AFL finals week 2

Best Bets? Talking Odds? This is the place.

AFL finals week 2

Postby mal » Sun Sep 06, 2009 6:54 pm

MALODDS

CO $2-50
AC $1-50
By virtue of a fluke draw [AGAIN in finals] and the 2 day extra break, AC should be to fit and fast for CO
CO will play defensive and prob lead AC for the first half
But the longer this game goes the crows will get better
CO 11-12
AC 14-14

WB $1-25
BL $4-50
Absolute morals
WB when they get beaten is becoz they have given sides big starts
BL are very slow beginners
WB should lead or be handy early and win this
WB 18-14
BL 10-7
mal
Coach
 
Posts: 30136
Joined: Tue Apr 04, 2006 11:45 pm
Has liked: 2098 times
Been liked: 2116 times

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby JK » Sun Sep 06, 2009 7:04 pm

Would be liking to see those odds for Collingwood, but I reckon they'll start favourite mate
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37459
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4485 times
Been liked: 3022 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby mal » Sun Sep 06, 2009 7:23 pm

Constance_Perm wrote:Would be liking to see those odds for Collingwood, but I reckon they'll start favourite mate


We can all learn off Proffessor Duthys maxims
Its not the best team that wins all the time, the best preperation is a factor at times
AC are coming off thier bye v ES
CO have been hammered physically in a hard tough game by SK
AC 8 day break + a soft game v ES
CO 6 day break + a hard game v SK
Im sure Professor Dutchy will agree the real favs must be AC
mal
Coach
 
Posts: 30136
Joined: Tue Apr 04, 2006 11:45 pm
Has liked: 2098 times
Been liked: 2116 times

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby JK » Sun Sep 06, 2009 8:16 pm

mal wrote:
Constance_Perm wrote:Would be liking to see those odds for Collingwood, but I reckon they'll start favourite mate


We can all learn off Proffessor Duthys maxims
Its not the best team that wins all the time, the best preperation is a factor at times
AC are coming off thier bye v ES
CO have been hammered physically in a hard tough game by SK
AC 8 day break + a soft game v ES
CO 6 day break + a hard game v SK
Im sure Professor Dutchy will agree the real favs must be AC


That aside, I reckon the Pies will go up as favourite and I think most people would jump if $2.50 was given on them.

Some other factors - Collingwood home ground advantage is a bit heavier in this next game than today, Collingwood have the wood over the Crows at the best of times, but particularly in finals where I don't think they've lost to the Crows?

Im certainly not saying the Crows can't win or don't have some area's of advantage, but I just can't see them starting as short as you have them.
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37459
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4485 times
Been liked: 3022 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby mal » Sun Sep 06, 2009 8:19 pm

CP
youre right CO will prob be fav with the bookies
The $2-50 is just my opinion
mal
Coach
 
Posts: 30136
Joined: Tue Apr 04, 2006 11:45 pm
Has liked: 2098 times
Been liked: 2116 times

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby jackpot jim » Sun Sep 06, 2009 9:02 pm

JJs odds

Coll $1.98
Cows $1.99

Bulldogs $1.14 (CERTAINTIES)
Brisbane $5.50

FLAG

Saints $2.40
Cats $2.40
Bullies $6.50
Pies $10.50
Cows $13.00
Lions $126.00
jackpot jim
Coach
 
Posts: 6320
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2007 7:14 pm
Has liked: 445 times
Been liked: 518 times

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby Davey Carlson » Mon Sep 07, 2009 6:09 am

Betfair (the real world)

Dogs 1.24
Lions 4.6

Pies 2.1
Crows 1.85

early moves were 5k on the dogs at 1.23 and 1k on the crows at around 1.78.
User avatar
Davey Carlson
Under 16s
 
 
Posts: 306
Joined: Fri Mar 27, 2009 9:15 am
Location: Bout Tree Fiddy
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time
Grassroots Team: Wunkar

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby overloaded » Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:31 am

I would smash black figures the Crows with everything I have
therealROSSCO wrote:Now listen to this loud and clear.....

I have not been approached to coach at the WFC this year, next year or any year. I have not approached the WFC to coach this year, next year or any year. This is an unconditional statement.
overloaded
2009 Punting Comp Winner
 
 
Posts: 6909
Joined: Fri May 25, 2007 10:48 am
Location: far queue
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby Brodlach » Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:15 am

TAB prices

1016 Wst Bulldogs $1.28
1002 Brisbane $3.50

1001 Adelaide $1.75
1004 Collingwood $2.00
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



2024 Melbourne Cup Punting Challenge winner knocking off the Pirate King!
User avatar
Brodlach
Coach
 
 
Posts: 49758
Joined: Mon Jan 15, 2007 1:18 pm
Location: Unley
Has liked: 72 times
Been liked: 4839 times
Grassroots Team: Colonel Light Gardens

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby Brodlach » Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:16 am

TAB premiship Odds

1313 ST KILDA $2.30
1307 GEELONG $2.80
1316 WESTERN BULLDOGS $7.00
1301 ADELAIDE $7.50
1304 COLLINGWOOD $11.00
1302 BRISBANE $41.00
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



2024 Melbourne Cup Punting Challenge winner knocking off the Pirate King!
User avatar
Brodlach
Coach
 
 
Posts: 49758
Joined: Mon Jan 15, 2007 1:18 pm
Location: Unley
Has liked: 72 times
Been liked: 4839 times
Grassroots Team: Colonel Light Gardens

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby Mr_Willy » Mon Sep 07, 2009 12:50 pm

Centrebet


WESTERN BULLDOGS vs BRISBANE


1. WESTERN BULLDOGS 1.25 -30.0 : 2.11 -25.5 : 1.91
2. BRISBANE 4.00 +21.0 : 2.11 +25.5 : 1.91

COLLINGWOOD vs ADELAIDE

1. COLLINGWOOD 2.18 +1.5 : 2.10 +5.5 : 1.91
2. ADELAIDE 1.69 -9.5 : 2.10 -5.5 : 1.91
Mr_Willy
Coach
 
 
Posts: 5298
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2008 4:24 pm
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time
Grassroots Team: Imperials

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby jackpot jim » Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:37 pm

Just unloaded on the Western Bulldogs @ $1.285 with Betezy.

Simply FREE money. :D
jackpot jim
Coach
 
Posts: 6320
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2007 7:14 pm
Has liked: 445 times
Been liked: 518 times

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby dodgingandweaving » Tue Sep 08, 2009 2:15 pm

jackpot jim wrote:Just unloaded on the Western Bulldogs @ $1.285 with Betezy.

Simply FREE money. :D


I wouldn't be so sure. Don't underestimate the finals experience of the Lions with Voss' kniowledge at the helm. Bulldogs are so over-rated. Both teams are poor starters, so it could be interesting to see who gains ascendancy early.

The Crows have come for a lot of support.

1001 Adelaide $1.68 (Previously $1.75)
1004 Collingwood $2.15

1101 Adelaide Under 39.5 Pts $2.25
1104 Collingwood Under 39.5 Pts $2.60
1201 Adelaide Over 39.5 Pts $5.50 I like this, if the Crows get on top I can see the Pies rolling over without the youthful legs of Pendlebury through the middle
1204 Collingwood Over 39.5 Pts $8.50
'Odds on.... Look on' Another Grub, 2009.
dodgingandweaving
Coach
 
 
Posts: 6757
Joined: Tue Feb 03, 2009 9:42 am
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby Johno6 » Tue Sep 08, 2009 2:43 pm

im gonna chuck 100 on the pies..
and a multi on pies under 39.5 into dogs under 39.5 i think... may change to lions under 39.5 yet.
R.I.P Mum 28/02/12



Asterix Users - Squibs
User avatar
Johno6
Coach
 
Posts: 14684
Joined: Wed Mar 11, 2009 10:37 am
Has liked: 344 times
Been liked: 604 times
Grassroots Team: Golden Grove

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby overloaded » Tue Sep 08, 2009 2:45 pm

Johno the crows will flog collingwood
therealROSSCO wrote:Now listen to this loud and clear.....

I have not been approached to coach at the WFC this year, next year or any year. I have not approached the WFC to coach this year, next year or any year. This is an unconditional statement.
overloaded
2009 Punting Comp Winner
 
 
Posts: 6909
Joined: Fri May 25, 2007 10:48 am
Location: far queue
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby Johno6 » Tue Sep 08, 2009 2:49 pm

i f*cking hate the crows... but i also hate the pies... maybe i should just steer clear of the match then.

i guess im still pissed i had money on crows under 39.5 last week on theri own and in a multi and its the only bet i got wrong all week.
but its my own fault, bombers were never gettin that close!!

it was the only time i have ever bet on the crows.
R.I.P Mum 28/02/12



Asterix Users - Squibs
User avatar
Johno6
Coach
 
Posts: 14684
Joined: Wed Mar 11, 2009 10:37 am
Has liked: 344 times
Been liked: 604 times
Grassroots Team: Golden Grove

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby know all » Tue Sep 08, 2009 2:51 pm

Crows/dogs multi.Line up now FREE MONEY. :D
know all
Rookie
 
 
Posts: 143
Joined: Mon Aug 04, 2008 1:07 pm
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby JK » Tue Sep 08, 2009 2:57 pm

Constance_Perm wrote:Would be liking to see those odds for Collingwood, but I reckon they'll start favourite mate


Does anyone have a spatula? :oops:
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37459
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4485 times
Been liked: 3022 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby another grub » Thu Sep 10, 2009 6:19 pm

I thought this bet was resonable value..... sportingbet

Scott Welsh vs Kurt Tippett - Most Goals 13 Sep 2009 19:00
Player Must Enter Field For Bets To Stand, Dead Heat Rule Applies.

Straight
Scott Welsh (2) 1.60

Kurt Tippett 2.28

Historical match-up ...so Tippett has to beat Welshs 2 goals from the 02 prelim final.....
so what it boils down to is this...

Thinking of Putting $500 on Tippet....

Tippet kicks 0 or 1 goal I lose... return = 0
Tippet kicks 2 goals I draw..... return = $570
Tippet 3 or more goals I win.... return =$ 1140

I reckon that is worth a punt..... any thoughts
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
User avatar
another grub
Coach
 
Posts: 15270
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2005 10:02 am
Has liked: 2615 times
Been liked: 1347 times

Re: AFL finals week 2

Postby brent-83 » Fri Sep 11, 2009 10:04 am

If it ends up as a defensive game, with Presti on Tippett he may be held to less than 2. That being said I'd probably feel fairly confident that he kicks two, and that the game will end up quite free flowing. Collingwood have gone in very short this week.
brent-83
League Bench Warmer
 
 
Posts: 1069
Joined: Wed Aug 05, 2009 10:46 am
Has liked: 0 time
Been liked: 0 time

Next

Board index   General Talk  The Gambling Room

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests

Around the place

Competitions   SANFL Official Site | Country Footy SA | Southern Football League | VFL Footy
Club Forums   Snouts Louts | The Roost | Redlegs Forum |