2 weeks left of the Sydney Carnival...
Hopefully a couple of winners to pick up
ATC Oaks - really like
Honesta @ the price ($11 & $3.50 on Ladbrokes) poor ol' Jameka hasn't drawn a Gate the whole Carnival.
Sydney Cup - think last year's winner Grand Marshal is under the odds but any rain will see him very hard to beat. Libran has run well in winning last 3 starts but I thought he looked at the 'end of his tether' at the end of the 2600m race last week - he's a risk IMHO. Have been waiting for Almoonqith to do something & hasn't fired, is tomorrow the day? I would want $10 minimum & the $8.50 on offer with Ladbrokes is a bit too skinny @ this stage - wait & see I think. Who Shot the Barman was unlucky last year, maybe this is his time?
Queen of the Turf - tricky race IMHO. Azkadellia looks the one on paper. I like Badawiya @ the price Eachway but I think that price reflects the bad gate, so not taking her. I think
Risque is the bet @ $9 & $3 - looks like a 'Mile Specialist' to me, Soft Track is no issue & good gate, the query is the Jockey, this way of going. Another one might be the Waller runner Lady Le Fay - great distance record. Backing
Risque 1 x 3 plus Box Trifecta: 1,3,4,5,14,16Queen Liz - Preferment has been outstanding this Autumn, in both States! Can he do it again? Probably! The Caulfield Cup winner has been very disappointing & Criterion has looked 'dower' this time in. Happy Clapper was a huge run last week behind the 'Great Mare' (I used to only use that term for Sunline & Let's Elope, but Winx is worthy of equal 'billing' now IMHO, as her record is comparable), but he had a big weight drop & is now back @ WFA, so I can't have him for that reason alone.
Not a lot of 'value' around but there has been money for
Rising Romance & @ the price ($26 & $5.40 with Ladbrokes) I am prepared to gamble on her. The thing is; Hayes would've trained both Criterion & her to the minute for this race. Criterion is the better animal IMHO but as I said he's been a bit dower in his runs. Her run in Melbourne was pretty good to run 3rd in the Australian Cup. I know Awesome Rock beat her in 'winning' the race but she's had the run in Sydney & also gets a good gate. Those odds are too juicy to pass up, she'll do me
1 x 4.
Box Trifecta & Box Pick 4: 1,2,5,14It appears that I have tipped Hayes to have a big day which is always fraught with danger in Sydney, with Waller so dominant but maybe we'll be lucky.
Enjoy the Day Lads
