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by **silicone skyline** » Mon Aug 03, 2009 5:52 pm

Mr_Willy wrote:If there is a 3 way tie do you only get 33%???

Yep, I reckon so

by **Raggies101** » Mon Aug 03, 2009 6:29 pm

Plumb gave him every chance was a lil tardy at the start but plumb rode him a treat in the first 500m Oh well ya loose some ya win some

by JK » Mon Aug 03, 2009 6:30 pm

Best reading thread on this site boys ... Has anyone kept any records on the JC since you lads have been studying it together on here?

by **Dutchy** » Mon Aug 03, 2009 6:54 pm

we have a cracking record of picking the 2nd place getter at double figure odds!!!

by JK » Mon Aug 03, 2009 6:58 pm

Dutchy wrote:we have a cracking record of picking the 2nd place getter at double figure odds!!!

LOL I was aware of a few of those, I normally read Grubs "We're home here lads" post and then go back a page or two to see who the unlucky Jock was

by **Mr_Willy** » Mon Aug 03, 2009 9:51 pm

We will all get on one eventually that will come home.... It's not always about getting the winner, as Grub says, just find the value!!

by **silicone skyline** » Mon Aug 03, 2009 11:12 pm

Plumb was indeed the value. Quite unlucky really.

by **Davey Carlson** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 8:00 am

Dutchy wrote:we have a cracking record of picking the 2nd place getter at double figure odds!!!

I figure even someone as astute as you dutchy can see these are bookie donators, you keep running second at 'VVVVVValue' because the bookies have the entire field running for them (not even talking about DH Rule :evil:

or injury/weight issues) :roll:

You may hit a miracle/bookie mistake one day but ask yourself in a 100% book what price should that have been?

Until you can lay these short favourites on betfair leave your cash in your wallet, im sure AG will soon realise as I have said before... Why on earth would there be a JC on Darwin, Forbes etc. (FFS)????? Because the bookies can't lose in the long run on this market :shock:

by **Dutchy** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 9:19 am

each to their own DC, In my last 6 bets on these Ive got a 26/1 and a 14/1 winner, I think there is an advantage in these markets that they have the favs way too short therefore leaving value at the higher odds

not an exact science but a bit of fun anyway, I certainly dont put any serious $$$ on it

by **another grub** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:11 am

as stated before DC..... I hunt for value.... If one of $16 pops only gets up 1 in ten times I am happy..... no doubt I could go 20 bets without a collect but if my next two winners are $16 and $12 wouldnt you say that was good?

I study the rides, prices after each race (do my own odds as well) and any other variables.....and only punt overs. Hence yesterday I made a profit as I had Freeman rated a $1.90 chance from where she was placed after race 2. They put up $3.40 and I gladly took it. She was never in doubt..... I will continuaklly hunt for value.... and in the end I have to win as I am always taking overs.

With plenty of mug punters and people thinking a jock is a cert at $1.20 to $3 range just because he has a few percived good rides the TAB would clean up..... BUT not with this punter.

What do we like today lads...????

by **Browny25** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:12 am

Your the man with the knowledge AG - you tell us!!

by **Brodlach** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:18 am

Well said Grub.

Today I am looking at Ian Toward @ $6.00 and Wayne Hokai in Melbourne depending on his price.

by **dodgingandweaving** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:18 am

P Cullen not without a hope at Townsville - $41

by **dodgingandweaving** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:23 am

Any Other at Townsville - $4.40

Working for you with AOJ includes:
D Crossland
D Simmons :twisted:

G Baker
F Edwards
I Fry
B Kenning
J Felix
G Cullen
D Tanti
J Murphy
R Ryan

by **The Flying Scotsman** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:29 am

A Butler at townsville, 6 rides and 3 of them very good winning chances. $6

by **dodgingandweaving** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:38 am

Cessnock:

41541 THOMPSON Robert $1.60

Someone at TAB thinks highly of Thompson, and McEvoy for that matter.

by **dodgingandweaving** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:40 am

41541 THOMPSON Robert $1.60
41542 LOVELOCK-WIGGINS Taylor $4.40
41543 BUCKLEY Grant $10.00
41544 SPRIGGS Blake $10.00
41548 ANY OTHER INDIVIDUAL JOCKEY $13.00
41545 BELL Timothy $17.00
41546 McLELLAN Darryl $23.00
41547 GRISEDALE Jon $31.00

Casting an eye over B Spriggs, T Lovelock-Wiggins & AOJ at the moment.

by **dodgingandweaving** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 10:50 am

Cessnock:
$100 T. Lovelock Wiggins @ $4.40
$50 on B Spriggs @ $10.00

by **Brodlach** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 11:03 am

Melbourne:

41531 HOKAI Wayne $3.20
41538 ANY OTHER INDIVIDUAL JOCKEY $3.90
41532 HILLIER Harry $7.00
41533 ROBERTSON Craig $7.50
41534 FRY Jarrod $7.50
41535 ALESCI Fabian $8.50
41536 WILSON Neville $9.00
41537 BERIMAN Nikita $11.00

by **another grub** » Tue Aug 04, 2009 11:18 am

Another thing I forgot to mention is that I continually monitor sportingbets and betstars prices aswell before the first race to look for overs and sometimes mistakes

Studying now... will get back to you when sportingbet and betstar have their prices up.....

Wouldnt touch Thompson at those odds :roll:

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