AFL round 5

[White Line Fever]

Thanks for the info

Now to validate my SportsBet account.

Cheers Fev

[Punk Rooster]

Richmond can also win in the above scenario.

Effectively they have a 53 point head start...

now I see what you meant (i didn't clarify). not only can Richmond lose by up to 53 points, but should they win, the bet still wins.

[mal]

$1-01 Fremantle
Not even Hottie would be that stoooooopid to back them
Those odds are about the most absurd odds Ive ever seen in a footy market

Why is it absurd ?
$1.01 would be about the right price i would've thought.
Richmond will be lucky to get within 15 goals.

Ive mentioned twice this season about stoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooopid odds
ST $1-05 V SA [Draw]
CO $1-05 V ML [1 ponit win]
FR V RI this week $1-01
Terrible odds for FR , a last start losing team, and a team that has a history like Punk roosters ex girlfriends of letting you down

Think about it
$700 to win $7
Your better off ringing the local service station 5 times a day for a week to find out when the litre price drops

[mal]

Multi up the 8 and it pays only $4.50

Can't see any of them being upset though... Maybe ANZAC day clash will be close

Think about this
7 winners without Fremantle is a better way to go
Imagine that the last game was FR V RI
The first 7 winners were at odds of about $4-46 [= $346 profit on a $100 bet]

You are then effectively outlaying $446 at $1-01 to get your odds up to about $4-50
You are risking $446 for a lousy $4-46 extra

The question I ask, is would you put $446 on FR to win $4-60 in one lump sum bet

IF the answer is YES then please reply to this post

[Mr_Willy]

Richmond can also win in the above scenario.

Effectively they have a 53 point head start...

now I see what you meant (i didn't clarify). not only can Richmond lose by up to 53 points, but should they win, the bet still wins.

Yep.... I know when I have previously explained it to people they always ask, but what happens if Richmond win!?

[the joker]

i had to have a dabble at the crows this week, too good odds with a team with back to walls. and i heard on the news that the Bulldogs are really sore from the hard gabba surface.

$200 at 1-39 for crows at $8.00

[Punk Rooster]

$200 at 1-39 for crows at $8.00

I'll be the first to say well done should it come good.

[the joker]

$200 at 1-39 for crows at $8.00

I'll be the first to say well done should it come good.

yeah, will be quite happy. but we all know it is a long shot. and they will probably lose by heaps

[Dutchy]

I think the value will be in the SANFL this weekend

[gadj1976]

I think Geelong on the line are good value. Carlton have won twice, once over Richmond and then over Adelaide, both winless.

I can't see Carlton getting too close to Geelong where Carlton have a shocking record at the MCG in recent times.

[overloaded]

Multi up the 8 and it pays only $4.50

Can't see any of them being upset though... Maybe ANZAC day clash will be close

Think about this
7 winners without Fremantle is a better way to go
Imagine that the last game was FR V RI
The first 7 winners were at odds of about $4-46 [= $346 profit on a $100 bet]

You are then effectively outlaying $446 at $1-01 to get your odds up to about $4-50
You are risking $446 for a lousy $4-46 extra

The question I ask, is would you put $446 on FR to win $4-60 in one lump sum bet

IF the answer is YES then please reply to this post

well said mal, stooooopid odds

[hottie]

Oh Mal why didnt u tell me before ,i already backed freemantle.

[Mr_Willy]

i had to have a dabble at the crows this week, too good odds with a team with back to walls. and i heard on the news that the Bulldogs are really sore from the hard gabba surface.

$200 at 1-39 for crows at $8.00

They said on the news tonight the crows were over $7 just to win.... I might have a dabble at the 1-39 too...

I reckon the value is in line betting this week!

[brent-83]

$20 on Crows +42.5, Sydney -32.5, Brisbane -24.5, Geelong -29.5 @ 13.30 = $266.17

[Mop Up]

Multi up the 8 and it pays only $4.50

Can't see any of them being upset though... Maybe ANZAC day clash will be close

Think about this
7 winners without Fremantle is a better way to go
Imagine that the last game was FR V RI
The first 7 winners were at odds of about $4-46 [= $346 profit on a $100 bet]

You are then effectively outlaying $446 at $1-01 to get your odds up to about $4-50
You are risking $446 for a lousy $4-46 extra

The question I ask, is would you put $446 on FR to win $4-60 in one lump sum bet

IF the answer is YES then please reply to this post

Yes thanks Mal, pretty obvious
Was merely pointing out that boxing all 8 is paying very little this week compared to your standard AFL round.

Reckon Geelong could cover the line very eaily this week against Carlton
Hawks 1-39
Essendon at the line
Maybe St K to cover at AAMI

[Punk Rooster]

last weekend's AFL was full of value.
Nothing to see here this week.
Only thing that possibly interests me, is backing red-hot fav's at 1-39 in night games- say Stk v Port @ Footy Park.

Swnas v WCE will be interesting- these sides traditionally match up well, & have played out some very close reults.
The present day Swans are flying however, but is this the dreaded round where a few teams get ahead of themselves?

[overloaded]

be careful lads, there will be at least 1 possibly 2 upsets this weekend

[White Line Fever]

I think Geelong on the line are good value. Carlton have won twice, once over Richmond and then over Adelaide, both winless.

I can't see Carlton getting too close to Geelong where Carlton have a shocking record at the MCG in recent times.

I went to the game last year Friday night at the G when Carlton beat Geelong??

[Mr_Willy]

be careful lads, there will be at least 1 possibly 2 upsets this weekend

I reckon Port and Essendon are the chances....

[brent-83]

Essendon and North Melbourne are my two upset chances.

Port are no good. Beaten WCE and North and allowed both back into the game late. Brisbane should have won by a lot more but took their foot off the pedal in the last quarter and they were smashed by Geelong. St Kilda compares with Geelong and their pressure will be too much for too long IMO.