 2.11 -17.5 : 1.91
2. ESSENDON 2.98 +13.5 : 2.09 +17.5 : 1.91

[Mop Up]

Freo at home gotta be worth a shot...

Many of the Collingwood boys have never been on a plane, quite a daunting experience.

[Q.]

Freo at home gotta be worth a shot...

Many of the Collingwood boys have never been on a plane, quite a daunting experience.

I disagree.

Collingwood have a good record at Subiaco. Factor in that Freo are coming off two 6-day breaks, plus travelling back from Brisbane, I reckon Collingwood -4.5 @ $2.00 is almost gift-worthy.

[SCD]

Collingwood are coming off B2B 6 day breaks as well..
It's a non-issue for betting on this game as both teams are doing it.

I wouldn't write the Saints off yet, too many good players to give up on them, they are 5-2 still

[Punk Rooster]

the value this week is Richmond?
Playing against a struggling Hawthorn, who return back from the west...
any lines & even the $5 looks tempting.
Carlton in great form at the moment, as are Sydney (excluding the formal thrashing at Skilled Stadium)

3 units- Port Adelaide v Carlton Carlton Head To Head 2.00
3 units- Western Bulldogs v Sydney Sydney Head To Head 2.20
1 unit- Richmond v Hawthorn Richmond Line 1.92 +30.5
1 unit- Richmond v Hawthorn Richmond Line (Ev) 2.00 +27.5

[Q.]

Got a couple of units on the multi of Collingwood +24.5/Sydney +39.5/Carlton +39.5 @ $1.85

[scottroo]

i like that bet quichey

[Q.]

i like that bet quichey

Going for 4/4 this year using the +24.5 and +39.5 options in a multi - generally my biggest bet for the round. The first two I was using the Betfair Aus Multi prices, but have since switched to Sportsbet when they started offering the +39.5 and at better odds.

It's conservative punting I know (especially when most of the teams I've picked have been covering their regular lines), but it's working for me at the moment.

[JK]

Thought seeing as no one had started this thread I would get it going.

ESSENDON are my value this week.... after St Kilda's performance last week, and with the very short week this week I think Essendon will be all over them and I reckon I might go to PYOL with Centrebet and secure some line odds... maybe -10 or thereabouts

Despite their scoring woes, I reckon the Saints win comfortably this week .. We know they struggle up forward without St Nick, but I reckon their good midfielders and defenders were unusually poor last weekend and I reckon they play with some venom this week.

Im not sure that Essendon have enough polish to take their chances when they arise.

[mighty_tiger_79]

i like that bet quichey

Going for 4/4 this year using the +24.5 and +39.5 options in a multi - generally my biggest bet for the round. The first two I was using the Betfair Aus Multi prices, but have since switched to Sportsbet when they started offering the +39.5 and at better odds.

It's conservative punting I know (especially when most of the teams I've picked have been covering their regular lines), but it's working for me at the moment.

nothing wrong with conservative punting, cos everytime you win you dont lose

[mighty_tiger_79]

http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/sport/afl ... 5866283070

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Two teams I rarely touch Adelaide & North Adelaide at $2.37 & $2.90 straight out & multi @ just under 6's look ok to me.

[Smart Punting]

Had a pretty good week last week. I underestimated Geelong at home and didnt take the weather into account on friday night, but we learn.

Round 7 tips:
3units - Western Bulldogs/Geelong/Adelaide win @ $1.92 (SB)
2.5units - Port Adeliade win @ $2.12 (SB)
1.5units - Western Bulldogs -26.5 @ $1.92 (SB)
1unit - Geelong -22.5 @ $1.92 (SB)
1unit - St.Kilda -16.5 @ $1.92 (SB)
0.5unit - Richmond lowest scoring team @ $6.50 (S)

Round 8 tips:
3units - Melbourne/Geelong/Hawthorn @ $2.15 (S)
2units - Melbourne -18.5 @ $1.92 (SB)
1.75units - North Melbourne 1-39 @ $2.32 (SB)
1.25units - Fremantle 1-39 @ $2.60 (S/SB)

Happy Punting

[Punk Rooster]

5 units- Fremantle v Collingwood Over Total Points - (193.5) W 2.00

Collingwood have kicked at least 160 points in there last 3 appearances, Fremantle averaging 110 in each- even though the game is at night, the over 193.5 looks a good bet in a high scoring game.

3 units- North Adelaide @ $2.90 WIN

[gadj1976]

14-05-2010 18:55 48099657 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Fremantle v Collingwood - Collingwood | MULTI Odds: 83.99 - $5 Win - Winning Margin (1-24) (Pending) $5.00 3.55 Pending $0.00 $-5.00
48099657 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Melbourne v West Coast - Melbourne Over 15.5 Points - Win - Tri Bet (Pending) 1.72
48099657 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Brisbane v Geelong - Geelong Over 15.5 Points - Win - Tri Bet (Pending) 1.67
48099657 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Richmond v Hawthorn - Hawthorn - Win - Winning Margin (25+) (Pending) 1.65
48099657 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Port Adelaide v Carlton - Carlton - Win - Margin (1-39) (Pending) 2.60
48099657 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
St Kilda v Essendon - Essendon - Win - Line (+16.5) (Pending) 1.92


14-05-2010 18:58 48100273 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Fremantle v Collingwood - Either Team Under 15.5 Points | MULTI Odds: 24.45 - $5 Win - Tri Bet (Pending) $5.00 3.10 Pending $0.00 $-5.00
48100273 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
Western Bulldogs v Sydney - Western Bulldogs - Win - Winning Margin (1-24) (Pending) 3.40
48100273 Multi - AFL - Round 8 - Matches
North Melbourne v Adelaide - North Melbourne - Win - Margin (1-39) (Pending) 2.32


14-05-2010 18:59 48100447 Multi - SANFL - Round 8 - Matches
West Adelaide v Port Adelaide Magpies - West Adelaide | MULTI Odds: 10.90 - $5 Win - Head To Head (Pending) $5.00 1.40 Pending $0.00 $-5.00
48100447 Multi - SANFL - Round 8 - Matches
Glenelg v Eagles - Eagles - Win - Head To Head (Pending) 2.20
48100447 Multi - SANFL - Round 8 - Matches
Sturt v Panthers - Sturt - Win - Head To Head (Pending) 1.22
48100447 Multi - SANFL - Round 8 - Matches
North Adelaide v Norwood - North Adelaide - Win - Head To Head (Pending) 2.90


14-05-2010 19:07 48101907 Single - AFL - Round 8 - Specials - Lowest Scoring Team
Lowest Score for Round. - St Kilda - $5 Win - Lowest Scoring Team (Pending) $5.00 13.00 Pending $0.00 $-5.00


14-05-2010 19:07 48102062 Single - AFL - Round 8 - Specials - Pick Four
Pick Four - Saturday/Sunday - NM-Haw-Carl-Ess - $5 Win - Pick Four (Pending) $5.00 11.30 Pending $0.00 $-5.00

[RoosterMarty]

$10 on...

North Adelaide @ 2.90

North Adelaide +18.5 @ 1.90

Western Bulldogs/Melbourne @ 2.14