Jockey Challenge

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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Dutchy » Wed Jan 06, 2010 5:52 pm

WTF? Centrebet have paid me the full divvie on Gatt!!!
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Wed Jan 06, 2010 5:52 pm

Dear, oh dear.
A timely reminder that we must take the value on JC's.
Favourite's invariably lose, and short odds cannot be taken. Too many variables.
Big wake up call, and a lot of ground to make up :oops: Ouch.
Can always say Price might have rode them better, or had a better feel on the horses, but in all honesty not sure he would have won even he he kept all his rides - Even though most of his rides placed and he might have been able to get more out of them that the riders who took over, it was silly.

Need to find V for Value, not taking odds under $5.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Wed Jan 06, 2010 5:54 pm

WestIndiesWonder24 wrote:Have some Late Mail Tips from D/W Guys

Miss Snowhawk and Hastein SHOULD WIN

Seyatommorrow r4 adel e/w and que for quality R8

Good luck

Saved a little bit of face by loading up on Que For Quality.
Got $8.00 fixed 10 mins before race, and had that deducted to $7.30 something after the late scratching.
Thank F**k for that. Still a dirty day, and a timely reminder that the JC is all about V for Value.

Sorrow drowning quite likely tonight! :oops: :roll: ;)
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Wed Jan 06, 2010 6:03 pm

Dutchy wrote:WTF? Centrebet have paid me the full divvie on Gatt!!!

top work dutch.... valueeeeeeeeeeeeee....... v for value
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby WestIndiesWonder24 » Wed Jan 06, 2010 6:39 pm

Bad Luck Dodge

Lucky I got ure 2 tips and AOJ Bowman saved my day!!!!!!!!!

I was on price too damn it :roll:
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Dutchy » Wed Jan 06, 2010 7:07 pm

Learn from it Dodge, thats what AG would do, get em tomorrow :D
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Dutchy » Wed Jan 06, 2010 7:11 pm

just withdrew $945 from centrebet account (should have been half that) to moneybookers which will go thru overnight from their UK operations, if I withdraw to my bank account that wont happen until tomorrow during the day from their aussie HQ and they may have picked it up their mistake by then....if they close my account Ill just have to open one in the wifes name!

Be interesting how this plays out, pity its not the TAB and I could just cash it and run
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Johno6 » Wed Jan 06, 2010 9:37 pm

Sorry to hear dodge.. Sucks big time. I dont feel as bad bout my pakis bet now.
Both looked sure things
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Jan 06, 2010 10:16 pm

dodgingandweaving wrote:Dear, oh dear.
A timely reminder that we must take the value on JC's.
Favourite's invariably lose, and short odds cannot be taken. Too many variables.
Big wake up call, and a lot of ground to make up :oops: Ouch.
Can always say Price might have rode them better, or had a better feel on the horses, but in all honesty not sure he would have won even he he kept all his rides - Even though most of his rides placed and he might have been able to get more out of them that the riders who took over, it was silly.

Need to find V for Value, not taking odds under $5.

I would be interested to know if anyone keeps track of the odds range that win the JC based on TAB divi's.

Creating a rule based on selective memory is never a profitable way to punt. Evidence is important. Value could be $3.50. Depends how you analyse it.

Keep up the good work. As like many, I find it interesting reading.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby JK » Wed Jan 06, 2010 10:59 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:
dodgingandweaving wrote:Dear, oh dear.
A timely reminder that we must take the value on JC's.
Favourite's invariably lose, and short odds cannot be taken. Too many variables.
Big wake up call, and a lot of ground to make up :oops: Ouch.
Can always say Price might have rode them better, or had a better feel on the horses, but in all honesty not sure he would have won even he he kept all his rides - Even though most of his rides placed and he might have been able to get more out of them that the riders who took over, it was silly.

Need to find V for Value, not taking odds under $5.

I would be interested to know if anyone keeps track of the odds range that win the JC based on TAB divi's.

Creating a rule based on selective memory is never a profitable way to punt. Evidence is important. Value could be $3.50. Depends how you analyse it.

Keep up the good work. As like many, I find it interesting reading.


Thats a pretty fair and interesting call mate, I might start trying to keep some records (although I only bet with Sportsbet, so it would be limited)
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Brodlach » Thu Jan 07, 2010 9:49 am

Seymour today

91758 Nolen Luke $2.40
91761 Any Other Indiv Jock (Seym) $6.00
91760 Zahra Mark $6.50
91757 Melham Ben $7.00
91759 Rose Nathan $7.50
91755 Dunn Dwayne $8.00
91754 Brereton Danny $17.00
91756 Knobel Ben $21.00
July 11th 2012....
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby brent-83 » Thu Jan 07, 2010 9:59 am

AOJ - Pumpa for me.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:33 am

Finding it a difficult day to decipher at Seymour.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Brodlach » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:34 am

Im a Melham fan today at the $7.00
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:36 am

Brodlach wrote:Im a Melham fan today at the $7.00

Was leaning that way also mate.
Maybe after R1.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:37 am

dodgingandweaving wrote:
Brodlach wrote:Im a Melham fan today at the $7.00

Was leaning that way also mate.
Maybe after R1.

Good rides in 2, 3, 6 and not a bad one to finish on in the last.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:45 am

Luke Nolan 2.30
Mark Zahra 6.00
Ben Melham 6.50
Any Other Unlisted Jockey 7.00
Dwayne Dunn 7.50
Nathan Rose 8.00
Ben Knobel 17.00
Danny Brereton 21.00


Who is Luke NolAn?
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby growler79 » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:50 am

Gonna have a $10 on Brereton only 3 rides but i see them as all points.
Also a $10 on Rose should be finishing off well

Looking at having a wager on I Toward at Townsville wait see what they put him up at?????
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:51 am

Plan of attack at Seymour:

$40 Brereton @ $21.00 Sportingbet
Wait til after R2 to get on Knobel at big odds (Hope his ride in the first misses, should get $50ish)
Wait til after R1 to get on Melham at hopefully better than $7.00
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby dodgingandweaving » Thu Jan 07, 2010 10:52 am

Centrebet

Most Points SEYMOUR 3-2-1 (Thu) 07/01 - Winner
Luke NOLEN 2.75
Ben MELHAM 5.50
Any Other Individual Jockey 6.00
Mark ZAHRA 6.00
Nathan ROSE 7.00
Dwayne DUNN 8.50
Danny BRERETON 15.00
Ben KNOBEL 19.00


Most Points WYONG 3-2-1 (Thu) 07/01 - Winner
Hugh BOWMAN 2.00
Any Other Individual Jockey 4.40
Peter ROBL 4.40
Kody NESTOR 9.00
Joshua PARR 11.00
Tye ANGLAND 15.00
Chris O'BRIEN 51.00
Josh ADAMS 61.00

Most Points TOWNSVILLE 3-2-1 (Thu) 07/01 - Winner
Ashley BUTLER 2.50
Ian TOWARD 3.30
Graham KLIESE 7.50
Any Other Individual Jockey 8.50
Jeffrey FELIX 11.00
Dale MISSEN 12.00
Chris WHITELEY 13.00
David SIMMONS 13.00
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