Jockey Challenge

[OnSong]

I think I place enough losing bets to shroud the winning ones. They have got me a few times with Zac Lloyd going under too.

Should also remind myself Ben Allen is banned

[another grub]

Rule 1
Keep taking 'overs'

Rule 2
Staking plan to stay in the game when a run of 'outs' happens

Rule 3
Place mug bets to mask the winning JC bets - to last as long as possible.

Rule 4
Have a pointsbet account....ffs

[another grub]

No JCs @ PB ???

OS might have sent em broke

Shaq looking for a new job

[OnSong]

Bahahaha yeah I wish I'd sent em broke.

They'll have them up in no time, bit late today though!

[OnSong]

Anyone got any theories why S Payne is $7.70 with TopSport and $19 with NEDS?

Only has 4 rides and none of them look like super strong winning chances...?

[another grub]

$6 place looks good Neds then

S Payne 4 rides @ 7, 8, 16, 16


Opperman (same price topsport) has 3 rides @ 9.5 , 3.2, 4.2

Potter (sameish price) has 6 rides @ 15, 9.50 , 5 , 12, 23, 21

Neindorf (sameish price) has 2 rides @ 2.70 , 3.70

I would suggest Neds are closest to true odds

[OnSong]

Pointsbet absolutely silent on any JCs today! They've cracked it

[another grub]

Opperman prob be odds-on now

[OnSong]

PB did put markets up but no clear market advantage so no bets for me. Watching Belmont market closely!

[another grub]

Looking at Ipswich

Only 2 riders under $26 tab.....
A Jones 1.40[b] She has 5 rides @ 2.20 , 11 , 3.5 , 2.6 , 4.4
Callow 3.20[/b] He has 3 rides @ 2.50, 2 , 4.50

Thoughts?

[mighty_tiger_79]

Looking at the market flucs it seems Jones will be hard to hold out.

Might get better after r1 if Callow wins it?

[OnSong]

Wait for jockey change carnage and sting it. No clear market advantage yet.

[OnSong]

McNeil out at Ballarat. Didn't have much in his 3 rides but could be a handy point scorer in R3.

[another grub]

Callow 4.2 toppie

[OnSong]

S Collett $23 TopSport. I think that's a fairer price than the $12-$16 on offer elsewhere

[OnSong]

Moreira gets the ride in R3. $12 on offer.

[another grub]

Into $6 neds

[OnSong]

Childs gets the final one. He's $9 PB

[OnSong]

Hardly groundbreaking areas so only small bets on Childs ($9) and Moriera ($12)

[another grub]

Little bit of an advantage - a small interest bet to get you thru the day

as stated previously these are 150% markets. You generally need 50%+ advantage in price for it to become a bet. The more the % advantage the more the stake.