by mal » Tue Jul 20, 2010 10:43 am
by Mr_Willy » Tue Jul 20, 2010 2:46 pm
mal wrote:PRODUCE STAKES WEEK 2
PREVIEW
I always try and do the study for the Produce days
Below are my thoughts, selections, and best bets
R1 400M NO BET
R2-5 BENJI BALE , will it ever win a race ?, still trying after 23 starts ...NO BET
R3 NO BET
R4-9 LIBERTY MAN , didnt get a run, 46 runs and still a maiden...NO BET
R5-2 MELISSANDRA BALE + 4 MR KOTZO whichever one leads should win
R5-1 SHAKE YOUR BON BON , drawn to be in the finish, likely placegetter, unlikely winner
R6 400M RACE ...NO BET
_______________________________________________________________________________
Now for the Produce races
RACE7
6 WHERES PANCHO if leads from the poor draw will win
5 POINT TWO OVER will try hard
4 SNOW KIST lacks gate speed but will try very very hard
RACE 8
8 RANDOM TEST is wobbly from the lids, accelerates quickly once settled, top chance
7 TOKEN CLASS early pace and perhaps the leader is the danger
1 WIDGYS WOMAN drawn for a gun run
4 OAKTREA BANDIT has dash, but against a good batch of hounds
RACE9
1 ASTON RACHAEL , inside draw its go, no luck in the heat, top chance
3 WHERES CISCO good when leads, but ordinary when headed
6 ARTHUR BEECH has good early pace and right in this
5 OUTREA OUTLAW also goes quick early, but this is a tough assignment
_______________________________________________________________________________
R10-1 PROVEN WAVE lacks early pace, but drawn to get thru, go well EW
R11-5 BIG BOSS OR 7 ASTON ZIP whichever leads can win in a tough race, both can also miss a place if headed early
BEST BETS
R5-1 SHAKE YOUR BON BON ......trust in exotics as a placegetter, good bet for a PLACE
R9-1 ASTON RACHAEL...BANKER IN EXOTICS....OR EW IF GOOD ODDS
R10-1 PROVEN WAVE....BANKER IN EXOTICS.... DEFINITE EW CLAIMS
by mal » Tue Jul 20, 2010 3:22 pm
by Mop Up » Tue Jul 20, 2010 4:32 pm
Oaksnaf wrote:mighty_tiger_79 wrote:stay away from crown!!!
Hahaha crown has nothing to do with it.
The fluctuation on the TAB odds made it impossible to actually bet to my market on win bets to the extent that I wanted too. It's all well and good to record the data, but unless you can use the data it's worthless.
I couldn't accurately bet to my exotic markets either, and naturally had to revert back to the standard form of the $10 bets and boxing exotics. But by then the damage had been done.
I've had to re-define my WIN betting.
But you live and learn. Even betfair became useless to some extent. Not as uselss as betting to the TAB odds.
by mal » Tue Jul 20, 2010 5:01 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Jul 20, 2010 6:12 pm
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:GAWLER
2 - 5 benji bale - place special - SCR
5 - 2 melisandra bale - should be able to LAW and perhaps the 8 as a run on dog for exotics and small place bet - BOTH unplaced
7 - 6 should be winning, 1,4,5 should fight out exotics - 6-5-7-9
8 - think 7,8 can battle out for the lead and run away with the race, the red from the inside has good early pace to be right in the mix. - 8-2-7-1
9 - 3 - 6 - 1 - 2 - think the 3 should be able to lead and hold out the 6 early which will assist it in winning. risking the 5 will be in the market and needs a lot of luck - 3-2-1-5
11 - 5 should go close to winning - go a 2x8 staking, shouldnt miss a place in an ordinary field. the 4 is capable of being able to run a drum with clear run - unplaced
by whatfuture » Wed Jul 21, 2010 12:23 pm
mal wrote:BEST BET RESULTS
R5-1 EXOTIC + PLACE ...2ND $2-90
R 9-1 BANKER EXOTIC + EW ...3RD $1-60[massive run]
R10-1 BANKER EXOTIC + EW...3RD and they found a way to stop me collecting NO THIRD DIV
We snared some winners in the other previewed races
Noticed the 7 was scratched in the last, slack Mal, slack
Got race 10 half wrong for EW punters
Forgot there was NTD grrr, slack Mal, slack
Spoiled the 100% tipping record June/July
The Produce Final
Is it this Sunday ?
by mal » Wed Jul 21, 2010 5:13 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Jul 21, 2010 6:02 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:25 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:30 pm
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:warragul
race 10
4,8 top 2 from the 7 and then 1,3 for exotic chances
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:32 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:45 pm
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:race 11 warragul
3,5 top 2 selections here from the 4,8 and then 2 as a place chance at big odds
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:48 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:51 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 5:08 pm
by Oaksnaf » Fri Jul 23, 2010 5:37 pm
by Oaksnaf » Fri Jul 23, 2010 5:51 pm
by Oaksnaf » Fri Jul 23, 2010 6:03 pm
by mal » Fri Jul 23, 2010 6:13 pm
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