Bairnsdale

[dodgingandweaving]

Peter Mertens is great value for the jockey challenge today @ $4.00.
No ride in the first, and Linda Meech (JC favourite) has the ride on the fave. Might get better odds for Mertens after Meech wins race 1.

[dodgingandweaving]

Great rides in races 2,3,4,5 & a moderate chance in the 6.

[another grub]

Meech unplaced in first. mertens still $3.80 ..... Im having $260 on the $3.80......

[another grub]

Mertens 2 x 2nds = 4pts..... looking good.

[dodgingandweaving]

8 points will win it.

Culliver has a good chance in the last, after winning the 1st, but that'll only give him 6 points.
Gundogdu has 2 good rides in the 6 & 7, but that'll only give him 6 points.
McGill has moderate rides in 6,7,8 after getting 1 point in the 2nd.

Mertens should get at least 4 points from his next 3, it's almost time to line up in the queue.

[dodgingandweaving]

Almost forgot about Meech.
Moderate rides in 4,5,6,7,8.
5 rides in a row without a break, don't see that often. Still don't think she will get more 6 points.

[Johno6]

meech wins race 4.....

[dodgingandweaving]

Mertens with nought.
Makes it interesting though.

[dodgingandweaving]

Now we're in a lot of trouble.

6 a piece, with Mertens a very average ride in the next then he goes home.
Meech with average to good rides in next 3.

In hindsight, Meech should've been a lot shorter.

[another grub]

meech's double has killed us..... never give up tho.....

[dodgingandweaving]

If only Mertens picked up a point in the 6th... Was very close.
Lets hope Meech blows her remaining rides so we can get some sort of divvy.

[another grub]

Meech wins.....

[dodgingandweaving]

Ouch, gonna have to butter up on Grand Duels, Chortova, Red Buttons & I'm Discreet tomorrow.

[Davey Carlson]

Grub just out of absolute curiosity how many thousand $$ have jockey challenges cost you in the last year (rhetortical question)..... The bookies wouldn't be having one on ******* Bairnsdale if they were losing money on them, they have had challenges on Port Augusta

Great spectacle for a days viewing but wake up guys huge % markets are not there for the punter

There may be value at times but ur still taking unders in the long run.

DC

[another grub]

I have no doubt it is one area of my punting that needs attention. taking unders on punitab is a sin and they thrive of instinct punters like me..... wheres a mirror . I undo all my good work on these crappy bets.....

The JC is a bit bit like the most possesions in the AFL football...... Take unders and in the long run you lose.....

I would be tthousands down on JC betting but up in other areas.....

great point DC